From the category archives:

Football

October 23, 2013

Goal Market Profits

FINAL  REVIEW & VERDICT

I have just finished the one month free trial offered by this service.

They had been proofing their selections to a betting club for two months prior to going live to the general public and had recorded a profit of 180 points in that period.

Our trial got off to a good start and made good money but sadly the performance could not be maintained. They recommend a starting bank of 200 points but also say that anyone risk adverse should use a 300 point bank. I decided to start at the mid point and went for a 250 point kitty.

By the end of the trial that 250 had been reduced to 92.18 points. That figure is arrived at using the prices the service quoted, which I did find to be accurate for the majority of bets. My own record shows a slightly larger loss (bank ended on 89.42) using actual prices I found as I checked the bets.

The customer service experience started off being extremely good but did tail off as the performance slumped. At the beginning of the trial there were daily updates made to their website and plenty of comments and questions being made and answered, however these stopped as the bank dwindled. Obviously I would not expect them to publish and respond to every comment made as no doubt they had their fair share of foul mouthed abuse thrown at them as the losing run continued but I would have expected them to keep the records up to date and to have published and responded to reasonably worded questions and comments.

I do think that the results they recorded during their initial trial are genuine. They fit the style and pattern used during our live trial and I have not received and comments stating that those figures were manipulated in any way. So I’m willing to accept they did make they profit they claimed during that period.

It has to be said that anyone who was on board from day one of their testing period (11th July) would still be in profit but once you take on board any fees you would have paid, had they been charging their usual rate, then that profit is wiped out and a loss incurred over the period 11th July to 20th October.

I decided against extending the live trial to a second or even third month as I feel that even if the bank was partially recovered over the next month or so, I would be unlikely to able to recommend it to readers given the wild roller coaster style peaks and troughs. The strike rate and average odds recorded during my trial do not instill much confidence of long term success.

As usual, I will publish my spreadsheet of results showing all stats on the far right hand side.

I recommend this service be filed under FAILED.

GOAL MARKET PROFITS SPREADSHEET OF RESULTSFailed

You can try Goal Market Profits here:

http://www.cash-master.com/GoalMarketProfits.php

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October 20, 2013

Goal Market Profits

We head to Denmark on Sunday and the match between Vestsjaelland and Esbjerg.  These teams met last month and Esbjerg won the match 3-1.  Esbjerg have scored in every competitive match this season (16 games in league, cup and Europe) but arrive on the back of two defeats.  The home team Vestsjaelland have made a decent effort after a sluggish start with a home win against second place Aalborg and a draw away to league leaders Midtjylland.  Both teams to score is a decent price given Esbjergs scoring exploits this season.

10pt win with BetVictor

Danish Superliga (KO 3.00pm)

v Esbjerg both teams to score @3/4 (1.75)

Bet365 are 8/11 and a few firms are 7/10.

Also in Denmark, both teams to score looks a good bet in the match-up between FC Copenhagen and Aalborg.  This bet has paid out in all 7 of Copenhagens home matches and in 12 of the 14 matches they have played this season.  Verona have made a great start to life in Serie A with 4 wins, a draw and 2 defeats (to Juventus and Roma).  Only Roma have prevented them from scoring this term.  Parma arrive on the back of three cracking matches with wins over Atalanta (4-3) and Sassuolo (3-1) and a draw with Fiorentina (2-2).  Both sides have the firepower to find the net here.

5pt double with Ladbrokes @1.92/1 (2.92)

Verona v Parma (Italy Serie A KO 2.00pm) both teams to score @3/4 (1.75)

FC Copenhagen v Aalborg (Danish Superliga KO 3.00pm) both teams to score @4/6 (1.67)

BetVictor are next best at 2.89

Vestsjaelland bet WON +7.5

Verona/Copenhagen bet LOST -5

 

END OF TEST P/L  -157.82

I’ll be giving my final verdict shortly. Not much of a cliffhanger though, is it.

