Thursday, 4 February, 2010

The Three Key National Hunt Racing System

There were no selections for the system today, not even potential ones.

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Dutch And Win Racing

Selections were provided for three races today.

Loss for Early Prices: -£10.40 (to date £128.41)
Loss for 2′ Prices: -£12.57 (to date £87.93)

One winning race from the three today, which gave us a loss on the day.

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Dubai Strategies

Day 24

GBP/USD  +4.5%  (0%)
EUR/USD  +5%    (+23%)
Scalps       0%     (+36%)

Two nice trades on the GBP/USD and EUR/USD today but the scalps resulted in a break-even day.

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Dubai Strategies

Day 23

GBP/USD  Break-even trade (-4.5%)
EUR/USD +5%                   (+18%)
Scalps     No trades            (+36%)

Today’s EUR/USD was another trade that was left to its own devices overnight and duly obliged.

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Betfair ATM

Graham has given me Betfair ATM to review.

Originally I had a sinking feeling; Rochdale-crew type system naming (Betfair Ninja, Betfair Espionage, etc). However, this is a new system from the stables of the folks who brought us the nifty “place lay formula”. So we have some pedigree to play with!

What you get is a simple pdf of 20 pages, 50% of which walks through some examples. There is a link to a Betfair guide if you need it though.

The system is 8 simple rules, and the staking plan is level stakes.

The downside for the 9-to-5ers is that this is a real time only system as you are reacting to odds movements throughout the race. Hence, this is not something that you can fire-and-forget.

Another pre-requisite is access to Fairbot (author’s prefered), Betting Assistant (my prefered) or some other solid trading platform (Bet Angel et al). You are unlikely to be able to get the bets placed quickly enough any other way. GreyHorseBot (GHB) is NOT suitable for this system. Excel wizzes should be easily able to program a spreadsheet to monitor and place bets where the trading platform offers this facility.

The rules are simple enough to enable me to hack together a bot to collect the requisite data. That way I don’t have to be at the computer all day and most of the night collecting data for you! I tested the bot on Wednesday 3rd Feb, and it appeared to be running OK, so I am running it from Thursday 4th.

The staking plan is level stakes, so I will use straight £10 bets.

I will run the bot each day and post the results. One word of caution though, I am reliant on a stable Betfair connection and there have been a few issues there of late. I might have to scrub some days due to bot failure. Hopefully not many!

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Betfair Miracle

Finally we got some qualifying bets:

29th January

Chepstow - 3.30 - Quazy De Joie +£95
Lingfield - 4.00 - Billy Red +£95
Wolverhampton - 7.10 - Sheshali (6.40) -£540

 

3rd February

3.40 - Exeter - Anay Turge +£95
7.00 - Kempton - Turf Time +£95

Total Profit:-£65

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ATM-FX

Wednesday 3rd February

An easy, straightforward winner this morning.

Profit Today: £200
Total Profit: £2450 

Thursday 4th February

Another winning trade first thing.

Profit Today: £200
Total Profit: £2650

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Profit Before Work

Wednesday 3rd February

A losing trade today.

Scalping Profit Today:-£150
All Day Profit Today:-£150

Total Scalping Profit: £150
Total All Day Profit: £900

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Football Fibonacci

One successful selection yesterday.

RESULTS Wednesday, 03-02-10

Bank: £1029.50  

Match 1: winning lay £10 @ 1.95 = £9.50 profit
Bank: £1039.00
Overall P/L £39.00

Next stake £5.00

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gamekeeper turned poacher

day 19

3 lays, 2 losers 1 winner, +1 on the day

-9 running total

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