September 30, 2014

Winning Day Trader

Well, after Adams first losing period in a long time, he took the rest of the week off to take a break from the charts. It seems to have done him the world of good.

Trading started again yesterday and practically made most of last weeks loss back in one day!

Date Market Size P/L
29/09/2014 US Tech 100 -10 £167.00
29/09/2014 France 40 -10 £115.00
29/09/2014 US Tech 100 10 £106.00
29/09/2014 FTSE 100 10 £113.00
29/09/2014 FTSE 100 10 £215.00
29/09/2014 France 40 -10 £135.00
29/09/2014 France 40 -10 £195.00
29/09/2014 FTSE 100 -10 £200.00
29/09/2014 Spot FX NZD/USD -10 £278.00

 

Profit: +£1,524
Total: -£639.67

I’m hoping last week was just a blip.

Filed under Spread Betting by Graham

1 comment

September 30, 2014

FOOTBALL SCANNER

I have had access to this new service for the last week and wanted to bring it to your attention.

This is an unusual blog entry as it isn’t really the start of an ongoing trial and it isn’t a one-off Approved/Failed entry.

The reason for the halfway house approach is that I’m really very keen on what I’ve seen so far and think it’s probably going to be incredibly useful.

An ongoing blog test would be of very limited value as this is only of any use for live trading of in-play games on Betfair and I always feel that with these types of things, there’s no way you are going to replicate my experiences. I may really get into it and make money hand-over-fist, whilst others may struggle to grasp the concept and feel badly let down, the opposite is obviously just as likely where I can’t make it work and I deny readers a goldmine.

I’m not comfortable with a one off as this appears to be a very new service and I want to make sure it’s stable and can be used in many different scenarios, plus there’s no trial period or limited function “Taster” type option.

So, I’m bringing it to your attention now and will give a final verdict in a week or two.

This is a website based service that you access through your usual internet browser, although there is a warning that Internet Explorer may have issues with the price update functions.

You log into the site and have access to the scanner itself. You now see all the current inplay matches from the Betfair coupon available. Beside each fixture are the live statistics of how the game is progressing. All the usual useful stats are included, Shots On Target, Off Target, Corners, Throws, Fouls, Cards and Possession are there plus an extremely good and unique “Pressure Indicator” which is a figure derived at calculating the previous 10 minutes of possession percentage and number of shots made. The higher this number, the more pressure is being applied by the team. On the FAQ section there’s a comment about how these statistics are taken from an outside company and are very reliable, I would agree with this as the stats are presented almost identically to those found on a prominent bookmaker’s live game stats panel. I’ve always used that service for my own trading as it’s bang up to date and accurate. In fact, I went to that site during a game being shown live on ITV and it was a huge surprise to see the game clock and stats were 6 seconds AHEAD of the live tv broadcast. I actually went back a couple of times to make sure I was right, everytime there was a Throw In or Corner it was recorded online before I saw it on TV. So, I’m more than happy that the stats I’m seeing on the scanner are correct and genuinely as Live as you can get.

The beauty of this service is that you have all those stats and the Betfair prices available on the screen in front of you, no need to constantly try jumping back and forth to catch the bet you want at the price you want.

You do not enter your Betfair account details into the scanner but all the prices and markets covered have clickable links that shoot you straight to the correct Betfair page in a new tab on your browser. Price graphs can be viewed in real time from the scanner homepage.

Once you’re in and understand what you’re looking at, it’s time to cut the coupon down to size. There’s little point having the games with small liquidity pools, trading those isn’t really viable as it takes too long to get matched. You enter the minimum amounts of matched money you want to see on the Match Odds, U/O 2.5 and Correct Score markets, you can also put in criteria like number of goals, shots or the current correct score. This cuts the list down to a far more manageable size. You can then create separate lists, if you wish, to find only games that fit the trading strategies you are using. It’s all hugely customisable, brilliantly worked out and extremely easy to use once you grasp the concept and get the lists set out the way you want to work. Getting the coupon cut down to size is a massive help, there’s just too much information to take in if you leave it unedited, especially at weekends.

