Football

Running Bank £1106.50
Bets 13
Wins 9
S/R 69%

FC Haka v HJK Helsinki
50 points over 2.5 goals, 1.90 +£45

Real Salt Lake v Chivas
50 points over 2.5 goals, 2.00 -£50

Vaasa PS v Mariehamn
50 points under 2.5 goals, 1.80 -£50

Running Bank £1051.50
Bets 16
Wins 10
S/R 62.5%

This week I decided to try and use the e-book’s rules on the selections sent for myself. This was mainly done to see if I understood enough to come up with the same bets as the authors. I came up with different stake values for 2 of the bets and a No Bet for the MLS game.

I emailed the authors to ask why that would be seeing as I followed the FACT based rules to the letter and was very thorough in my assessment of the opinion based rule.

I received a very polite and thorough reply stating that it appeared that I was using the book correctly but that for the email service the authors use the rules as a basis but also apply more weight to the own research and opinion.

They explained that they wrote the book to be as easy to understand as possible for the lay-person and whilst I had stated all the fact based figures correctly, they added a layer of opinion and common sense (my wording, not theirs) on top.

I’m happy with that explanation. I have in the past ended trials of services early when it became apparent that a service was telling you one thing in their book and an entirely different thing in their emails, but I’m happy that this is not the case here.

Just for interest purposes, my reading of the rules for the 3 games selected would have been 100pt Overs on Haka (+£90), No Bet on Real Salt Lake and 100pt Under on Vaasa (-£100). So a loss of £10.

Filed under Football by Liam Moroney

Running Bank £1077.50
Bets 10
Wins 7
S/R 70%

New York Red Bulls v Columbus Crew
50 points under 2.5 goals, 1.91 +£45.50

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
50 points under 2.5 goals, 1.67 +£33.50

Santos vs Fluminense
50 points over 2.5 goals, 1.69 -£50

Running Bank £1106.50
Bets 13
Wins 9
S/R 69%

With each bet you are given the name of the bookmaker(s) offering the best odds. As mentioned in a previous post, I always check these when I receive a tip to make sure the prices quoted are available. This week one of the bookmakers advised was Betfair. I was very pleased to see that the odds advised had been reduced by 5% to allow for the commission payable. As always, I did check the price was available and checked the maths to make sure the correct reduction had been made. It all checked out perfectly, so that is a good sign. There are a few concerns I have about this service that I will cover in the final write up (nothing too damning) but I really did appreciate the transparency of the Betfair odds.

Filed under Football by Liam Moroney

Running Bank £1013.50
Bets 8
Wins 5
S/R 62.5%

Uruguay – Germany 50 points, over 2.5 goals, 1.71 +£35.50

Netherlands – Spain 50 points, under 2.5 goals, 1.57 +£28.50

Running Bank £1077.50
Bets 10
Wins 7
S/R 70%

Filed under Football by Liam Moroney

Running Bank £1030

Bets 6
Wins 4
S/R 66%

Uraguay vs Netherlands 50 points under 2.5 goals, 1.57 -£50
Germany vs Spain 50 points under 2.5 goals, 1.67 +£33.50

Running Bank £1013.50

Bets 8
Wins 5
S/R 62.5%

Filed under Football by Liam Moroney