From the monthly archives:

August 2009

August 29, 2009

Forex MegaDroid

Hi, my name is John and I will be reviewing the Forex MegaDroid.

This automated trading EA is marketed by two traders John Grace and Albert Perrie who claim almost 40 years forex trading experience between them.

The EA operates solely on the EURUSD pair on a Metatrader platform and on the 1 hour time frame only. The $97 (£62) which the Forex Megadroid sets you back, provides you with an 84 page pdf and two files to place in specific folders in your MT4 platform, one is the EA itself and the other a dll file. The downloading and installation of an MT4 platform and the Forex Megadroid is comprehensively covered in the pdf.

I am running MegaDroid on an Interbank FX platform demo account.

I have allowed the robot to trade in aggressive mode whilst using a 5% risk strategy (0.05) this is easily set up through the EAs input tab and permit’s the use, according to the authors, of simultaneously running two strategies, the aggressive and also a conservative one that they say, accumulate profits faster.

The EA calculates the volatility of the recent market and adjusts stop losses accordingly. It also has a Recovery function where Lot sizes are increased after a losing trade. Once the authentication (receipt) code is entered into the appropriate box you are away and running.

For the paranoid amongst us, the vendors state that the EA can be run in a Stealth Mode, disguising the origin of market orders from unscrupulous brokers as coming from  an automated trading robot.

The authors claim that the bot will work in all market conditions regardless of the volatility of the market or market conditions using what they term Reverse Correlated Time and Price Analysis or (thankfully) RCTPA for short, which suggested to me that the EA has been designed with previous price action and market conditions coded into it.

MegaDroid  placed it’s first trade, a Sell order on 8th August @ 22:23 GMT of 2.5 Lots at a market price of 1.43600 with the Stop Loss set at 1.4432 (72 pips) away with the target (Take Profit) at 1.43100 (50 pips) from entry. For some unknown reason (to me at least) it then truncated the trade at 11:38 GMT taking a profit @ 1.4358, for 2 pips . Had it not closed the trade early the profit target would have been reached.

The 2nd trade was on the 12th August @ 21:04, this time a Buy order for 2.51 Lots at 1.41850, the EA set it’s Stop Loss at 1.40851 (65 pips away), it set a target @ 1.42350 for 50 pips but again it closed the trade short at 1.41950 for a reduced profit of 10 pips. Had it held on the target would have been hit on the 13th August around 06:00 GMT.

For the third trade on 12th August at 22:55 GMT just after it had prematurely closed trade number two, as above, Megadroid put a Short order into the market @ 1.42120 with a Stop Loss placed at 1.42770 (65 pips away) and a target of  1.41520 (32 pips). Unfortunately the market continued to rise and the SL was hit resulting in a loss of 65 pips.

Megadroid certainly does not appear to place trades haphazardly it seems as the next trade it placed was on the 18th August at 22:48. It placed another Sell order @ 1.41363 with a Stop Loss 32 pips distant at 1.41683 and Take Profit at 1.40763 so 60 pips target. But yet again the Robot called it wrong and the S/L was hit again resulting in a loss of 32 pips.

After two consecutive losses the EA then doubled the number of Lots on the fifth trade on the 19th August at 22:54. It again chose a Short trade this time at 1.42350 with a Stop Loss set at 1.43080 or 73 pips away with a target this time at 1.41740 or 61 pips. And although this trade resulted in profit being taken, the EA again did not let the trade run, instead it curtailed the trade @ 1.42187 or approximately 16 pips profit.

 For it’s final trade that I have had with Forex MegaDroid on the 20th August at 22:30 GMT, MegDroid sent a Short order into the market again at double the standard lot size. It entered the trade at 1.42538 and set the Stop Loss  approx. 88 pips away @  1.43417 with a Take Profit @ 1.41938. It interrupted the trade short when at 1.42387 it decided enough was enough and took the 15 pips on offer.

Overall then the situation is that although on pips alone the EA is down by around 54 pips, the progressive increase in lot sizes means that one more winning trade at 2 times standard lot size as the past two trades have been will recoup the previous losses and turn a small profit.

I do however have some reservations regarding the almost martingale-like strategy of increasing lot sizes and people purchasing MegaDroid should be fully aware of the risks involved in this type of loss recovery system.

One thing to note from the authors results is that at one point chasing losses resulted in a drawdown of 61% of the bank on one trade alone, the EA then did recover all the losses but I am not sure that a strategy as aggressive as this would suit me.

During this past week (24th – 28th August inclusive) the EA has not placed a single market order.

0 comments

Filed under Forex,Spread Betting by Jon

August 28, 2009

Bookie Demolisher

Results for Days 24 – 30

 

Another overall profit during this last week, albeit, only 1 point (or thereabouts). I will be writing a system conclusion over the next couple of days, so stay posted.

