From the category archives:

Trading

September 18, 2013

Tennis Trading League

18th September 2013 – Day 22

Today’s selections saw three matches starting in the small hours, taking each one in turn.

Alexandra Dulgheru vs Lara Arruabarrena
A lay of Dulgheru was advised here, Arruabarrena took the first set 6:1, with Dulgheru losing her serve twice, Arruabarrena was not behind, so an easy winning trade here I would think.

Vera Dushevina vs Annika Beck
Patrick advised a back of Dushevina, who won the first set after two breaks of the Beck 6:3, again without going behind, so a further successful trade seen I believe.

Francesca Schiavone vs Virginie Razzano
A back of Schiavone was advised. The first set was riddled with breaks of serve, six in total, and Schiavone taking a tie break 7 points to 5. Schiavone lost the second set with two losses of her serve. The match was won by Schiavone by winning the last three games of the match.

Whilst I expect that this would have been a winning trade, as there were so many breaks of serve, this match is not as easy to read as the other two games.

Onto the matches that took place at a more reasonable hour to UK time.

Mischa Zverev vs Albano Olivetti
Back Zverev at 1.64
Lay at 1.30
Stop Loss at 2.74
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.01

Ricardas Berankis vs Lukas Rosol
Back Berankis at 1.64 (Achieved 1.66)
Lay at 1.30
Stop Loss at 2.76
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.99

Konstantin Kravchuk vs Horacio Zeballos
Back Kravchuk at 1.87 (Achieved 1.91)
Lay at 1.50
Stop Loss at 3.20
TRADE WON
Profit £2.60

Nicolas Mahut vs Leonardo Mayer
Back Mahut at 1.71 (Achieved 1.72)
Lay at 1.40
Stop Loss at 2.86
TRADE WON
Profit £2.17

Albert Ramos vs Michal Przysiezny
Back Ramos at 1.60
Lay at 1.30
Stop Loss at 2.66
TRADE WON
Profit £2.19

Denis Istomin vs Golubev
Back Istomin at 1.50
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.50
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.00

Sam Querrey vs Paul-Henri Mathieu
Lay Querrey at 1.50
Back at 1.75
Stop Loss at 1.25
TRADE VOID – Entry point failed to match before exit point hit.
Mathieu retired at the end of the second set. Was he fit?

Mikhail Youzhny vs Guillermo Garcia-Lopez
Back Youzhny at 1.33
Lay at 1.15
Stop Loss at 2.22
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.01

Benoit Paire vs Benjamin Becker
Back Paire at 1.51 (Achieved 1.55)
Lay at 1.25
Stop Loss at 2.58
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.99

Galina Voskoboeva vs Monica Puig
Back Voskoboeva at 1.70
Lay at 1.40
Stop Loss at 2.84
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.01

Su-Wei Hsieh vs Shuai Zhang
Lay Hsieh at 1.45
Back at 1.65
Stop Loss at 1.23
TRADE WON
Profit £2.56

Bojana Jovanovski vs Vania King
Lay Jovanovski at 1.51
Back at 1.70
Stop Loss at 1.25
TRADE WON
Profit £2.08

Jie Zheng vs Timea Babos
Back Zheng at 1.40
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.34
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.02

Alize Cornet vs Karolina Pliskova
Back Cornet at 1.41
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.36
TRADE WON
Profit £1.66

Shuai Peng vs Johanne Konta
Back Peng at 1.41
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.36
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.03

Laura Robson vs Saisai Zheng
Back Robson at 1.30
Lay at 1.16
Stop Loss at 2.16
TRADE WON
Profit £1.15

Selections: 16
Wins: 7 (1 void)
Loss: -£17.65

Totals to date:
Selections: 82
Wins: 44 (9 void)
Loss: -£31.57

Filed under Backing,Laying,Trading by David Aston

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September 17, 2013

Tennis Trading League

17th September 2013 – Day 21

Before I show you all today’s results, I wanted to repeat that this review is a record of my experience of Patrick’s service.

Having said that, those of you who are following this review may be aware that this week (and for much of the remainder of the season now) the ladies’ tour arrives in the Far East, with the men’s tour arriving in the region next week.

Therefore matches are going to be played from time to time in the early hours of UK time, which makes some of them impossible for me to follow.

Today’s selections saw one match starting at 4am, between Heather Watson and Kimiko Date-Krumm. Patrick’s advice was to lay Heather Watson. She won the first set, although losing the match. I suspect therefore that a stop loss may have been hit, but for the remainder of this review, if I cannot follow the match, then they will not be included in this review’s results.