Another great feature is that they’ve included a page with some very useful and well proven trading strategies for members to use. There are methods for Early, Midway and Late game trading. All very sensible ones that are clearly explained, giving a great head start to new traders and a refresher course for those with more experience.

Although there is no trial period available, there are videos on site to watch that show the scanner in action. You do not need to be registered to view these and I would urge anyone who regularly trades football on Betfair to watch them. This really does have the potential to be a Godsend in terms of spotting the trades you are looking for and getting on them at the time and price you want. It’ll also help you spot trades you wouldn’t have seen without it. I’m very keen indeed on this and it’s only the fact that I want to see that it remains stable and accurate for a reasonable period of time that is preventing me from giving this an immediate Approved status.

The price is far from unreasonable for the functionality of the software. It’s £29 per month, or there are cheaper monthly rates for 3 & 6 month purchases. I know it sounds like a hackneyed sales pitch thing to say but, honestly, on my first night of playing with real money (I paper traded a couple of days to make sure I was happy it worked) I more than cleared a month’s subs using a maximum £10 stake/liability. That was using my methods, some of which are v similar to the ones supplied onsite, but the software made it much easier and I did take on several trades that I just wouldn’t have seen without it. Obviously, it’s very important to fully acquaint yourself with how it works before committing real money to this but that’s true of every service or product.

Do set aside some time to watch the videos on the site, they are truly representative of what you will get for your money.

One comment I will make about the videos is that (at the time of writing) they are out of the order you should watch them in. Watch the one named “In-Play Scanner” with runtime of 14.17 first. It is currently the third one down the screen, then watch the others in order. No doubt they will put this right at some point and have also told me that they are recording new tutorial videos at the moment, so that issue will be sorted it’s just that I want you to avoid getting confused.

I’ll be back in a week or so to give a final verdict but, baring any major functionality issues, this one is almost certain to be Approved with bells on. A very cool piece of kit that’s of enormous benefit.

 

TRY IN-PLAY SCANNER HERE

 

Select the “Videos” tab, it’s def worth a look.

 

 

 

Filed under Football,Trading by Liam

0 comments

September 29, 2014

FOOTBALL ACCA TIPS

Since my introductory post about this service there has been a change in the price. It has been dropped to £40, + VAT for UK residents.

We’ve had a bit of a bumpy start with a few bets narrowly missing out on decent payouts but a good day yesterday steadied the ship somewhat and although currently in negative territory, we’re only one good day away from bouncing back.

As I explained in the opening post, this service provides a “Confidence Level” for each bet and I have recorded them on the detailed results sheet, so it does look at little different to my usual records.

The owner has been extremely apologetic about the performance during the last month, especially since our trial period began, saying that it’s his first losing month since the service began. I’m not really overly concerned about the bank at the moment, we’re only a few points down and only a week into the trial. A lot of the prices he targets have plenty of meat on the bone and it’ll only take one game to pan out fully for the bank to look very healthy indeed.

So far the bets have been nice and easy to understand, he often picks his standout game of the day and has 3-4 bets around that one game in the form of Winner, Correct Score, Handicap and Anytime Scorer bets. On busier days there are a few other games targeted and an accumulator also advised. All seem fairly reasonable and well researched bets, personally I’m not a fan of including a “Banker” in more than one accumulator but it’s clear the owner is well experienced in his methods & when things go right, it can be a big winner.

FIGS SO FAR

BETS 22

WINS 6

S/R 27.27%

AV ODDS 15.95

AV WIN ODDS 2.77

P/L  -5.4 points

 

DETAILED FOOTBALL ACCA TIPS RESULTS

 

TRY FOOTBALL ACCA TIPS HERE

Filed under Football by Liam

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September 29, 2014

BBTS AND WIN

We’ve had something of a reality check since the introduction of this new service with a run of losing bets. Still well in profit since the start and the prices available mean we don’t need a massive strike rate to stay well in the black.

An odd change of style yesterday didn’t seem to work out well, with several games having both sides backed to win. All but one of those lost, so it was quite an expensive day. The main thing is that we’re still a good number of points up and as long as that remains the case, there’s very little to moan about, especially as there is the month free trial to try these out on paper.

