From the daily archives:

Monday, July 13, 2009

July 13, 2009

Robobets

A better day yesterday with two winners.

Daily Profit: +£104
Total Profit: -£486

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Filed under Backing,Betting Bots,Horse Racing Systems by Graham

July 13, 2009

Smarter Gambler

Sunday 12th July

Back Rosenborg @ 1.59 Bet won +£42

Lay Atletico-PR @ 3.3 Bet lost -£75
Total Profit: +£254

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Filed under Football by Graham

Ok today I decided to try the setting whereby it ignores the next race if the previous race hasn’t been settled, but it uses the ‘inferred winner’ so that it doesn’t have to wait until Betfair updates your account. What it does is monitor the live prices in-running and then takes the horse whose price goes down to 1.01, as this is usually the horse that has gone on to win. I tried this before at the beginning of the test but it didn’t seem to work. However, this probably got all messed up because one of the meetings was running half an hour late, if I remember rightly.

Also, one other reader is running these current settings, without the ‘don’t bet’ rule so we should be able to see if this setting works with this method. Hopefully, what this will mean is that the scenario that I’ve had a few times of the bot putting on a bet that lost but also stopping because it had already hit the profit target will be avoided.

With todays races, the races were 15 minutes apart anyway so I thought it wouldn’t have made any difference as Betfair would have settled the accounts in time. The problem with the ‘don’t bet until previous race has finished’ function is that if anything goes wrong in a race, like it’s running late or abandoned, then it will sit there waiting for instructions. So today, I had a winner, then a loser, then a winner, then a loser, then another loser so I was £215 down by 2.45. Not a problem if the bot had bet on the rest and they were winners, and this could have been the case had the next race it bet on, the 3.30 at Ayr, not have been abandoned. So the bot has been sitting there all afternoon waiting for the 3.30 at Ayr to either go in running or settle up. Since neither happened it didn’t bet for the rest of the day ruining any chance of recovering the loss at the beginning of the day.

This is the second time I’ve tried the ‘inferred winner’ no bet function and on both occassions I’ve ended up losing out. Of course, how often do meetings get abandoned in the middle of summer? The heavy rain at Ayr caused a seven horse pile up and thankfully no man or beast was seriously hurt although one jockey, Joe Fanning, broke his collarbone.

Needless to say, I shall be going back to normal settings tomorrow.

Day 18

Daily Profit:-£215
Total Profit: £313

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Filed under Betting Bots,Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Graham

July 13, 2009

Market Raider Plus

Monday 13th July

Quiet today, a  6 pip loser on EURUSD:

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Filed under Forex,Spread Betting by Graham

Monday 13th July

I had an e-mail from John Crossley of Tufxp support on Friday about the issue with some people getting PTP signals when I wasn’t and vice versa. This is what he said:

“Graham,
I am writing to you regarding an issue with some clients seeing some PTPs when some others do not.
Clients have referred to your Blog in their correspondence.
 
We managed to duplicate the issue here and it appears to be a data issue.
It does seem that depending on which server the IQfeed connects to there can be slightly different bar data.
The differences are very very small, but enough to change the designation of occasional signals that are on the cusp.
I have made an inquiry with IQfeed who are looking into the matter.
 
Today I received an interim update from IQfeed :
Their development team is still looking at this.  They are seeing the issue and are trying to determine the exact cause.
They will be in touch with us when they know more.
 
Regards,
John Crossley
for Trading Edge Worldwide Ltd.”

So there we have it. I suspected it would be something to do with the feed because that could have been the only possible cause of discrepancies in the data the software uses to determine if a PTP occurs or not.

Anyway, on to today and we had a winner on EURUSD:

The next was a winner if you went in on the TESS level but I got break even as I add extra for the spread and I moved my stop to break even when it hit the TESS scalp line. The 10/15 minute combination has been underperforming recently:

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Filed under Forex,Spread Betting by Graham

July 13, 2009

The Edge

13/7/09

Method 1

Running Bank £551.56

Daily Total -£20

Running Bank £531.56

Method 2

Running Bank £737.97

Daily Total -£20

Running Bank £717.97

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Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Liam