From the daily archives:

Sunday, February 28, 2010

February 28, 2010

Dutching Diamond

Results for Monday 22nd February – Sunday 28th February

22nd Feb
No selections

23rd Feb
14:40 Lingfield
Equorr Redfeer (8/1), Tuscan King (4/6), Underworld Dandy (12/1) – CPM:21.20 – No Bet (Odds On!)

24th Feb
No selections

25th Feb
13:55 Thurles
Premier Victory (3/1), Quadrillon (11/2), Western Leader (4/1) – CPM:39.62 – WON (+£9.30)
15:45 Southwell
Il Forno (3/1), Anjomarba (2/1), Tamarind Hill (5/1) – CPM:25.00 – LOST (-£30.00)

26th Feb
14:10 Warwick
Peveril (11/4), Little George (10/1), Court In Motion (5/6) – CPM:9.70 – No Bet (Odds On!)
14:40 Warwick
Double Handful (7/1), Fin Vin De Leu (4/6), No Sting (9/2) – CPM:9.32 – No Bet (Odds On!)
15:20 Thurles
An Cathaoir Mor (5/2), Jagoes Mills (5/4), Kempes (9/2) – CPM:8.80 – No Bet
15:50 Warwick
Double Pride (2/1), Sandofthecolosseum (7/4), Dream Leader (8/1) – CPM:19.19 – WON (+£30.00)
17:25 Warwick
Baby Run (8/11), Bon Accord (4/1), Here’s Johnny (7/2) – CPM:-0.12 – No Bet (Odds On!)

27th Feb
13:35 Navan
Son Amix (5/2), The Ride Aint Free (5/1), Asiya (7/1) – CPM:42.26 – WON (+£10.00)
13:50 Chepstow
Bring On The Judge (8/1), Crannaghmore Boy (7/4), Macdougal (20/1) – CPM:47.76 – WON (+£10.00)
14:05 Navan
coole river (5/2), Thegreatjohnbrowne (10/1), Pittoni (9/10) – CPM:9.71 – No Bet (Odds On!)
15:50 Lingfield
Argonil (3/1), Green Manalishi (8/1), Jaconet (11/10) – CPM:16.27 – WON (+£10.00)
16:15 Navan
Across The Bay (10/3), Hangover (5/4), Bronte Bay (4/1) – CPM:12.48 – LOST (-£70.14)

28th Feb
13:10 Leopardstown
False Evidence (6/1), King Of The Refs (11/10), Kingsmoss (3/1) – CPM:13.10 – WON (+£70.14)
15:30 Clonmel
Becolark (2/1), Darby’s Turn (5/2), Quartetto (9/4) – CPM:7.33 – No Bet
15:35 Fontwell
Lough Derg (13/2), Afsoun (9/1), Qozak (11/4) – CPM:50.00 – LOST (-£10.00)
16:05 Fontwell
Mr Ed (12/1), Murphy’s Cardinal (2/1), Accumulus (14/1) – CPM:52.31 – LOST (-£9.12)
16:20 Leopardstown
Made In Taipan (7/1), Tranquil Sea (4/6), Snowy Morning (5/1) – CPM:10.83 – No Bet (Odds On!)

Weekly P/L: £20.18
Current Bank: £2150.88

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Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Alistair Moffatt

February 28, 2010

Lay The Ratings

Todays results were as follows:

Selections: 3 (one selection under minimum price limit)
Winners: 1
Losers: 1

To Staking Plan:
Loss at Early Prices: -£44.80 (to date £44.39)
Loss at 2”² to off: -£27.81 (to date £96.09)

To Level Stakes:
Loss at Early Prices: -£13.50 (to date £117.50)
Loss at 2”² to off: -£19.50 (to date £108.90)

Slight knock to the profits today. What the results hide is a runner at 25.00 (am prices), 17.50 (2′), 16.50 (BSP) was a winner for the system. I know that the staking plan adjusts for higher prices, I wouldn’t want to lay a horse at those prices in case it won.

I would add that this is not a criticism of the system in any way, just an observation that is not apparent at face value.

