From the daily archives:

Saturday, July 18, 2009

July 18, 2009

The Edge

18/7/09

Method 1

Running Bank £472.71

Daily Total -£30

Running Bank £442.71

Method 2

Running Bank £659.12

Daily Total -£30

Running Bank £629.12

The downward trend continues. The author’s changes have cut the number of bets dramatically. Last Saturday there were more than 20 bets for method 1, today there were only 3. The big problem is that it has not helped the performance and the horses that do qualify are usually towards the top of the market so any recovery is going to take a lot longer. From what I can gather about the past performance of this system it seems that the claimed profits were made by having a fairly low to middling strike rate but this was topped up by having the odd very decent priced winner. That scenario seems unlikely to be repeated during our test. We still have a couple of weeks left, so let’s hope for a light at the end of the tunnel to appear.

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Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Liam

Done on the first bet.

Day 3

Daily Profit: +£50
Total Profit: -£294

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Filed under Betting Bots,Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Graham

July 18, 2009

Smoke and Mirrors

This set of results brings us up to date.

Day 17 – 12-Jul   Day 18 – 13-Jul
There were 1 qualifying races. There were 14 qualifying races.
Scenario 1 Scenario 1
2 selections. 0 wins, 0 placed. 23 selections. 0 wins, 7 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 28.42 Daily Profit        -£ 49.89
Overall Profit   £392.66 Overall Profit   £342.77
Scenario 2 Scenario 2
2 selections. 0 wins, 0 placed. 20 selections. 0 wins, 3 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 13.13 Daily Profit        -£ 52.14
Overall Profit   -£356.82 Overall Profit   -£408.96
Day 19 – 14-Jul
Day 20 – 15-Jul
There were 11 qualifying races. There were 11 qualifying races.
Scenario 1 Scenario 1
20 selections. 0 wins, 2 placed. 22 selections. 1 wins, 2 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 175.51 Daily Profit        -£ 114.49
Overall Profit   £167.26 Overall Profit   £52.78
Scenario 2 Scenario 2
19 selections. 0 wins, 2 placed. 23 selections. 1 wins, 3 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 76.97 Daily Profit        -£ 61.34
Overall Profit   -£485.93 Overall Profit   -£547.28
Day 21 – 16-Jul
 
 
There were 14 qualifying races.  
 
Scenario 1  
26 selections. 2 wins, 4 placed.  
Daily Profit        -£ 153.10  
Overall Profit   -£100.33  
 
Scenario 2  
26 selections. 2 wins, 4 placed.  
Daily Profit        -£ 39.58  
Overall Profit   -£586.86  
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Filed under Backing,Each Way,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur

July 18, 2009

Smoke and Mirrors

OK Folks, nearly finished applying my new understanding to the back data. Below are the new daily totals for the previously reported days. The next post will be for the last week, which wasn’t reported as I was busy fixing the back data!

