From the daily archives:

Friday, April 13, 2012

April 13, 2012

Football Value Selections

Day 23:

14-04-2012

This is the fourth Saturday of the trial so far. The last three have give a real mixed bag of results. Two have given fairly big losses but the other has given the best day of the trial so far. I like Saturdays as the large number of selections usually does a good job of smoothing out the inconsistencies of the games selected. Long-term Saturdays are among the most consistent days so it will be interesting to see how the selections fair tomorrow. There are 52 of them, so a lot to go at.

ENGLAND: Barclays Premiership Sunderland- : -Wolves Sunderland 1.55
ENGLAND: Barclays Premiership Swansea- : -Blackburn Swansea 2.05
ENGLAND: Championship Barnsley- : -Cardiff City Cardiff City 2.00
ENGLAND: Championship Burnley- : -Coventry Burnley 2.05
ENGLAND: Championship Doncaster R- : -Portsmouth Portsmouth 2.75
ENGLAND: Championship Nottm Forest- : -Blackpool Nottm Forest 2.50
ENGLAND: Championship Nottm Forest- : -Blackpool Blackpool 3.00
ENGLAND: Championship West Ham- : -Brighton West Ham 1.70
ENGLAND: League One Colchester- : -Sheffield Wed Sheffield Wed 2.00
ENGLAND: League One Hartlepool- : -Chesterfield Hartlepool 2.10
ENGLAND: League One Preston NE- : -Huddersfield Huddersfield 2.25
ENGLAND: League One Scunthorpe Utd- : -MK Dons MK Dons 2.40
ENGLAND: League One Sheffield Utd- : -Leyton Orient Sheffield Utd 1.40
ENGLAND: League One Wycombe Wanderers- : -Oldham Athletic Wycombe Wanderers 2.25
ENGLAND: League Two Aldershot- : -Dag & Red Aldershot 2.20
ENGLAND: League Two Cheltenham Town- : -Accrington Stanley Cheltenham Town 1.91
ENGLAND: League Two Crawley Town- : -Wimbledon Wimbledon 8.50
ENGLAND: League Two Morecambe- : -Port Vale Draw 3.50
ENGLAND: League Two Oxford United- : -Gillingham Oxford United 2.10
ENGLAND: League Two Shrewsbury- : -Rotherham Rotherham 4.50
ENGLAND: League Two Shrewsbury- : -Rotherham Draw 3.60
ENGLAND: League Two Torquay- : -Southend Utd Torquay 2.30
ENGLAND: FA Cup Liverpool- : -Everton Liverpool 2.60
ITALY: Serie A Milan- : -Genoa Milan 1.29
ITALY: Serie A Milan- : -Genoa Genoa 17.00
ITALY: Serie A Udinese- : -Inter Udinese 2.50
ITALY: Serie B Cittadella- : -Ascoli Draw 3.20
ITALY: Serie B Modena- : -Varese Draw 3.00
ITALY: Serie B Verona- : -Bari Draw 3.40
SPAIN: Primera Division Real Madrid- : -Sporting Gijon Real Madrid 1.08
SPAIN: Liga Adelante Elche- : -FC Cartagena FC Cartagena 7.00
SPAIN: Liga Adelante Cordoba- : -Sabadell Cordoba 1.53
SPAIN: Liga Adelante Girona- : -Barcelona B Girona 3.10
GERMANY: Bundesliga Bayer- : -Hertha Bayer 1.60
GERMANY: Bundesliga Hamburger- : -Hannover Hamburger 2.40
GERMANY: Bundesliga Kaiserslautern- : -Nurnberg Nurnberg 2.50
GERMANY: Bundesliga Schalke 04- : -Borussia D. Borussia D. 2.25
GERMANY: Bundesliga Bayern- : -Mainz Mainz 12.00
GERMANY: Bundesliga Bayern- : -Mainz Draw 6.00
FRANCE: League Cup Lyon- : -Marseille Lyon 2.63
SCOTLAND: Division 1 Ross County- : -Dundee Ross Coun 2.10
SCOTLAND: Division 2 Airdrie- : -Brechin City Airdrie 1.95
SCOTLAND: Division 2 Airdrie- : -Brechin City Brechin City 4.20
SCOTLAND: Division 3 Berwick Rangers- : -Alloa Athletic Alloa Athleti 2.05
SCOTLAND: Division 3 East Stirlingshire- : -Clyde Clyde 2.25
NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie Feyenoord- : -Excelsior Draw 8.50
NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen- : -Heerenveen NEC Nijmegen 2.63
NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie Twente- : -NAC Twente 1.29
BELGIUM: Jupiler League, Playoffs I Anderlecht- : -Genk Anderlecht 1.50
BELGIUM: Jupiler League, Playoffs II Mechelen- : -Oud-Heverlee Mechelen 1.70
BELGIUM: Jupiler League, Playoffs II Mons- : -Lokeren Lokeren 3.50
BELGIUM: Jupiler League, Playoffs II Zulte-Waregem- : -Germinal Beerschot Zulte-Waregem 1.95
       

 

Filed under Football by Stuart

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April 13, 2012

Football Value Selections

Day 22 Results:

13-04-2012

Nothing special about the day, only three selections of the eight were winners, giving a small loss.