FIGS SO FAR

BETS 52

WINS 12

S/R 23.08%

AV ODDS 6.03

P/L  +15.4 points.

 

DETAILED RESULTS FOR BTTS AND WIN

 

FREE TRIAL OF BTTS & WIN

Filed under Football by Liam

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September 28, 2014

Master Racing Tipster

Date Selection Advised Points Result
22 September 4.00 Leicester, Millys Gift 5.00 1 £   80.00
24 September 4.55 Goodwood, Brave Echo 13.00 1 -£   20.00
24 September 8.50 Kempton, Devilment 2.75 3 -£   60.00
25 September 5.55 Newmarket, Aetna 4.00 1 -£   20.00
26 September 3.45 Newmarket, Windshear 2.63 2 -£   40.00
27 September 2.00 Newmarket, Rosalie Bonheur 5.50 1 £   90.00
27 September 2.35 Newmarket, Nafaqa 25.00 1 -£   20.00
27 September 3.55 Ripon, Spinatrix 3.75 1 £   55.00
28 September 3.40 Musselburgh, Auction 375.00 1 -£   20.00

.

Week 10: 3 winners from 9 bets (S/R of 33.33%) for £45.00 using £20 stakes.
Overall: 31 winners from 118 bets (S/R of 26.27%) for £320.00 using £20 stakes.

 

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur

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September 28, 2014

Bookies Enemy Number 1

Date Selection Advised Points Result
25-Sep 4.50 Newmarket:Master Of The world 6 Lost
25-Sep 5.55 Newmarket:Remember 7 1 pt ew dbl Placed
25-Sep 7.15 Kempton:Aqlette 6 2 pt Win Lost
25-Sep 7.15 Kempton:Alpine Affair NR
25-Sep 7.45 Kempton:Lysander The Greek 7.5 2 pt Win Placed
26-Sep 2.40 Newmarket:Stroll Patrol 13 Lost
27-Sep 5.30 Newmarket:Highland Castle 11 1 pt ew dbl Placed
27-Sep 3.50 Newmarket:Balty Boys 29 Lost
27-Sep 3.50 Newmarket:Tigers Tale 29 0.5 e/w dbl Lost
27-Sep 2.30 Chester:Tagula Night 15 Won
27-Sep 2.30 Chester:Bethnay Boy 15 Lost
27-Sep on the 2:30 Chester 0.25 pt r f/c Lost
27-Sep 3.35 Haydock:Jamaican Bolt 17 Placed
27-Sep 7.00 Wolverhampton:Footstepsintherain 7 Placed
27-Sep 3.20 Ripon:Laidback Romeo 3.75 0.5 ew trixie Won
28-Sep 3.40 Musselburgh:Auctiion 3.75 2 pt Win Lost
28-Sep 3.40 Musselburgh: Shot In The Sun 7 1 pt ew Lost
28-Sep on the 3.40 Musselburgh 0.5 pt r f/c Lost

Week 1: 1 winners from 9 bets (S/R of 11.11%) for -7.36 points.

 

 

Filed under Backing,Each Way,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur

0 comments

September 28, 2014

Bookies Enemy Number 1

I’m looking at Bookies Enemy Number 1 from Gary Poole. This is a tipster service that, at time of writing, costs £29.99 per month.

The selections, if there are any, are emailed the evening before in order to capitalise on the bookies early prices, and also in the morning and are also available on a website.

A 100 point bank is advised with level stakes of 2 points to Win at prices up to 13/2 and 1 point EW at 7/1 or bigger. Where multiple selections are advised a 1pt each-way double will be recorded. Sometimes a Trixie and reverse forecasts are advised too.

I am looking to record advised odds & bookmaker odds available at the time I receive the selections; at least initially.

I aim to update this blog after racing has completed every Sunday.

Eager to get started so let’s go.

