From the category archives:

Football

January 29, 2014

Goal Profits

GP-Com-Logo

What we have here is kind of like the best bits of two services I have reviewed and Approved in the past. It takes the basic premise of Assured Soccer Profits and runs them in a similar fashion to part of the excellent DoomMeister trading. Like both these services, this primarily targets the Correct Score markets on Betfair although they do also advise on Lay The Draw trades as well.

I approved Assured Soccer Profits but did include a few caveats in my write up about it being a little tricky to get the hang of and it being painfully slow going at times but once you got the hang it was a really rather decent money maker. What Goal Profits have done is to take broadly similar principles and make major alterations incorporating more angles and making it easier to get the hang of and providing far more interaction, back up and instruction.

Once you join the service you get access to the member’s area which gives you all the training manuals, videos, statistics files etc that you could ever need.

The manuals are very in-depth but easy to get to grips with, showing examples all the way. There is a Quick Start type version as well for those with limited patience but I really do think you need to read the Full Monty versions before getting started. There’s no claims to massive profits by using huge stakes, all examples and all discussion throughout keep staking to a basic £10 trading level, although your liabilities are higher at some points during the trades they never go into dangerous territory and there’s a good manual on Bankroll Management too.

This is a live inplay trading service so you need to be able to set aside the time the games are actually being played but it’s not high involvement trading so you are able to do other things whilst the game is on going. Just make sure you’ve got a site like Flashscore open so you can get an audio alarm when a goal is scored.

You receive an email every evening outlining what happened during the days trading and giving you the games that Steve (the owner) will be targeting the next day. On a busy day you will get a list of 3-7 games that are being targeted for the systems main two strategies (Correct Score markets) and usually a few games that will be targeted for Lay The Draw trading. There are manuals and videos available to show the complete method for each of the strategies and trading approaches used. These are of course only his suggested games, the brilliant Stats Pages in the Member’s Area are constantly updated and enable you to make your own pick of games to trade. There’s also a very handy “Shortlist” page that shows games with stats that are likely to make them suitable trades.

One of my favourite aspects of this is where it crosses over into a similar style as DoomMeister, you have access to a Live Chatroom. This is a brilliant feature. I’ve been in there a good few times and observed rather than getting involved too much but I’m really impressed with how it works. It’s extremely lively and well populated, I’d say there were around 20 or so people in there all asking/answering questions, chipping in with ideas, giving updates on how their trade was going re liabilities etc, advising how matches they could see were progressing. In fact it has the edge over Doom as it’s all entirely in English with all members joining in freely even when Steve is not in there himself.

This really is a very good service indeed and really much easier to get to grips with than some of the other trading methods I’ve reviewed. You also have the superb back up from Steve himself and the highly entertaining/interesting Chat Room.

When it comes to value for money of joining, if this were a stand alone Trading System where you were given all the Training Manuals, The Selection Manuals and the videos examples and then left to your own devices for a one off fee of £37 then I’d say it was an excellent product and that if you took time to get your head around the method you would certainly make that back in a very short amount of time if keeping stakes sensible and it would serve you longterm as there’s no “loophole” type trading, it’s normal trading on one of the most popular markets. So when you consider that you get all those manuals plus the excellent Statistics Sheets constantly being updated, access to Steve and other members via the Chat Room to help you on your way PLUS the nightly emails with advice on some prime games to target, then I’m happy that this represents good value. So if you can get in while it’s available for £37 you should take advantage. All you need is a sensible bank, a Betfair account and the time to do these games as they’re played.

The ongoing £37 a month subscription is also value for all the reasons stated above plus you have access to all the developments and extra systems available on the website.

This very definitely going in the APPROVED  section.

Want to know more?

Details of Goal Profits membership can be found HERE or you may wish to listen to a recent podcast interview in which he talks more about the service and trading community:

If you have any further questions you can contact Steve through his contact page at Goal Profits. He replies to every email in a timely manner.

