Last race of the day lost 9 (ish) points L
Chris’ website shows a loss in the 4 o’clock at Taunton where I do not. I have checked this several times. So my results for yesterday are not as bad as the “official” results.
Day 21 – 30 December: Today -4.72 points. Total 4.13 points.
Overall Strike Rate is 58.33% with average odds of 2.90.
Overall return to £10 stakes is -£3.24 and to £25 stakes is -8.10.
Oops, when I checked why a positive points total resulted in a negative balance using real money, I removed the Betfair commission from the £25 calculation and forgot to put it back! I have amended this oversight above.
Happy and prosperous New Year everyone.
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Day 20 – 29 December: Today 4.5 points. Total 8.85 points.
Overall Strike Rate is 57.69% with average odds of 2.88.
Overall return to £10 stakes is £46.06 and to £25 stakes is £221.25.
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Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Arthur
WEEK 5
Little action to report this week – 4 selections, one taking first place and keeping us just below the profit radar …
| 19/12/2011 |
13:50 |
Maven |
WLV |
£9.73 |
3.17 |
1 |
-£21.11 |
| 21/12/2011 |
12:00 |
Anjoramba |
WLV |
£8.68 |
|
|
£8.25 |
| 23/12/2011 |
17:00 |
Maude Adams |
DDK |
£9.09 |
|
|
£8.64 |
| 26/12/2011 |
14:55 |
Fakhuur |
WLV |
£9.52 |
|
|
£9.04 |
Strike Rate : 71%
Balance : £190.45 (£9.55 loss)
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WEEK 8
With the seasonal festivities in full swing this week, a late posting on the tipping selections from the Bet4mula service. After 6 days of racing – we are treading water but comfortably on the right side of the profit line.
Weeks summary – 5 consecutive days of losses made good this afternoon by Le Bau Bai running very well to take a deserving first place in the Welsh National at Chepstow this afternoon, followed by Lifestyle taking first place a little later this afternoon at Kempton (Net 1.35 points profit)
Herewith this weeks results :
(19th Dec:-1.5pts / 20th Dec : -6pts / 21st Dec : -9.9pts / 22nd Dec : -3pts / 26th Dec : -9pts /27th Dec : +30.75pts)
Total Points Profit : 103.6
Selections : 239 / Wins : 58 / Strike Rate : 24.3%
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Day 19 – 22 December: Today 3.82 points. Total 4.35 points.
Overall Strike Rate is 57.00% with average odds of 2.91.
Overall return to £10 stakes is £4.30 and to £25 stakes is £108.75.
If I read the selections website correctly, there won’t be any selections posted for the next week. As I do not get the Racing Post (and the online version isn’t used for this), there won’t be any results recording/updates either.
So have a merry Christmas everybody.
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Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Arthur
Day 17 – 20 December: Today 3.49 points. Total 0.04 points.
Day 18 – 21 December: Today 0.49 points. Total 0.53 points.
Overall Strike Rate is 56.84% with average odds of 2.90.
Overall return to £10 stakes is -£31.41 and to £25 stakes is -£78.52.
Here we have a little problem. If I remove the 5% Betfair commission per race that returns a profit I do get £13.25 profit (£25 * 0.53). Therefore it is due to the Betfair commission that the return to £25 stakes currently shows a loss of £78.
Therefore I have to question the £12,900 profit stated on the sales page. 515 * £25 only equals £12,875 anyway, but there is no allowance for Betfair commission. 515 * £23.75 (to allow for Betfair commission) is £12,230, but as the above demonstrates, this is an overly simplistic and fundamentally flawed way of showing the potential profit from the system.
That said I won’t care if, at the trial’s end, the system shows a profit. But I felt a need to bring some reality to the headline profit figure.
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Day 16 – 19 December: Today 1.97 points. Total -3.45 points.
Overall Strike Rate is 56.10% with average odds of 2.84.
Overall return to £10 stakes is -£65.33 and to £25 stakes is -£163.33.
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Day 15 – 18 December: Today -0.75 points. Total -5.42 points.
Overall Strike Rate is 55.84% with average odds of 2.86.
Overall return to £10 stakes is -£82.81 and to £25 stakes is -£207.03.
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WEEK 7
Continuing with similar positive strides in the right direction as last week, the Bet4mula tipping system carries us back into over 100 points profit territory.
The ‘ changes’ to the selection process that I mentioned previously do seem to have made a difference in the last few weeks (Summary : four winning versus 3 losing days = Net 42.6 points profit)
Herewith this weeks results :
(12th Dec: +27 pts / 13th Dec : +10.4pts / 14th Dec : +25.6pts / 15th Dec : +3.6pts / 16th Dec :-12pts / 17th Dec : -9pts/ 18th Dec : -3pts)
Total Points Profit : 102.3
Selections : 220 / Wins : 54 / Strike Rate : 24.5%
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Filed under Backing,Each Way,Horse Racing Systems by Guy
WEEK 4
Only four qualifiers this week… so four weeks in and 28 selections, thereby averaging one lay a day.
| 12/12/2011 |
16:15 |
Body Language |
WLV |
£9.74 |
|
|
£9.25 |
|
| 15/12/2011 |
18:30 |
Rivas Rhapsody |
KMP |
£10.20 |
3.6 |
1 |
-£26.52 |
|
| 16/12/2011 |
19:00 |
Fountain of Honour |
DDK |
£8.87 |
|
|
£8.43 |
|
| 17/12/2011 |
14:20 |
Ceilidh House |
LNG |
£9.29 |
|
|
£8.83 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Strike Rate : 70.4%
Balance : £194.68 (£5.32 loss)
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Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Guy
