March 30, 2015

2Horse Racing

More trouble today on Day 6. First race lost, and though the second race won, when you’re in recovery mode if the first race doesn’t win you go further behind.

First race lost £67.17 which included a £25 recovery stake. From today, in order to give this a chance, I have restricted the recovery chunk to be 20% or £25, whichever is less.

Third race also happened to win, but we stop at a winner.

More confidently, since Day 1 all days have stopped at the winner. So it will be instructive to see how long this recovery takes.

Day 6, £1000 starting bank = -£247.92

Filed under General by Dave Yeates

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March 30, 2015

Big Race Bookie Buster

Hi, I’m Dave and I’ll be testing this service over the next three months.

BRBB is a service from the Betting Gods stable. The service will cost you a very reasonable £19.95 per month, £49.95 per quarter, or just £129.95 for life. If the claimed £475.42 average profit per month to £10 stakes is borne out by this test, that will be a no-brainer. Of course, this has to stack up, but I like the fact that (a) the service is quoted to £10 per point, which most of us can afford, and (b) although not level staking, the variable staking actually seems reasonable for the confidence of the bet. Although stakes can, from past indicators, run to 6 points, they are mostly in the 2 or 1 ew range. I’m happy with that. There are ante-post bets and reverse forecasts involved. As they are ‘big race’ bets, they can be few and far between.  I would love to report back after 3 months that the average monthly profit has been maintained.

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Dave Yeates

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March 30, 2015

2Horse Racing

Day 5

This does not operate at weekends, so we are into Day 5. We have been in recovery mode since Day 1 and I have needed to split the deficit up to keep the stakes under 20%. Our £1,000 bank is currently standing at £787.59, having hit a low of £713.18. As we are betting 20% of the bank, it feels precarious as another loss or two during the recovery period would see this spiraling out of control.

 

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Dave Yeates

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March 30, 2015

2Horse Racing

Hi, I’m Dave and will be testing this daily for three months.

This service has been running successfully for a number of years.

The system is based on dutching the favourite and second favourite in nominated races on weekdays only, with the aim of building the bank by 1% on any race day. It takes advantage of a mathematical formula which has fine-tuned race stats to isolate race types in which favourites are most likely to win. A digital calculator is provided for staking, which has a built-in loss recovery model. The service claims to turn a bank of £1200 into around £9,155 in 12 months, give or take a small variation due to variables such as last minute odds changes. The worst case scenario would be if the recovery procedure after losses could not be achieved within the 20% of bank maximum, in which case a proportion of the bank would be written off. It is not clear from the website how often, if ever, this has happened since the inception of the system.

Although results are recorded to Betfair SP (BSP), bets can be placed with any bookmaker or exchange. There is one stipulation which can put off potential subscribers, and that is the need to be prepared to place the bets at post time. I’m not sure if it’s possible to use a bot with this, as the loss recovery system could get quite complicated under certain circumstances.

Target races (usually three or four, but sometimes fewer or none at all) are released to subscribers on the website after 10.30am.

2Horse Racing is currently offering a 10 day risk-free trial, after which the cost of subscription is £45 per month, with discounts for longer terms.

You can try 2 Horse Racing for 10 days here:

http://www.cash-master.com/2HorseRacing.php

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Dave Yeates

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March 30, 2015

Stallion Racing Picks

Day 1

4 bets but the only winner was a no bet because it was shorter than evens

Day   -3 points

Day 2

Four runners, two winners for a smidge of profit.

+0.03pts
Day 3

Four races, two wins but both outside the 2.0 parameter, so no bets.

Day -2 points
Day 4

Two races, one winner @ no bet due to price

Day -1 point

Cumulative -4.97 points

 

Filed under Backing,Each Way,Horse Racing Systems by Dave Yeates

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March 30, 2015

Stallion Racing Picks

Hi, I’m Dave and I’ll be testing this service for three months.

Stallion Racing Picks is from the Pro Betting Club stable of services. It is (yup, you guessed) a horse racing backing service (UK and Irish) which claims to make a not inconsiderable income for a current subscription cost of £49 per month, or £119 per quarter. It claims an average 40% strike rate and has been running for 5 months with no losing months, and a longest losing run of 6.

Selections are emailed daily before 1pm, so this will only take a few minutes a day to run, and you can use a bot if required. Results are recorded to Betfair SP -5%. I will be recording early price results as well to see if the BSP results can be improved upon.

An 80 point bank is suggested. For the published results at £100 per point, that would mean you would need an £8k bank, beyond many of us, but this is called a professional service. Furthermore, selections are given as either 3 points or 6 points, and I suspect this is to shore up a successful service. It may be true that some selections are given more confidently than others, so I will be recording the results to either 1 point or 2 points.

You can try Stallion Racing Picks here:

http://www.cash-master.com/ProBettingClub.php

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Dave Yeates

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March 30, 2015

Draw Day Demolition

A better week to report for this service. Only one losing bet means the bank(s) did recover a little of the losses accrued so far:

 

BOOKIE METHODS (£100 level stakes)

Bets 78

Losses 21

S/R 73.08

PROFIT/LOSS:

BACK THE DRAW  -£1000 (BUST BANK. END OF RECORDING)

AWAY WIN (DNB)  -£545

DUTCH DRAW/AWAY -£508.64

DOUBLE CHANCE  -£498

 

BETFAIR METHOD (£100 LIABILITY 5% COMM DEDUCTED)

Bets 26

Losses 6

S/R 76.92%

LAY HOME TEAM  +£21.18

 