Approved2

You can get Goal Profits here:

http://www.cash-master.com/GoalProfits.php

Filed under Football,Trading by Liam

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January 27, 2014

Best Betfair Football Trader

This is a new trial on the tipster service Best Betfair Football Trader.

A straight forward affair where tips are emailed to you mid morning. You are advised to stake 2% of bank per bet. I have been receiving these for just over a week. I did have one query when I received advise to place both a Trixie and a Treble (you can chose to do either or both, the tipster does both so we shall do the same) and I was a little unclear on the staking for the Trixie part. A Trixie, for those that don’t know, is a multiple leg bet where 3 selections are given and they are backed in 3 doubles and a treble. So a total of 4 bets spread across the 3 selections. I was unclear on whether to split the advised 2% stake across the 4 or whether to stake 2% for each leg. I did receive a prompt response advising me to do the latter, so a Trixie will be recorded as 4 point bet. I will be using a £500 start bank, so a basic stake of £10 a point. Subs are a fairly reasonable £17 a month or £167 a year.

Looking at the published previous results, we appear to have joined the service at just the wrong time as it was chugging along nicely but has had a disappointing run. I do believe the previous results as they fit exactly with the type of selection and bet advice we’ve had since the start.

So a poor start but we only need land a weekend Trixie to be back on track:

Bets 13

Wins 3

S/R 23.08%

P/L -£108.27

Adjusted P/L (recalculated stakes daily) -£100.39

BEST BETFAIR FOOTBALL TRADER FULL RESULTS

 

TRY BEST BETFAIR FOOTBALL TRADER HERE

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January 27, 2014

Goals Galore

Bit of a setback this week, especially over the weekend. Still way in profit and we’re now experiencing the the adjustment period I was expecting after over performing in the first month of the trial.

Figs so far:

Bets 69

Wins 44

S/R 74.58%

Av Odds 1.47

Basic Profit (£10 a point)  +£198.50

Adjusted Profit (50 point bank calculated daily) +£227.82

ROI 14.28%

FULL GOALS GALORE RESULTS

 

TRY GOALS GALORE HERE

 

Filed under Football by Liam

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January 13, 2014

Goals Galore

We had our first losing week with this service. To be honest, I’ve been expecting a readjustment for a little while as it’s been performing way above its average returns. So no big deal and still very nicely in profit. The weekend was a total loss and we got a little lucky at the start of the week as two bets were won in injury time, one with the very last kick of the game.

Bets 42

Won 33

S/R 78.57%

AV Odds 1.47

Basic Profit (Based on £10 a point)  £204.70  (20.47 points)

Adjusted Profit (Based on recalculating 50pt bank daily)  £238.38

Basic ROI  20.89%

 

GOALS GALORE DETAILED RESULTS

 

TRY GOALS GALORE HERE

 

 

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January 5, 2014

Goals Galore

A relatively quiet week again but we did have some bets to report.

Still heading in the right direction and maintaining a great strike rate. Got a little lucky with today’s bet when a goal was scored in the 93rd minute to land our double.

Results so far:

Bets 38

Wins 32

Basic Profit £269.50  (26.95pts)

Adjusted Profit (recalculating 50 point bank daily)  £345.81

Average Odds 1.48

S/R 84.21%

R.O.I. 30.28%

Absolutely great performance so far.

GOALS GALORE RESULTS

 

TRY GOALS GALORE HERE

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December 29, 2013

Goals Galore

We’ve not had any bets since last weekend’s update, the leagues they focus on have not had any fixtures. We have had emails to notify us of the no bet days. They have shared a selection or two from other services from the same stable but I’m not going to include those in the trial of GG.

Hopefully they will have some bets soon but the last thing we want is for them to break their rules for the sake of finding a selection. If the leagues they look at all have an official winter break then I would expect to see that reflected in the subscription instructions, if it’s just a quiet period then that’s fair enough.

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December 22, 2013

Goals Galore

Another cracking week for this service. Really is pulling in the profits at the moment. They are performing way above their average level going by the published results from previous months, so we shouldn’t be surprised if/when we have a little wobble soon. I’m still very impressed with how we’ve gone so far.