Fabio Fognini vs Dominic Inglot
Back Fognini at 1.19
Lay at 1.07
Stop Loss at 1.98
TRADE WON
Profit £1.07

Tobias Kamke vs Marc Giquel
Back Kamke at 1.80 (Achieved 1.88)
Lay at 1.50
Stop Loss at 3.00
TRADE WON
Profit £2.41

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez vs Mikhail Biryukov
Back Garcia-Lopez at 1.25
Lay at 1.08
Stop Loss at 2.08
TRADE WON
Profit £1.50

Denis Istomin vs Samuel Groth
Back Istomin at 1.29 (Achived 1.31)
Lay at 1.10
Stop Loss at 2.16
TRADE WON
Profit £1.81

Edouard Roger-Vasselin vs Federico Delbonis
Back Roger-Vasselin at 1.42
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.36
TRADE WON
Profit £1.74

Adrian Mannarino vs Evgeny Donskoy
Lay Mannarino at 1.97
Back at 2.30
Stop Loss at 1.42
TRADE WON
Profit £1.41

Jeremy Chardy vs Marton Fucsovics
Back Chardy at 1.20
Lay at 1.08
Stop Loss at 2.00
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.00

Yvonne Meusburger vs Lesia Tsurenko
Back Meusburger at 1.84
Lay at 1.65
Stop Loss at 3.05
TRADE WON
Profit £1.09

Nastassja Burnett vs Ons Jabeur
Back Burnett at 1.67
Lay at 1.35
Stop Loss at 2.78
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.99

Sorana Cirstea vs Bojana Jovanovski
Lay Cirstea at 1.58
Back at 1.75
Stop Loss at 1.28
TRADE WON
Profit £1.59

Urszula Radwanska vs Vesna Dolonc
Back Radwanska at 1.41
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.36
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.03

Alize Cornet vs Olga Govortsova
Back Cornet at 1.35 (Achieved 1.36)
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.26
TRADE WON
Profit £1.27

Varvara Lepchenko vs Timea Babos
Lay Lepchenko at 1.43 (Achieved 1.41)
Back at 1.70
Stop Loss at 1.21
TRADE WON
Profit £3.95

Shuai Peng vs Shahar Peer
Back Peng at 1.43
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.38
TRADE WON
Profit £1.82

Selections: 14
Wins: 11 (0 void)
Profit: £7.64

Totals to date:
Selections: 66
Wins: 37 (8 void)
Loss: -£13.92

Filed under Backing,Laying,Trading by David Aston

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September 16, 2013

Tennis Trading League

16th September 2013 – Day 20

Sam Querrey vs Ivo Karlovic
Lay Querrey at 1.85 (Achieved 1.72)
Back at 2.10
Stop Loss at 1.34
TRADE WON
Profit £2.39

Andrey Goulbev vs Jan Lennard-Struff
Lay Goulbev at 1.90
Back at 2.20
Stop Loss at 1.40
TRADE WON
Profit £1.44

Selections: 2
Wins: 2 (0 void)
Profit: £3.83

Totals to date:
Selections: 52
Wins: 26 (8 void)
Loss: -£21.56

Filed under Backing,Laying,Trading by David Aston

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September 15, 2013

Tennis Trading League

15th September 2013 – Day 19

Bernard Tomic vs Lukasz Kubot
Back Tomic at 1.47
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.46
TRADE VOID – Entry point failed to match

Robin Haase vs Jurgen Melzer
Back Haase at 1.53
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.56
TRADE VOID – MATCH CANCELLED

Daniel Evans vs Borna Coric
Back Evans at 1.44
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.40
TRADE VOID – MATCH CANCELLED

Steve Darcis vs Amir Weintraub
Back Darcis at 1.34
Lay at 1.15
Stop Loss at 2.24
TRADE VOID – Entry point failed to match

Lucie Safarova vs Marina Erakovic
Back Safarova at 1.70
Lay at 1.40
Stop Loss at 2.84
TRADE WON
Profit £2.14

Selections: 5
Wins: 1 (4 void)
Profit: £2.04

Totals to date:
Selections: 50
Wins: 24 (8 void)
Loss: -£25.39

After the various discussions regarding using a stop loss in this review, I found the following on the website after Friday’s results had been updated.

Results:
Verdasco v Dolgopolov: Successful (I can make this successful as this was a 5 set match)

Member:
Not sure if I’m doing something here but I hit the 40% stop loss on Verdasco (opened at 1.51).

Patrick:
You should generally leave the trade open till the middle of the second set. Other factors also need to be considered – a 5 set match on clay in front of his home crowd are all important factors when making decisions.

I’ll not say too much here, but in my opinion, a stop loss, is exactly that.

