From the category archives:

Football

May 22, 2013

Soccer4mula

RUNNING BANK 506.32 POINTS

A very rough week for this service.

After the cracking week previous where 2 100+point wins were recorded, we’ve had pretty much the polar opposite this week with 2 consecutive wipe out days where not once result went out way. When staking 30 points each and every day, these can get expensive and the bank has dipped to 359.03 points. Still over 100 up on the starting level of 250 though, so not panic stations by any means.

SOCCER4MULA RESULTS

Filed under Football by Liam

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May 22, 2013

Kick Off Profits

RUNNING BANK 93.63 POINTS

Another torrid week for this service.

More losses have been incurred and the type of bet targeted has changed significantly. All this last week we have been advised 2 bets on each selected game. A version of an out right result and a correct score bet. Only 2 of the correct score bets have landed and they have been at the (relatively) low price end of that market.

The bank now stands at 76.08 points from it’s starting point of 150.

I will wrap this trial up in the next 2 weeks as that will have completed a full 2 months worth of results

KICK OFF PROFITS RESULTS

Filed under Football by Liam

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May 22, 2013

Soccer Stats Betting

I’ve been receiving and recording selections for this tipster service since early February and it’s now time to give a final verdict as the big European leagues that this focuses on have either finished or a game away from doing so.

I’m sorry to say that things have not gone very well after an initial encouraging start and we end the trial with a bank of £924 from a starting point of £1000 and using Level Stake bets of £10.

A Strike Rate of 55% was recorded across all selection since the beginning and, at average odds of 1.80, we needed it to be significantly higher to turn a profit.

I sincerely hope that the owner (Keith) is able to tweak his selection process and kick on next season making good profits. He seems a perfectly nice and honest guy and deserves to be successful.

I’d be willing to have another look at a revamped service next season but for now I’m afraid it must be filed under FAILED.

SPREADSHEET OF ALL RESULTS

Filed under Football by Liam

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May 16, 2013

Soccer Stats Betting

RUNNING BANK £926.70

A quiet 10 days from this service. We had a few bets over last weekend that made a small profit:

8/5

Pescara v Milan Away Win @ 1.2 WON

10/5

Lille v Reims Home Win @ 1.4 WON

11/5

Villa v Chelsea Away Win @1.85 WON

Furth v Freiburg Away Win @1.83  WON

Werder v Frankfurt Away Win  LOST

12/5

Evian TG v Nice Away Win  LOST

RUNNING BANK £929.50

Filed under Football by Liam

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May 16, 2013

Kick Off Profits

RUNNING BANK 164.43 POINTS

This service has had a horrible run over the last week or so. A serious dent has been made to the bank and it now stands at 93.63 points from its starting position of 150.

It does seem that the tipster is trying to change tack a little over the last week or so and it is not working for them so far.

KICK OFF PROFITS SPREADSHEET

Filed under Football by Liam

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May 16, 2013

Soccer4mula

A very decent 10 days since my last update. We’ve had two 100pt+ winning days and a good few other small profits. The bank now stands at 506.32 points up to last night from a starting point of 250, that’s pretty good in anyone’s book

SOCCER4MULA RESULTS SPREADSHEET

Filed under Football by Liam

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I’m going to review the Arbitrage software/service from Mick Cruickshank. Mike is well known for his Bonus Bagging service, which has already been approved on Cash-Master and I was one of the many that went on to sign up after the review. It has been quite successful, living up to its claims.  So, recently when I started receiving some emails from Mike about his new arbitrage software, I was already interested.

I’m initially going to describe the product, and then over the next few weeks report how I’ve been getting on. There are some bold claims, about being able to “make 100% profits every day, for the rest of your life”, so lets see if they hold up.

The arbitrage software is accessed online and there are a series of videos that explain all the features of the software.  The videos are all about 2 minutes long, and literally within 10 minutes you are up and ready to go.  The software is very easy to use and is completely intuitive.  It covers Horse Racing, Football, Tennis, Cricket and Ice Hockey.

When you hit the refresh button, the software goes off and looks at all the rates from all the book makers and then within a few seconds, lists the arbitrage opportunities. They are listed with all the appropriate details that you need to know, but no more, so the screen is not cluttered and it is easy to read. There is a very good filter system so that you can easily restrict the list of results to ones that you are more likely to be interested in.  You can filter on almost any criteria, so you can limit the bookies, or maybe just football arbs, you can have min or max odds, etc, etc. The filtering is very good and makes it even easier to see the opportunities you are interested in.