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Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by David Aston

February 28, 2010

Tyche Windfall/Chrysos System

Results for Monday 22nd February – Sunday 28th February

Tyche Windfall
22/02/10 15:10 Wolverhampton – Sotik Star – LOST (-£27.60)
22/02/10 15:10 Wolverhampton – Straight Face – LOST (-£27.60)
22/02/10 16:40 Lingfield – Sir Edwin Landseer – LOST (-£27.60)
22/02/10 16:40 Lingfield – Elusive Ronnie – WON @ 4.80 (+£99.64)
22/02/10 16:40 Lingfield – Sweet Applause – LOST (-£27.60)
24/02/10 14:45 Lingfield – Fong’s Alibi – LOST (-£27.60)
24/02/10 14:45 Lingfield – Hip Hip Hooray – LOST (-£27.60)
24/02/10 15:55 Lingfield – Ten Down – LOST (-£27.60)
24/02/10 18:30 Kempton – Dvinksy – LOST (-£27.60)
25/02/10 19:40 Kempton – Lord Fidelio – LOST (-£27.60)
26/02/10 18:40 Wolverhampton – Magnitude – LOST (-£27.60)
28/02/10 15:20 Kempton – Hurakan – WON @ 2.20 (+£31.47)
28/02/10 15:20 Kempton – Sedgwick – N/R

Weekly P/L: £-144.89
Current Bank: £545.07
Next Stake: £27.60

Chrysos
2 selections – 2 LOST (-£42.00)

Weekly P/L: -£42.00
Current Bank: £356.46
Next Stake: £21.00

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Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Alistair Moffatt

February 28, 2010

1000 Points A Year

Results for Sunday 28th February
2 selections. 1 winner and 1 loser.

Daily P/L: £8.96
Daily Pts: 0.36

Current Bank: £1990.70
Current Pts Profit: -0.37

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Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Alistair Moffatt

February 28, 2010

Gold Lay

Gold Lay is a lay betting service that also hosts it’s own betting bot for subscribers. It appears that the bot has been created by the same company that did the JCA Racing bot.

Gold Lay bets on favourites and second favourites that have odds between 2.00 and 3.00 but also bases it’s selections on number of runners, jockey and trainer form, previous bets placed in Betfair and previous race finishes.

It comes up with a selection 45 seconds before the off so you have to use the bot for this to work. You get to choose three levels of risk. Beginners uses a stake of bank/25 and claims an average profit of 30% per month. Intermediate uses a stake of Bank/20 with claimed profits of 40% per month. Advanced uses a stake of bank/16.67 and claims an average of 50% per month.

On the highest risk it tells you that you can afford to have 13 losing selections in a row. (average odds stands at 2.25). The longest losing run from 1991 to date stands at 10 losers in a row.

Again, this will be easy to test. I’m using a £1000 bank, I’ve got the risk setting to Intermediate which is a level stake of £50 per bet.

I started on 24th and was disappointed to have a losing day for my first day. However, the following three days have been profitable:

24th -£176
25th +£146.50
26th +95
27th +£119
Total Profit: £184.50

 

As with the JCA bot, this one does not need to be switched on in the mornings. Once set up, there is nothing further to do except withdraw your winnings occasionally. Sounds good, but lets see how it performs!

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Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Graham

February 28, 2010

JCA Racing

JCA Racing is a betting service that will be very easy to test. They offer back bets to be used with a progressive staking plan but the cool thing about this particular service is that the subscription also includes a betting bot that is hosted on their own server which places all the bets for you. You do get sent an e-mail each day with the days selections plus they are available in the members area of the website, so you can place the bets yourself if you prefer, but by far the simplest thing to do is to use the bot.

Now, I’m wary of giving out my Betfair username and password, so for this test I set up a separate Betfair account, funded it with £500, and used that.

You get to choose what level of risk you want to take, aiming for a profit per race of 0.33, 0.45, or 0.6% of bank. I have opted for 0.45 to see how it does.

Just like my own Cash Master system, this service doesn’t blindly keep increasing the stakes hoping for a winner. When it hit’s a losing run, it stops the sequence and goes into recovery mode by splitting the current loss over a series of smaller cycles. Again, this is all done automatically by the bot.

Since the bot is hosted on their own site, there really is nothing more to do once you’ve set it up. You don’t even need to turn it on each morning. Theoretically, if it proves to be profitable, all you would need to do is withdraw your winnings every now and then.

I started using this on Friday 19th February. They don’t bet on Saturdays so I’ve had six days of betting and my balance currently stands at £527.02. This isn’t bad at all. They seem to have a pretty high strike rate too. I’ll update this daily from now on.

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Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Graham