Here are the results for the last week

Time    Meeting         Horse                          Odds    Stake             Result  Profit/ Loss

 Results for Day 24 – (19th August 2009)

1:55     Hamilton           Colepeper                    3.5       £20 Back         L          – £20

2:30     Hamilton           Pacific Bay                   8.5       £20 Back         L          – £20

2:40     Carlisle             Cross Key                    3.25     £20 Back         L          – £20

3:05     Hamilton           Strathmore                    3.25     £40 Back         L          – £40

3:15     Carlisle             Steel Cut                       4.5       £20 Back         L          – £20

3:40     Hamilton           Stateside                      12.0     £20 Back         L          – £20

4:15     Hamilton           Graceful Decent            1.25     £40 Back        1st        +£10

4:50     Hamilton           Herrera                         5.5       £20 Back        1st        +£90

5:00     Carlisle             First Swallow               13.0      £20 Back         L          – £20

6:50     Folkestone       My Best Bet                 8.00      £20 Back         L          – £20

7:20     Folkestone       Sky High Kid               10.00     £20 Back         L          – £20

5:25     Hamilton           Duke of Bothwell          15.0     £20 Back          L          – £20

Results for Day 25 – (20th August 2009)

2:40     Lingfield           Dhaawiah                     1.18      £20 Back          1st        +£3.60

4:25     Lingfield           Ancien Regime             2.50      £20 Back          1st        +£30

Results for Day 26 – (21st August 2009)

3:15     Sandown          Magnetic Force           11.0      £20 Back          L          – £20

5:20     Salisbury          Theladyinquestion         7.00      £20 Back         1st        +£120

5:55     Salisbury          Flaming Miracle            5.5        £20 Back         L          – £20

6:25     Salisbury          Dreamspeed                 3.5        £20 Back         L          – £20

8:45     Wolves            Satwa Moon                 4.5       £20 Back          L          – £20

Results for Day 27 – (22nd August 2009)

2:10     Sandown          Strawberrydaiquiri        1.66     £20 Back         1st        +£13.2

3:15     Sandown          Lang Shining                 6.0       £20 Back         L          – £20

4:25     Sandown          Strictly                          6.0       £20 Back         L          – £20

Results for Day 28 – (23rd August 2009)

3:10     Folkestone       Calatrava Cape            13.0     £20 Back         L          – £20

3:50     Musselburgh     Melody in the Mist       2.0       £20 Back         1st        +£20

4:10     Folkestone       Tinkerbell                     3.0       £20 Back         L          – £20

4:20     Musselburgh     La Zamora                   7.5       £20 Back         L          – £20

4:40     Folkestone       Imperial Skylight           13.0     £20 Back         L          – £20

Results for Day 29 – (24th August 2009)

2:20     Hamilton           Sands of Dee                6.0       £20 Back         1st        +£120

2:30     Windsor           Robinson Cruso            10.0     £20 Back         L          – £20

3:20     Hamilton           Sunnyside Tom             1.8       £40 Back         1st        +£32

3:20     Hamilton           Fishforcompliments       3.75     £20 Back         L          – £20

5:00     Windsor           Zamario                        6.0       £20 Back         1st        +£100

5:20     Hamilton           First Swallow               9.5       £20 Back         L          – £20

Results for Day 30 – (25th August 2009)

2:30     Southwell         Exemplary                    11.0     £20 Back         L          – £20

3:00     Southwell         Comedy Hall                2.5       £20 Back         L          – £20

Starting Bank:               £1,000.00

Bank brought forward:  £1,045.35

Profit/ Loss:                  £    18.80 Profit

Bank to date:              £1,064.15

0 comments

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Chris

August 27, 2009

Betting Miracle

Betting Miracle Final Review

It is very tempting to dismiss this system as rubbish and recommend that Graham places it in the failed category, but there may just be a little gem lurking in flotsam.

First thing to put my back up is the sales page. I looked at buying this before Graham offered it to me to test. The sales page was horrible high-pressure waffle full of the usual emotional triggers normally spouted by the Rochdale gang. This alone persuaded me not to buy!

Having received the system to test I had a question about how to apply the odds filters to the Place Market variant (more on this below), but, hold on, no contact details for the author! Together with the sales page I immediately though SCAM. But I have operated the system for 30 days just to check.

The system revolves around backing clear Racing Post favourites. Now here is a small problem; if you want the data before 9:30 each day it is going to cost you £7.50 per month. The system uses the “free” data which is available later in the morning.

As we know, favourites don’t always win and 11 filters are then applied in an attempt to weed out some of these losers. The filters are easy to apply and a busy Saturday took about 20 minutes to analyse, so the system is easy to operate.