Once you see an arbitrage opportunity that you are interested in, the software provides 2 links, one for the bookmaker and one for the exchange where the bet will be laid. So, theoretically, you click each of the 2 links, place the bets, and then simply wait for the event to finish, whereupon, you see the profit.

I have not yet placed any bets, but I have been looking periodically over the last few days and it looks to me like it is doing exactly what it says it is.  The links take you straight to the page where you place the bets, so within seconds, you should be all done. When you hit the refresh button, there are opportunities appearing all the time.  There is one column that tells you instantly what the percentage profit is likely to be. Typically the range is anything from 1% to about 15%.

Sounds great, up to 15% profit. Well, don’t think for one minute that you can just up the stakes and then see large amounts of money rolling in. It isn’t quite like that. There are 2 elements that really control what you can bet.  Firstly it is the odds. If you have high odds then you will need a very large bank since the liability at the exchange could be huge.  Equally, when you switch to low odds to lower the liability, you need to place a very large bet in order for the profit to be worthwhile, but this is limited by the availability of money at the exchange.

So, it is very much a balancing act. You are trying to find a balance between which opportunities have enough money in the exchange that makes it worthwhile, against what the odds are and hence how much money you need to invest in order to cover the liability.

Now this is all risk free, you are not losing the money because obviously if you lose at the exchange, then you have won at the bookie. But, tying up several thousand pounds just to make £50, is it worthwhile?  That is probably down to each person to decide.

On my first day using the software, I made some notes at a couple of different times, about how many bets, and how much money would have been needed, in order to make £50 profit. The first time, I needed 6 events, with £895 on bookie bets, £991 laid on the exchange, and a bank in the exchange of £6576, to cover all the liabilities.  So that is nearly £8500 that I would have needed to tie up to make the £50.

The next time I tried it a few hours later it was completely different. I would have needed £660 in bookie bets, £674 laid on the exchange and a bank of £1964 to cover the liability. So, around £3300 required to make just under the £50.

I have also seen one opportunity requiring a Bet of £1500, Lay of £1630, and a liability of only £326, giving a profit of £48.91. So I need to invest £3456 for a profit of £49. And that is in just one bet.

Now, I don’t know how typical these figures are, they could represent a good day, or a bad day, I simply don’t know yet, but I am hoping to find out.

There is another aspect to this that also needs to be considered.  You need to have money in several bookies, and both Betfair and Betdaq, for this to work. If the accounts aren’t ready, then when you come to place the bets you will have to transfer money first, and by the time that process is completed, the odds could have changed, or the arb opportunity could have gone completely. Mike says in one of his videos that he chooses about 5 bookies on any particular day, and puts money into just those accounts.  He then filters the arbs to limit them to just those bookies.  The point is, you will need to have sufficient money spread across several bookies, and more in the exchanges. Now of course, the amount you need will depend on your target profit and the size of your bets. So, it is all relative.

I will be monitoring the software over the next few weeks so see how this works for real and what sort of money is required. A big part of the process will be the execution time to get the bets placed, so I will be using real money accounts.  The question will be, how much money do I actually need, and how much profit will it make.

You can get The Bonus Bagging Arbitrage software here:

http://www.cash-master.com/BonusBaggingAuto.php

Filed under Cricket,Football,General,Horse Racing Systems,Multi-Sport,Tennis by Jason

2 comments

May 7, 2013

Soccer4mula

RUNNING BANK 404.97 points

Quite a poor week with the profit continuing to erode. Yesterday was particularly bad with a full loss recorded on both bets, costing 30 points in all. However it is still in profit overall and that’s the main thing. Could do with a decent win soon though.

RUNNING BANK 313.46 POINTS

SOCCER4MULA SPREADSHEET

Filed under Football by Liam

0 comments

May 7, 2013

Kick Off Profits

RUNNING BANK  131.54 POINTS

Bit of a recovery this last week mainly due to one big 10 point bet that won, giving a profit of 25 points. To be fair, it would still have been in profit without that one big hit.

RUNNING BANK 164.43 POINTS

KICK OFF PROFITS SPREADSHEET

Filed under Football by Liam

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May 7, 2013

Soccer Stats Betting

RUNNING BANK £917.00

4/5

QPR v Arsenal Away Win @ 1.44 WON

Brighton v Wolves Home Win @2.00 WON

Marseilles v Bastia Home Win @ 1.57 WON

Toulouse v Lille Away Win LOST

Nurnburg v Leverkusen Away Win @ 1.91 WON

Fiorentina v Roma Over 2.5  LOST

Granada v Malaga Away Win  LOST

5/5

Freiburg v Augsburg Home WIn @ 2.05  WON

RUNNING BANK £926.70

 

Filed under Football by Liam

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