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October 19, 2013

Goal Market Profits

Sunderland visit Swansea on Saturday and I am backing both teams to score.  Despite their dire start to the season, Sunderland have only been held goalless in 2 of their 9 competitive games and have scored against Liverpool, Man Utd and Arsenal this season.  Swansea are a decent side and should also get on the scoresheet against the Premierships leakiest defence.

10pt win with BetVictor, William Hill and Ladbrokes

English Premier League (KO 3.00pm)

Swansea v Sunderland both teams to score @10/11 (1.91)

In the Championship, both Barnsley and Middlesbrough have struggled all season to keep a clean sheet between them.  With Barnsleys matches averaging 3.5 goals per game and Middlesbroughs averaging 3.2, then the 5/6 for over 2.5 goals looks worth a bet.  Ipswich and Burnley meet in a game between two of the highest scoring teams in the league.  Ipswich have scored in all their home games this season and Burnley are on a great run of 6 straight wins.  Both teams to score is the second leg of the double.

5pt double with BetVictor @2.17/1 (3.17)

Barnsley v Middlesbrough (English Championship KO 3.00pm) over 2.5 goals @5/6 (1.83)

Ipswich v Burnley (English Championship KO 3.00pm) both teams to score @8/11 (1.73)

Bet365 are next best at 2.92

 

Both Bets Lost -15

RUNNING P/L -160.32 points

Tomorrow will be the last day of my trial and I see little point extending it.

Another reminder to keep a check on your Paypal due date.

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October 18, 2013

Goal Market Profits

One bet for Friday and that is from France Ligue 2.  Chateauroux have a fairly solid home record of P5 W2 D2 L1, scoring 10 goals and conceding 9, the one blip being a 4-0 home defeat to Tours.  In the other 4 matches they have scored an average of 2.5 goals per game.  Visitors Caen make this bet as their away form this season points to an entertaining game.  Away from home their 5 league games this season have finished 1-2, 2-2, 2-3, 1-2 and 2-1.  Both teams to score looks a good bet.

10pt win with BetVictor

France Ligue 2 (KO 7.00pm)

Chateauroux v Caen both teams to score @5/6 (1.83)

Bet365, William Hill, Ladbrokes are all 4/5 (1.8)

 

Bet Lost -10

RUNNING P/L -145.32 POINTS

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October 16, 2013

Goal Market Profits

There are no bets for Thursday 17/10

I want use this post to remind anybody still following the trial to check their Paypal Payment date to make sure they remember to cancel in time, if they do not wish to remain with the service.

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October 16, 2013

Goal Market Profits

Back in Brazils Serie B its an early morning start on Wednesday (01.50am).  ABC sit in 16th place just above the relegation zone.  However they boast the best current form (P5 W5 D0 L0) and the third best form over the last 10 games (P10 W7 D0 L3).  They are unbeaten at home in 10 and that includes 6 straight victories at 3-2, 3-1, 2-0, 4-2, 2-1, 3-2.  Their latest victory was against runaway league leaders Palmeiras, winning 3-2 at home.  In contrast, Sao Caetano are struggling in the relegation places.  They have just 1 point from their last 10 away games, conceding 27 goals.  Over 2.5 goals is overpriced at 10/11 but I will take a punt on ABC to score 3 or more @14/5, given Sao Caetano are in such dire form and have conceded 3 or more in 5 of their last 10 away from home.

10pt win with Sportingbet

Brazil Serie B (KO 01.50hrs)

ABC v Sao Caetano total home goals over 2.5 @14/5 (3.8)

Next best are 888Sport and Unibet @11/4 (3.75)

Staying in Brazil on Thursday evening, the Serie A clash between Santos and Internacional is interesting.  Both these sides pretty much win, lose and draw in equal amounts.  Both Santos and Inter have kept just two clean sheets in 11 games but have also had little trouble scoring during that time.  Both teams to score is the bet.  In Japans Emperors Cup, J-League side Kashiwa have not won or kept a clean sheet in 8 matches.  They face a tricky tie against J2 side Okayama who are vastly improved and are scoring regularly (13 consecutive matches).  Again both teams to score is the bet.