Day 1 – 26-Jun   Day 2 – 27-Jun
There were 18 qualifying races. There were 18 qualifying races.
Scenario 1 Scenario 1
28 selections. 3 wins, 3 placed. 27 selections. 3 wins, 9 placed.
Daily Profit        £ 131.22 Daily Profit        £ 175.75
Overall Profit   £131.22 Overall Profit   £306.97
Scenario 2 Scenario 2
27 selections. 1 wins, 4 placed. 27 selections. 2 wins, 8 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 127.54 Daily Profit        -£ 40.30
Overall Profit   -£127.54 Overall Profit   -£167.84
Day 3 – 28-Jun   Day 4 – 29-Jun
There were 8 qualifying races. There were 17 qualifying races.
Scenario 1 Scenario 1
13 selections. 0 wins, 2 placed. 28 selections. 4 wins, 6 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 146.92 Daily Profit        £ 524.23
Overall Profit   £160.05 Overall Profit   £684.28
Scenario 2 Scenario 2
13 selections. 0 wins, 2 placed. 26 selections. 4 wins, 4 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 96.17 Daily Profit        £ 292.47
Overall Profit   -£264.00 Overall Profit   £28.47
Day 5 – 30-Jun   Day 6 – 01-Jul
There were 15 qualifying races. There were 13 qualifying races.
Scenario 1 Scenario 1
23 selections. 1 wins, 6 placed. 21 selections. 0 wins, 6 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 104.31 Daily Profit        -£ 118.17
Overall Profit   £579.97 Overall Profit   £461.80
Scenario 2 Scenario 2
20 selections. 0 wins, 6 placed. 23 selections. 0 wins, 5 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 106.98 Daily Profit        -£ 114.50
Overall Profit   -£78.51 Overall Profit   -£193.01
Day 7 – 02-Jul   Day 8 – 03-Jul
There were 5 qualifying races. There were 21 qualifying races.
Scenario 1 Scenario 1
6 selections. 0 wins, 3 placed. 35 selections. 3 wins, 9 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 70.68 Daily Profit        -£ 47.20
Overall Profit   £391.12 Overall Profit   £343.92
Scenario 2 Scenario 2
7 selections. 0 wins, 2 placed. 33 selections. 3 wins, 6 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 55.13 Daily Profit        -£ 24.41
Overall Profit   -£248.14 Overall Profit   -£272.56
Day 9 – 04-Jul   Day 10 – 05-Jul
There were 22 qualifying races. There were 6 qualifying races.
Scenario 1 Scenario 1
36 selections. 4 wins, 7 placed. 11 selections. 0 wins, 1 placed.
Daily Profit        £ 193.02 Daily Profit        -£ 143.00
Overall Profit   £536.94 Overall Profit   £393.94
Scenario 2 Scenario 2
34 selections. 5 wins, 5 placed. 10 selections. 0 wins, 1 placed.
Daily Profit        £ 160.74 Daily Profit        -£ 74.73
Overall Profit   -£111.82 Overall Profit   -£186.54
Day 11 – 06-Jul   Day 12 – 07-Jul
There were 15 qualifying races. There were 17 qualifying races.
Scenario 1 Scenario 1
25 selections. 1 wins, 5 placed. 28 selections. 1 wins, 5 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 109.13 Daily Profit        -£ 163.10
Overall Profit   £284.81 Overall Profit   £121.71
Scenario 2 Scenario 2
25 selections. 0 wins, 4 placed. 28 selections. 1 wins, 5 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 134.74 Daily Profit        -£ 90.74
Overall Profit   -£321.29 Overall Profit   -£412.03
Day 13 – 08-Jul   Day 14 – 09-Jul
There were 21 qualifying races. There were 13 qualifying races.
Scenario 1 Scenario 1
38 selections. 0 wins, 5 placed. 23 selections. 2 wins, 5 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 253.56 Daily Profit        -£ 0.79
Overall Profit   -£131.85 Overall Profit   -£132.63
Scenario 2 Scenario 2
38 selections. 1 wins, 7 placed. 23 selections. 2 wins, 5 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 86.66 Daily Profit        £ 15.32
Overall Profit   -£498.68 Overall Profit   -£483.36
Day 15 – 10-Jul   Day 16 – 11-Jul
There were 24 qualifying races. There were 25 qualifying races.
Scenario 1 Scenario 1
38 selections. 2 wins, 6 placed. 41 selections. 6 wins, 9 placed.
Daily Profit        £ 75.84 Daily Profit        £ 477.87
Overall Profit   -£56.79 Overall Profit   £421.08
Scenario 2 Scenario 2
39 selections. 2 wins, 5 placed. 42 selections. 5 wins, 7 placed.
Daily Profit        -£ 66.36 Daily Profit        £ 206.03
Overall Profit   -£549.72 Overall Profit   -£343.70
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Filed under Backing,Each Way,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur

July 18, 2009

The Place To Lay

Day 18 – 17/07

Haydock    2.55    King Supreme      Won       -£2.80
Nottingham 3.20    Antonius Moris    Placed    -£9.00
Haydock    4.40    Citizenship       Unplaced   £9.50
Newbury    4.55    Bonnie Charlie    Unplaced   £9.50
Hamilton   6.55    Ballodair (IRE)   Placed    -£7.60
Hamilton   8.30    Prince Rhyddarch  Unplaced   £9.50

Daily Total +£  9.10
Overall     +£102.00

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Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Arthur