 

Totals so far:

Bets 32

Wins 27

Losses 4

Void 1

Strike Rate 84.38%

Basic profit (based on £10 a point level stakes)  £229.30

Adjusted Profit (based on recalculating stakes to 50 point bank daily)  £282.52

Basic R.O.I. 30.99%

 

 

SIGN UP FOR GOALS GALORE HERE

Filed under Football by Liam

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December 15, 2013

Goals Galore

A very quiet week for this service with no bets advised Monday-Thursday. No bad thing really as it’s far better to keep your powder dry than bet on something you’re half-hearted about just for the sake of providing a selection.

What bets we did have won, so not much to complain about there.

Current position:

Bets 24

Wins 20

S/R 83.33%

Ave Odds 1.47

Profit:

£159.90  (To £10 level stakes, so 15.99 points)

£182.97 (To daily adjusted stakes based on advice of 50 point bank)

Basic ROI 28.05%

 

 

TRY GOALS GALORE HERE

 

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December 8, 2013

Goals Galore

I’ve been following the fortunes of the Goals Galore tipster service for the last week.

Despite the same name, this is nothing to do with the enhanced BTTS coupon offered by Betfred. What we have here is a service specialising in the Over/Under 1.5 & 2.5 goals markets.

Bets arrive via email every morning at around 10am and are very clear and easy to read. The majority come with prices quoted from either Betfair or Bet365, although I have found better at other firms on several occasions. Only in one instance was I unable to get near the price they quoted, I emailed for advice just incase they had made an error on the market in question. I received a quick reply saying that the price was an error. It was way above what was available and too outlandish to be any attempt to deceive so I’m happy all is above board.

Claims made on the sales page look modestly realistic and achievable, no signs of the dubious 100+ points a month stuff. Subs fees are also reasonable at £19.95 a month or £39.95 a quarter, with your first week available for £1.

On to performance. Well, it’s been a very good start indeed. There’s an average of 2 bets a day, usually it’s a single bet plus a double on the Over 1.5 market. Prices aimed at are low, so a high strike rate is going to be essential. The sales page claims a long term strike rate of around 75% and in the first week I have achieved slightly higher than that with around 82% resulting in a win at average odds of 1.45.

A starting bank of 50 points is advised so I have assumed a notional bank of £500 and £10 per point bets. So far the majority of bets have been 2 point singles and 3 point doubles (usually low priced O1.5 market) with the occasional 1 point single at a slightly higher average price.

Bets 16

Wins 13

Losses 2

Postponed 1

Profit £111.20  (£121.88 if adjusting stake daily)

S/R 81.25%

ROI 30%

Official results for December have not been added to the sales page as yet but I have, as always, been keeping my own spreadsheet of performance with details of each bet inc the best price I have been able to find. If Betfair exchange is used I have adjusted for any comm due at 5%. For some reason Google spreadsheet will not recognise the formula I use in Excel for ROI, it is easily checkable and my quoted fig of 30% is correct

Goals Galore Results

TRY GOALS GALORE HERE

Filed under Football by Liam

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I’ve had access to and have been playing with the Football Rating System website for the last week.

What we have here is something really rather different and I’m very keen on it indeed. It’s been created by the same team behind the ever popular and useful The Staking Machine service.

Rather than it being a tipster service or a selection system it’s a nifty little tool that allows you to create and back test your own systems for 9 of the most popular football leagues in Europe, the 4 pro leagues in England plus the usual suspects from the continent.

It’s still evolving at the moment and they have added a raft of new betting markets this week. You can now create systems and back test results over the last 3 full seasons for Win/Lose/Draw, Over/Under 2.5, Draw No Bet, Double Chance, Odd/Even Total Goals and Both To Score markets. All results can be exported to a spreadsheet for your own study and analysis.

How it works is really very simple but extremely helpful. You set your criteria, back test and fiddle until you are happy you’ve got it how you want it, then when you save your system settings it’ll search for any fixtures in the next 5 days that match up to your requirements. You can then have the selections emailed to you or you can save them to a spreadsheet for later reference. The website saves your system(s) so that when you log in, the first screen you see is a list of upcoming fixtures that match your requirements. You can even see best available price with a single click.