The system operates by backing selected horses to win. The odds filters mean you are backing at around evens, so there is no opportunity to back each-way. Here is the next problem; the Strike rate has to be greater than 50% to make a profit as one loss will wipe out the profit of one win at evens. The trail generated 12 selections and only 3 won, a Strike Rate of 25%, way below the requirement. The overall loss is £59.98.

Further only 12 selections per month is not good, although, to be fair, the manual advocates making selections in the USA, Australia and New Zealand and has links to (what I presume are) Racing Post like publications for these countries. These publications are not free so I did not include them in the trial, and if you do buy the system note that your operating costs will increase. This leads to my next problem; one of the filters revolves around RPR. I have no knowledge of whether the stated publications generate their own ratings, and whether these are regard as highly as the RPR, but it is an inconsistency that the manual states “all rules must be strictly applied “ and one of the rules involves RPR which cannot be applied to offshore racing. Humph, is this yet more evidence of SCAM? Note from above the author is not contactable to ask how this inconsistency can be resolved.

On the Main System analysis this system is defiantly a failure.

However….

The manual also offers a variation removing one of the rules (but still leaving 10), regarding the price of the second favourite. These selections are backed in the Place Market on the betting exchanges (note that I do not mean backed each-way!), and have been reported as Place Market variant during the trial. The average odds of these selections during the trial was 1.47. What this means is a loss will wipe out over 2 wins, so the Strike Rate has to be very high (over 66%). The trial generated 28 selections with 21 winning bets; a 75% Strike Rate generating an overall profit of £16.55 to £10 stakes.

So, here is a potential gem in the dross of the system, just using the system to identify Place Market only bets.

For me, £16.55 is just not enough profit to show for a months worth of betting. If you remove £7.50 to pay for the Racing Post, and consider that at this level of return it will take months to recover the cost of purchase, the situation becomes worse!  But, this aspect of the system did return a profit, and therefore has rescued the system from the bin. I recommend that this system gets filed under neutral…just!

You can get Betting Miracle here:

http://www.cash-master.com/bettingmiracle.php

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Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur

August 27, 2009

Betting Miracle

Day 29 – 26-August

Catterick    05:20    Realt Na Mara    Last!    (Main Systeam and Place market bet)
Main System loss of £10.00
Place Market loss of £10.00

Main System overall loss of £59.98
Place market overall profit of £16.55

Day 30 – 27-August

No selections.

So, that wraps up this trial. summary to follow.

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Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur

August 25, 2009

Betting Miracle

Day 27 – 24-August

Windsor    04:00    Flaming Miracle    (Win & Place Market variants) Placed
Win Market Variant loss of £10.00
Place Market variant profit of £7.51

24-Aug    Kempton 04:10    Bagber    (Place Market variant only) Win
Win Market Variant no bet
Place Market variant profit of £2.38

Win Market Variant loss for today £10.00
Place Market variant profit for today £9.88

Win Market Variant overall loss of £49.98
Place Market variant profit of £26.55

Day 28 – 25-August

Only 2 cards and so no selections today.

0 comments

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur

August 23, 2009

TFQ

It seems that my month’s review feed has expired, nothing received after Friday so this is a final report on this service.

The first three weeks of this were not encouraging, with us some 24% down on our starting bank. However, in the last 6 days of the trial, it did turn around somewhat and finally ended with a total of £130.79. This was solely due to the back bets advised, the lays pulled what could have been a better final total down by £24.90.

So, although I was going to place this on the failed list due to the first three weeks, the last week has persuaded me to move it into the neutral, or unproven category.

My reason for caution is that, on Saturday, I received a mail advising me that selections would no longer be advised by mail, I was exhorted to go to a website where I could pay £5 for the privilege of trying out the new Pointer software for 10 days, after which I would be charged the monthly fee of £45. I don’t know how their clients will receive this, I suppose that if they are satisfied with the service they’ve had, they might wish to pursue it. I can only judge it on the service I tried.

Anyway, the month’s result:

Start bank £100
Final bank £130.79
P/L back bets £55.69
P/L lay bets -£24.90
Strike rate back bets 66%
Strike rate lay bets 40%

UPDATE by Graham Laurie

I personally have found this service to be completely unprofessional. At one point the tips simply stopped for a few days when the guy went away for a long weekend and only bothered to tell us when he returned. They keep moving the goal posts too and although I will put this in the Neutral section as it’s Terry’s decision, my personal advice is to keep well away from these cowboys.

UPDATE 6th January 2010

I just received the following e-mail from a regular reader. I’ve moved this service to the Failed Section.

“Hello Graham
 
I thought you might appreciate an update for one of earlier tests.
 