5pt double with Ladbrokes @2.06/1 (3.06)

Santos v Internacional (Brazil Serie A KO 11.30pm) both teams to score @4/5 (1.8)

Kashiwa v Okayama (Japan Emperors Cup KO 11.00am) both teams to score @7/10 (1.7)

BetVictor are next best at 2.94

 

Both Bets Lost -15

RUNNING P/L  -135.32

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October 15, 2013

Goal Market Profits

Tuesday October 15th 2013

Russia U21 have a pretty impressive goals record at home and 13 of their last 14 home games have gone over 2.5 goals.  8 of those matches have gone over 3.5 goals, including the two recent games with Bulgaria U21 that finished 3-3 and 3-1.  Opponents Denmark arrive on the back of two 2-2 draws with Slovenia U21 and wins of 6-0 and 4-1 against Andorra and Northern Ireland.  I was surprised to see over 2.5 goals priced up as high as 7/10 but it is Sportingbet’s 9/5 for over 3.5 goals that really stands out given this outcome is as low as 6/4 elsewhere.

10pt win with Sportingbet

Russia U21 v Denmark U21 (Euro U21 Qualifier KO 3.30pm) over 3.5 goals @9/5 (2.8)

BetVictor are next best at 17/10 (2.7)

If Bulgaria beat the Czechs on Tuesday then they qualify for the World Cup (unless Denmark put a cricket score past Malta).  The Czechs need to win by 2 goals or more and hope for a miracle in Denmark.  With the hosts destination in their own hands this game should open up with plenty of opportunities at either end.  The Czechs have scored in all their away games since an opening 0-0 draw with Denmark last year and Bulgaria have scored in all their home qualifiers.  We also head to Brazil on Tuesday and the Serie B match between two in-form sides in Chapecoense and Ceara.  Home side Chapecoense are in fine scoring form, netting 12 goals in their last 3 games.  9 of their last 12 home games have broken the over 2.5 goals barrier.  Visitors Ceara are also in decent form having scored in 15 consecutive matches and their last 4 away games have also broken the over 2.5 goals barrier.

5pt double with Ladbrokes @2.63/1 (3.63)

Chapecoense v Ceara (Brazil Serie B KO 11.30pm) over 2.5 goals @9/10 (1.9)

Bulgaria v Czech Republic (WC Qualifier KO 7.15pm) both teams to score @10/11 (1.91)

BetVictor are next best at 3.35

Both Bets Lost -15

RUNNING P/L -120.32 points

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October 14, 2013

Goal Market Profits

Not much action on Monday night but an interesting game in prospect between Switzerland U21 and Croatia U21.  The Swiss are favourites to win this but have just wins over Liechtenstein and Latvia this year.  Their previous games saw them lose several high scoring encounters to the likes of Portugal, Sweden and Germany.  Croatia have recent wins over Sweden and Ukraine (away) and look like a decent side.  Both teams to score looks a good bet at the available prices.

10pt win with Ladbrokes

Euro U21 Qualifier (KO 5.30pm)

Switzerland U21 v Croatia U21 both teams to score @3/4 (1.75)

Bet365 are next best at 8/11 (1.73)

Also on Monday night Belgium U21 host Italy U21.  Belgium U21 are unbeaten this year in 6 games and that includes a shock 3-1 win away to Mondays opponents Italy.  However you have to go all the way back to 2011 to find an Italy U21 side that failed to score and better is expected of them in this return fixture.  Both teams to score is the first leg of the double.  In Northern Ireland, Portadown and Glenavon are both averaging 4 goals a game through their first 10 matches and this fixture produced two 3-1 results back in March and April.  Over 2.5 goals makes the second leg of the double.