Filed under Backing,Each Way,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur

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September 27, 2014

The Diff Code

Another good week for the Diff Code:

22/9 No Trade
23/9 No Trade
24/9 +£58.22
25/9 +£59.80
26/9 +£59.04

Weekly Profit: +£177.06
Total Profit: +£470.62

This takes literally a couple of minutes each morning to place a trade and that’s it.

You can try The Diff Code on a 45 day risk free trial here:

http://www.cash-master.com/TheDiffCode.php

Filed under Spread Betting by Graham

2 comments

September 23, 2014

Winning Day Trader

Since I finished last week at more or less break even on this trial and started afresh on Monday morning with a new £10,000 trading bank in IG Index, and a commitment to trading at £10 per pip level stakes, I’ve decided to reset the trial bank so we can see precisely what’s achievable with this service.

Of course, as seems to be the way with a lot of services that get trialled on Cash Master, we certainly know how to ‘break ‘em’ don’t we?

Here’s my results for Monday and Tuesday:

Date Market Size P/L
23/09/2014 Spot FX NZD/USD 10 -£88.00
23/09/2014 EU Stocks 50 10 -£310.00
23/09/2014 Germany 30 10 -£449.00
23/09/2014 FTSE 100 10 -£326.00
23/09/2014 Daily FX Interest for 1 day NZD/USD - £5.70
23/09/2014 Long Interest for 22/09/14 - -£16.25
22/09/2014 US Tech 100 10 -£321.00
22/09/2014 Adjustment for dividend in  EU Stocks 50 - £23.00
22/09/2014 FTSE 100 10 -£328.00
22/09/2014 US Tech 100 10 -£344.00
22/09/2014 Long Interest for 19/09/14 to 21/09/14 - -£10.12

 

Profit: -£2,163.67
Total: -£2,163.67

Gulp!

Yes, I’ve lost over two grand in two days. Yes, it’s real money, and yes, it smarts a bit.

Still, I’m a big boy and I know that all forms of trading (bar one) involve risk, so I wouldn’t have traded if I weren’t prepared for a worse case scenario.

Adam is mortified. He’s decided to take a couple of days off to clear his head and have a look at what’s happened.  I suppose it’s a shock for him too, seeing as for the last few years he’s rarely had a losing week.

Has he lost his mojo?

We shall see.

Next update will probably be Thursday or Friday, depending on when Adam decides he’s ready for round two….

Filed under Spread Betting by Graham

7 comments

September 23, 2014

FOOTBALL ACCA TIPS

I’m going to be reviewing the performance of Football ACCA Tips.

This is a straight forward tipster service where selections are emailed to members, there is also a forum to join where you can exchange ideas and comments with the owner and other members.

I started receiving selections yesterday (Monday 22/9) and there was a little initial confusion as I assumed the points value quoted referred to the staking level. I was deeply concerned as it looked as though we would be staking a massive 21 points out of our starting bank of  50 points on three bets around the same game.

I emailed the owner and tried word “Are you crazy?” as politely as I could, he responded straight away and cleared up the confusion. The “Points” he quoted referred to his own confidence in the bet. This is a little different to most tipsters but I would imagine it will prove helpful to his members when considering their stake size etc.  The owner is very friendly and helpful and responds to questions as quickly as he can. No problems on the admin side so far.

I’ve decided to run the test in our usual manner, 50 point starting bank and 1 point level stake on each selection given. I think it may also be useful to record what level of confidence was given for each one. By doing that from the outset, we will be able to look at the end of trial figure broken down by level. If we end with a total of, say, 50 points profit it’ll be handy to note if bets below a certain number have cost too much etc.

The cost of the service is a one off payment for the whole season. It costs £50 (+vat for uk residents) with no ongoing membership subs to pay. Seems a reasonable amount, provided you join early enough to get your money’s worth.

As stated, I only started this yesterday and have only had bets on one game to record. I’ll wait until the weekend’s results are in to share my usual detailed spreadsheet but just for the record, last night produced a small loss of 0.8 point. There’s a far busier night ahead with a good few bets on the League Cup. These include straight win bets, correct score bets, a goal scorer bet and an accumulator.

 

JOIN FOOTBALL ACCA TIPS HERE

 

 

Filed under Football by Liam

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