They have told me that they will be refining and adding to the criteria selection part of the site and do say on the site that you can make requests and that all suggestions will be considered. This is a very good idea as a few of the criteria are a little unwieldy at the moment and could do with being more flexible. There’s also been some talk of video examples being produced.

Rather than having to buy and download an actual programme, this is a subscription service that costs a very reasonable £10 a month. Although it may seem a faff to have a subscription rather than buy outright, it’s much better for this sort of thing. Firstly, I would imagine that it would be very expensive to actually buy this as there must be a lot of work involved in setting up such a piece of software.Secondly, if you did pay out a large amount of money to own it and then found that the websites that source this information were to disappear you’d be massively out of pocket. This sort of thing needs constant weekly updating throughout the season to keep it fit for purpose.

A great feature is that you can try it out for FREE, before deciding if you want to subscribe and get the full blown access, which will let you create and back test 1 system. Although you will not be able to save it, it will let you see just how much potential is in your idea and if it’s worth tinkering with.

Those are the factual bits, now for my own personal feelings and findings.

I was a intrigued by the idea of having a site like this, as I do not know of any other Football based one that provides this sort of service. There’s been several Horse Racing ones (most notably the much missed Adrian Massey database) but I’ve not found anything like this for football. My initial reaction was to be a little sceptical as the first version of this only had provision for straight Win/Draw/Lose bets and I’m not really convinced that a purely systemic approach is possible with those bets. Football is so popular and the bookie prices so tight that I think it’s next to impossible to make a system with set criteria profitable long term. For example, it’s easy to find a team that nearly always wins at home when playing a team from lower down the league, the problem is that everyone knows that including the bookie so the price is extremely low and the odd losing run will wipe out any profit. So in my opinion, that sort of market is far more suited to a form reading approach than a set criteria systemic approach.

I was much more encouraged when they added the whole raft of new betting markets to try out earlier this week. There’s definitely more juice to be had in some of those and there’s many different ways to look at the results you get from a report.

The real benefit of his service is in trying out these markets using different approaches. You can even separate Home and Away games once you have your back tested results.

The vast majority of my own betting activities revolve around trading rather than outright betting. This site can even help you with that. The approach I’m most keen on at the moment sort of turns the site’s aims on its head. I decided to try out a system to find Draws, my first attempt to find a backing system was utterly woeful and racked up a massive loss and pitiful strike rate over the last few seasons. Disaster? Hell No, a brilliant way to find a SHORTLIST of games to Lay The Draw trade. Obviously, you can’t take the exact figures that the site provided for this test as a realistic return for LTD trading as exchange prices are higher and you have to pay commission but with only 1 in 9 of my tested games ending in a draw I can attack the trade with more confidence.

That’s just one quick idea I fell into, there’s so much to play with and adjust to suit your own betting style. The owners have said that they will be making improvements as they go along, making criteria more flexible and easier to tailor to various approaches.

I put the word “Shortlist” in bold as I think that’s where this site’s treasure lays for me. I won’t be blindly following any of the selections it finds for me, no matter how good the Strike Rate and ROI it shows. But I will be happily using them as a shortlist to study in much greater detail and will be delighted to have the most boring and longwinded, time consuming part of the job done for me.

You can just log in as a demo user without needing to download or sign up to anything to try out the basic version, use most of the features including the pretty extensive HELP section at the top to get you going, all for free. But I do think that, once you’ve tried it out and can see the potential, the subscription of £10 a month is stupidly good value. This is certainly going in the APPROVED pile for me.

If you like to take a logical approach to finding your bets and can make sure you know the difference between Back Testing and Back Fitting (ie, only use filters with a sensible reason behind them rather than just putting whatever makes the bottom line look better), then this one really is a No-Brainer. Honestly think you’d be daft not to have a free play around with this, if any of the above sounds even slightly interesting.Approved2

TRY THE DEMO HERE

Filed under Football by Liam

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