DETAILED RESULTS FOR DDD

 

try DDD here

Filed under Football by Liam

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March 30, 2015

Champion Bets

We only had three selections this week, rather than the usual six. All three were winners, so it’s been a good week for this service:

BETS 63

WINS 33

S/R 52.38%

AV ODDS 1.65

PROFIT/LOSS  +8.28 points

 

DETAILED RESULTS FOR CHAMPION BETS

 

TRY CHAMPION BETS HERE

Filed under Football by Liam

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March 29, 2015

Dobbing Secrets

A further week that saw the following ‘action’…

23rd Mar – 29th Mar (staking £25 / point)

(Note : For the purposes of this trial I am using BSP prices)

8 selections

3 void (not meeting filter requirements) before start
2 failed to get matched in-running (loss of £50)
2 winners (returning £54.03)

Week : £+4.03

Overall : LOSS / £-144.74 (-5.79 pts)
===========================

So, very little improvement on our situation from last week. I remain to be convinced that if I were to let this run for a further two weeks, as I had originally planned, that we could recover the bank to break even at least. This judgement is based purely upon what I have seen thus far. Furthermore, to my mind the selection criteria for this method lets it down badly and simply doesn’t seem to be sufficiently geared to picking likely steamers which is of course fundamental to the dobbing methodology. Without a high strike rate, decent and regular profits from applying the Dobbing mindset are simply not going to happen.

So (for now at least), I am going to have to consign this to the list of ‘must-try-harder’ offerings…. FAILED.

You can try Dobbing Secrets here:Failed

http://www.cash-master.com/DobbingSecrets.php

Filed under Horse Racing Systems by Guy

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March 29, 2015

The Percentage Form Edge

“How The Secrets Within A 50 Year Old Racing Book Discovered In The Attic, Transformed MyLaughable Selection Method Into
A Betfair Cash Cow!”

This strategy is the brainchild of a a guy called Denis Hatcher (via Tipster Supermarket).

Essentially, this a tipping service that provides a daily email to subscribers who are to back multiple selections to Betfair SP.

“… be assured that every horse is on the list because it has a calculated advantage over the rest of the field….. not all will run big races but out of the selections some will invariably go on to win, and sometimes at big prices.”

Denis runs through the racecards each morning day and determines the qualifiers. In the qualifiers email he will advise a number of selections in MAIN and SECONDARY lists with ‘spares’.
The spares are to be considered in the event of one or more runners in the list becoming a non-runner shortly before the off.

The main list contains the strongest races for value.

The secondary list is made up of races that have hit the same criteria as the first but may contain a lot of really big priced selections. (In his opinion, the best races to bet on are the more balanced races that have a spread of prices). The races in the secondary list do provide winners but carry slightly higher risk.
Back in September of last year Denis tipped his selections via the Tipster Supermarket blog…. and it impressively claims to have made 116 points between early September 2014 and mid January 2015, so well worth a review on Cashmaster. (Incidentally, the results provided during this period INCLUDE results of the secondary list)

ThePercentageFormEdgeResults

There are one or two caveats to consider in terms of the results though, and that is that subscribers wont necessarily get exactly the same results in terms depending upon a couple of choices they will have to make for themselves…..
In the selections list that is received, the early prices are advised and it is personal choice whether to take the early prices OR place your bets to Betfair SP . (the downside to waiting later in the day to secure those potentially nicer profits that can come from taking BSP prices…. is due to a filtering criteria that must be applied before your bets are placed , if bets are placed too late in the day you could find that a qualifying race earlier in the day is no longer qualifying, the price of one of the runners having steamed to the extent that if it were to win, a profit on that race is no longer possible).  Furthermore, the instructions do state “…as long as you secure the lowest priced selection’s price at or the above the price for the criteria, it’s up to you when to take the price of the remainder.” Essentially, you could feasibly take the early price and back the rest to BSP.
So for the purposes of this review I will blog results to advised / early prices for ALL selections.
Regarding staking : the recommendation here is also personal choice, but you need to be aware that we are not dutching selections in each race, all selections are level stakes back bets and with upto 6 selections per race – realistically, you will need to consider that there will most probably be times when there will be a run of losing races and with this number of bets – an appropriate drawdown on the bank. So for the purposes of this blog I will record simply in points won or lost.
I have been following this service now since the middle of this month and so far progress has been a little laboured and far from easy, perhaps due in part  to that bi-annual event that is the transition between from jumps to flat in the racing calendar.
Results :
Pts
14-Mar -16.96
15-Mar -3
16-Mar -2.535
17-Mar -0.425
18-Mar 7.77
19-Mar 0
20-Mar -3
21-Mar -9.41
22-Mar 2.355
23-Mar -2.49
24-Mar -5
25-Mar 1.535
26-Mar -4.45
27-Mar -13
28-Mar 10.1

P/L : -38.5 pts

So as you can see – clearly, not the best of starts to a review…. however… Denis did some analysis of the races for the start of the flat season and this may offer a glimmer of hope for the new season about to get underway … although he did leave it to subscribers whether they got involved or otherwise (Denis wont be including these in his official results), perhaps many wish they had…!

Pts
28-Mar -13.47
29-Mar 37.10

P/L : +23.6 pts

Of course this may have been a lucky strike so to speak, but if this is the shape of things to come…..

One final thing, he is offering a two week trial period for £1 and thereafter £29.95 + VAT per month thereafter. So, if you find this service really isn’t for you, before the two week trial is up cancel the subscription and there is nothing further to pay.

 I will get back in touch with progress mid April.
You can try this for £1 here:

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Guy

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