5pt double with Bet365 @1.68/1 (2.68)

Belgium U21 v Italy U21 (Euro U21 Qualifier KO 7.30pm) both teams to score @8/11 (1.73)

Portadown v Glenavon (Northern Ireland KO 7.45pm) over 2.5 goals 11/20 (1.55)

Ladbrokes are next best at 2.63.

 

Both Bets Lost -15 Points

RUNNING P/L  -105.32 POINTS

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October 13, 2013

Goal Market Profits

Sunday October 13th 2013

An early start in Japan with the Emperors Cup match between Shonan Bellmare and Ventforet Kofu.  Shonan have not kept a clean sheet at home against J League opposition this season.  9 of their last 12 home games have seen both teams scoring.  Kofu have managed to score in 11 straight away matches and in 10 of those the opposition also scored.  Both teams to score is generally 4/6 which makes the 3/4 on offer a bit of value.

10pt win with Ladbrokes

Japan Emperors Cup (KO 5.00am)

Shonan v Kofu both teams to score @3/4 (1.75)

BetVictor are next best at 7/10 (1.7)

 

In Brazil’s Serie A, Criciuma and Vasco meet in a relegation clash.  9 of Criciuma’s last 10 have seen them both scoring and conceding.  At home they have kept just one clean sheet in 11.  Visitors Vasco have found the net in 9 of their last 11 away visits and the reverse fixture finished 3-2 back in July.  Both teams to score looks a good bet.  In the Czech 1st Division, Karvina host Trinec and both teams to score looks overpriced.  Karvina have suffered a bit of a wobble recently with 3 defeats in their last 5 but have only once failed to score at home this season.  Trinec won’t find this easy but have won 5 of 7 away from home and have been shut out just once on their travels.

 

5pt double with 888Sport @2.14/1 (3.14)

MFK Karvina v Trinec (Czech Division 1 KO 3.00pm) both teams to score @ 9/10 (1.90)

Criciuma v Vasco (Brazil Serie A 8.00pm) both teams to score 11/17 (1.65)

Stan James and Bet365 are next best at 3.06, with Ladbrokes @3.02.

 

Shonan Bet Lost -10

Double Won +10.70

RUNNING P/L -90.32

 

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October 12, 2013

Goal Market Profits

Saturday October 12th 2013

The bookies have underestimated Dagenham & Redbridge this season and they are unbeaten in 7 with 5 wins and 2 draws.  At home they have won 5 and drawn 2, scoring in all those games and in 5 of them they scored two or more.  Cheltenham are struggling away from home with 5 defeats and a single win against rock bottom Accrington.  They have conceded more goals (21) than anyone in the division and those 5 away defeats all saw them conceding at least two goals.  Bury and Torquay both put 4 past them recently.  It’s 6/4 for Dagenham & Redbridge to get two or more on Saturday afternoon and that is value given Cheltenham’s poor away form.

 

10pt win with 888Sport and Unibet

 

English League 2 (KO 3.00pm)

 

Dagenham & Redbridge v Cheltenham total home goals over 1.5 goals @6/4 (2.5)

 

Bet365 and Coral are next best at 11/8 (2.38).

 

Another side who are overpriced to bag a couple of goals are Portsmouth who have done exactly that in all 5 of their away games in the league this year.  They travel to Plymouth who have lost 4 out of 5 and have conceded 2 or more in 5 of their last 7.  Fleetwood have only once failed to score this season in the 13 matches they have contested.  At home, 4 out of 5 games have seen both sides scoring.  Chesterfield have scored in all their away games and both teams to score looks a solid option.

 

5pt double with Bet365 @3.38/1 (4.38)

 

Plymouth v Portsmouth (English League 2 KO 12.15pm) total away goals over 1.5 @13/8 (2.63)

 

Fleetwood v Chesterfield (English League KO 3.00pm) both teams to score 4/6 (1.67)

Stan James go 4.33 and 888Sport and Unibet go 4.24 for this double

 

Both Bets Lost -15 points

RUNNING TOTAL -91.02 POINTS

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