 

Points: -0.48

Total Points: +5.89

 

Filed under Football by Stuart

0 comments

April 13, 2012

Football Value Selections

Day 22:

Just realised a mistake for todays selections. I have included the Twente Vs Nac Breda as a game for this evening. It is actually a game tomorrow, so there is eight selections for tonight and not nine.

Just wanted to make it clear before tonights games finished. The game may still be a selection for tomorrow, we will see later.

Filed under Football by Stuart

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April 13, 2012

Easy Lay Elite

Day 1 – 09 Apr: 15 winning bets and 1 loser
Using emailed prices of 8.6 or less: -£27.50
Using emailed prices of 41 or less: £86.50
Using BSP of 8.6 or less: -£25.50
Using BSP of 41 or less: £60.00
Using 8.6 in-running: £22.00
Using 41 in-running: £69.50

Day 2 – 10 Apr: 13 winning bets and 2 loser
(Thackeray won off 27)
Using emailed prices of 8.6 or less: £24.50
Using emailed prices of 41 or less: -£138.50
Using BSP of 8.6 or less: £7.90
Using BSP of 41 or less: -£176.60
Using 8.6 in-running: -£30.10
Using 41 in-running: -£176.60

Day 3 – 11 Apr: 33 winning bets and 2 loser
No odds in the email for this day
Using emailed prices of 8.6 or less: £0.00
Using emailed prices of 41 or less: £0.00
Using BSP of 8.6 or less: -£66.90
Using BSP of 41 or less: £151.60
Using 8.6 in-running: £37.60
Using 41 in-running: £161.10

Day 4 – 12 Apr: 11 winning bets and 0 loser
Using emailed prices of 8.6 or less: £28.50
Using emailed prices of 41 or less: £104.50
Using BSP of 8.6 or less: £38.00
Using BSP of 41 or less: £104.50
Using 8.6 in-running: £66.50
Using 41 in-running: £104.50

Overall : 72 winning bets and 5 loser
Using emailed prices of 8.6 or less: £25.50
Using emailed prices of 41 or less: £52.50
Using BSP of 8.6 or less: -£46.50
Using BSP of 41 or less: £139.50
Using 8.6 in-running: £96.00
Using 41 in-running: £158.50

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Arthur

4 comments

April 13, 2012

Sick!

Please accept my apologies for not replying to e-mails over the last few days. I was in hospital yesterday on a morphine drip with severe stomach cramps. Tests show nothing serious and the doctors suspect it may be a bad case of gastroenteritis, but as you can imagine I haven’t been able to attend to business.

I’m home now, in bed, doped up on codeine and feeling a little better so I’ll attempt to get through some of the e-mail backlog.

Your patience and understanding is much appreciated. I’m generally a very fit and well chap so should be back to normal soon.

Thanks

Graham

Filed under General by Graham

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April 13, 2012

Football Value Selections

Day 22:

13-04-2012

A few for Friday, hopefully Friday the 13th won’t be to bad.

ENGLAND: League Two Barnet- : -Hereford Barnet 2.20
SPAIN: Liga Adelante Almeria- : -Villarreal II Draw 3.90
GERMANY: Bundesliga Stuttgart- : -Werder Stuttgart 1.87
GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga Greuther Furth- : -St. Pauli Greuther Furth 1.75
GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga Hansa- : -FSV Frankfurt Hansa 2.10
FRANCE: Ligue 2 Clermont- : -Angers Clermont 2.10
FRANCE: Ligue 2 Istres- : -Troyes Troyes 3.75
NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie Twente- : -NAC Breda Twente 1.29
NETHERLANDS: Jupiler League Helmond Sport- : -Cambuur Leeuwarden Helmond Sport 1.95
       

Filed under Football by Stuart

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April 13, 2012

Football Value Selections

Day 21 Results:

12-04-2012

A winning day to finish the third week. Would have been even better if Standard had not conceded in injury time.

 

Points: +2.70

Total Points: +6.37

 

So far the weekly results look like this:

Week 1: -15.46

Week 2: +10.79

Week 3: +11.04

Let’s see what week four brings.

 

Filed under Football by Stuart

0 comments

April 13, 2012

Easy Lay Elite

After a little confusion in the Cash Masters offices I am looking at the Easy Lay Elite service. The service provides a daily email of selections for £19.97 per month or £37.99 per quarter (a tad under £13 per month).

Chris suggests that the selections are used in one of two ways:

  1. Over time solid and consistent profits have been achieved by laying all of the selections but occasionally one or two of the higher priced ones will go on to win their races. There is actually an upper SP of 41 here.
  2. If you prefer a lower risk option then we suggest that you use the sensible maximum lay price of 8.60.

I will follow both methods and will also add a third, where 8.6 is matched in-running.

I will show results based on the returned Betfair SP and 5% commission will be deducted from the winning lays. Please be aware other people may get slightly different figures depending on when their lay bets are placed. I will use £10 per bet.

I have actually be receiving the selections since Monday, so I will post some results shortly.

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Arthur

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