The company in question is Tax Free Quid and I believe you
referred to them as “cowboys”.
 
I too had a trial of their selections service and wasn’t overly
impressed. I cancelled when they went to a seminar in London
for a few days and selections either failed to arrive or came
too late to be of any use.
 
When they sent me an email regarding their new Football Filter
software I was already guarded but as there was a free 15 day
trial I thought that I had nothing to lose. Even the annual fee
after the trial, at £34, was attractive.
 
When you agree to the trial Paypal shows 15 days free and then
an annual fee of £45.
 
I contacted TaxFreeQuid to point out the error.
 
They have written back to say there is no mistake. They deliberately
quote £34 in the sales email to attract visitors. It is up to the
customer to realise that they will be charged more.
Their reason was that this Advertising Strategy is used by
everyone and there is nothing wrong in doing so.
 
I was flabbergasted and wrote back to that effect.
 
They replied to say that they didn’t know what my problem was
and they would not reply again if I contacted them. The matter was closed.
 
Perhaps you would like to alert your readers. If they are happy to pay £45
then that is fine but be wary of the £34 advertised.
 
All the best”

 

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Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Terry Shepherd

August 23, 2009

Betting Miracle

Day 26 – 23-Aug

No selections for today.

0 comments

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur

August 23, 2009

Betting Miracle

Day 25 – 22-Aug

Sandown    04:25    Rocket Rob    (Win & Place Markets)     Win
Win Market profit £14.06
Place Market variant profit £3.71

Ripon    05:40    Monetary Fund    (Place Market only) Placed
Win Market variant no bet, profit today £14.06
Place Market variant profit £2.85,  profit today £6.56

Win Market variant overall loss £39.98
Place Market overall profit £16.67

0 comments

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur

August 22, 2009

Bookie Demolisher

Results for Days 19 – 21
  

A positive return over the 3 days, with just over 3 points profit. This takes us to about 5 points profit for the last 21 days

Time    Meeting         Horse                   Odds    Stake             Result     Profit/ Loss
Results for Day 19 – (19th August 2009)
2:30     Hamilton           Pacific Bay           8.5       £20 Back          L              - £20

2:40     Carlisle             Cross Key           3.25      £20 Back          L              – £20

3:05     Hamilton           Strathmore         3.25      £40 Back          L              – £40

3:15     Carlisle             First Swallow        4.5       £20 Back          L              – £20

3:40     Hamilton           Stateside             12.0     £20 Back          L              – £20

4:15     Hamilton           Graceful Decent    1.25     £40 Back         1st             +£1.0

4:50     Hamilton           Herrera                5.5       £40 Back         L                +£90

5:00     Carlisle             Steel Cut              13.0     £20 Back         L                – £20

5:25     Hamilton           Duke of Bothwell   15.0     £20 Back         L                – £20

6:50     Folkestone       My Best Bet           8.0       £20 Back         L                – £20

7:20     Folkestone       Sky High Kid          10.0     £20 Back          L                – £20

7:50     Folkestone       Malapropism           6.5       £20 Back         L                – £20

Results for Day 20 – (20th August 2009)
2:40     Lingfield           Dhaawiah               1.18     £20 Back         1st             +£3.6  

4:25     Lingfield           Ancien Regime        2.5       £20 Back         1st             +£30  

Results for Day 21 – (21st August 2009)
3:15     Sandown          Magnetic Force       11.0     £20 Back          L               – £20

5:20     Salisbury          Theladyinquestion   7.00     £40 Back         1st             +£240

5:55     Salisbury          Flaming Miracle        5.5       £20 Back         L               – £20

6:25     Salisbury          Dream Speed          3.5       £20 Back         L               – £20

8:45     Wolves            Satwa Moon             4.5       £20 Back         L               – £20

 

Starting Bank:               £1000.00

Bank brought forward:  £1045.35

Profit/ Loss:                 £   64.60 Profit

Bank to date:               £1,109.95

 

0 comments

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Chris

August 22, 2009

Betting Miracle

Day 25  – 21-Aug

come on everyone, put on your best Hot Chocolate singing voices and “I believe in miracles…”; 3 selections on one day and two of them main system (win market) bets! Pity the results couldn’t have been better though.

Sandown                03:15    valiant knight    Placed
Win market variant loss of £10.00
Place market variant profit of £5.23

Wolverhampton (AW)    09:15    zennerman        Unplaced
Win market variant loss of £10.00
Place market variant loss of £10.00

York                02:50    confront        Win
Win market variant no bet, today’s loss is £20.00
Place market variant profit of £7.22, today’s profit is £ 2.45

Win market variant overall loss is £54.04
Place market variant profit is £10.11

0 comments

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Arthur