Filed under Backing,Laying,Trading by David Aston

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September 14, 2013

Tennis Trading League

13th September 2013 – Day 19

Bojana Jovanovski vs Maria Teresa Torro Flor
Lay Jovanovski at 1.68
Back at 2.00
Stop Loss at 1.32
TRADE WON
Profit £2.24

Olga Govortsova vs Mandy Minella
Lay Govortsova at 1.49
Back at 1.65
Stop Loss at 1.25
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.92

Ivan Dodig vs Daniel Evans
Back Dodig at 1.30
Lay at 1.07
Stop Loss at 2.16
TRADE VOID – Entry point failed to match

Fernando Verdasco vs Alexandr Dolgopolov
Back Verdasco at 1.43 (Achieved 1.47)
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.46
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.02

Jurgen Melzer vs Thiemo De Bakker
Back Melzer at 1.74 (Achieved 1.77)
Lay at 1.40
Stop Loss at 2.96
TRADE WON
Profit £2.51

Lleyton Hewitt vs Lukasz Kubot
Back Hewitt at 1.50 (Achieved 1.52)
Lay at 1.25
Stop Loss at 2.54
TRADE WON
Profit £2.05

Milos Raonic vs Janko Tipsarevic
Back Raonic at 1.68
Lay at 1.40
Stop Loss at 2.80
TRADE WON
Profit £1.90

Bernard Tomic vs Michal Przsiezny
Back Tomic at 1.45
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.42
TRADE WON
Profit £1.98

Marina Erakvoic vs Ajla Tomljanovic
Back Erakvoic at 1.55
Lay at 1.30
Stop Loss at 2.58
TRADE VOID – Entry point failed to match

Polona Hercog vs Christina Mc Hale
Lay Hercog at 1.74 (Achieved 1.73)
Back at 2.20
Stop Loss at 1.34
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.99

Lucie Safarova vs Lauren Davis
Back Safarova at 1.47
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.46
TRADE WON
Profit £2.14

Selections: 11
Wins: 6 (2 void)
Profit: £0.89

Totals to date:
Selections: 45
Wins: 23 (4 void)
Loss: -£27.43

Finally today, I wanted to say something about the timing of yesterday’s selections. There were two emails, one arrived at just after 11pm on Thursday evening for the early games in Tashkent, the other arrived at 11:55am for the remainder of the day’s selections.

The first selection for the Davis Cup (Ivan Dodig vs Daniel Evans) was set to start at 12:00. Not a lot of time to get organised before the match started. In the end however, the trade was void, as the odds on Dodig never reached the entry point before hitting what would have been the exit point.

I will be unable to follow Saturday’s selections due to some family commitments, but will be back with whatever is advised for Sunday.

Filed under Backing,Laying,Trading by David Aston

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September 12, 2013

Tennis Trading League

12th September 2013 – Day 18

Mandy Minella vs Nastassja Burnett
Back Minella at 1.75 (Achieved 1.81)
Lay at 1.40
Stop Loss at 3.00
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.97

Bojana Jovanovski vs Galina Voskoboeva
Lay Jovanovski at 1.91
Back at 2.30
Stop Loss at 1.40
TRADE WON
Profit £1.77

Bethanie Mattek-Sands vs Ajla Tomljanovic
Lay Mattek-Sands at 1.38
Back at 1.60
Stop Loss at 1.20
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.95

Lucie Safarova vs Mirjana Lucic-Baroni
Lay Safarova at 1.38
Back at 1.60
Stop Loss at 1.20
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.95

Selections: 4
Wins: 1 (0 void)
Loss: -£10.10

Totals to date:
Selections: 34
Wins: 17 (2 void)
Loss: -£28.32

Filed under Backing,Laying,Trading by David Aston

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September 12, 2013

Tennis Trading League

11th September 2013 – Day 17

Alexandra Caduntu vs Nadiya Kichenok
Back Caduntu at 1.74
Lay at 1.40
Stop Loss at 2.90
TRADE WON
Profit £2.31

Donna Vekic vs Olga Govortsova
Back Vekic at 1.52 (Achieved 1.55)
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.58
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.99

Bojana Jovanovski vs Misaki Doi
Lay Jovanovski at 1.48
Back at 1.65
Stop Loss at 1.24
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.03

Nastassja Burnett vs Risa Ozaki
Back Burnett at 1.60
Lay at 1.30
Stop Loss at 2.66
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.98

Petra Martic vs Lucie Hradecka
Lay Martic at 1.63
Back at 1.90
Stop Loss at 1.30
TRADE LOST
Loss: £4.03

Christine McHale vs Caroline Garcia
Back McHale at 1.60 (Achieved 1.61)
Lay at 1.30
Stop Loss at 2.68
TRADE LOST
Loss: £3.99

Andrea Hlavackova vs Anastasia Rodionova
Back Hlavackova at 1.60
Lay at 1.30
Stop Loss at 2.66
TRADE WON
Profit £2.19

Eugenie Bouchard vs Sofia Arvidsson
Back Bouchard at 1.40 Achieved 1.42)
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.36
TRADE WON
Profit £1.74

Selections: 8
Wins: 3 (0 void)
Loss: -£13.78

Totals to date:
Selections: 30
Wins: 16 (2 void)
Loss: -£18.22

Filed under Backing,Laying,Trading by David Aston

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September 11, 2013

Tennis Trading League

10th September 2013 – Day 16

As I mentioned in my post of 1st September, I mentioned that Patrick has offered some trades in the win market. As the US Open has now finished, here is what happened to them.

Andy Murray
Back Murray at 5.50 (achieved 5.60)
Lay if he reaches semi-final
Andy Murray lost to Stanislas Wawrinka in the quarter-finals.
TRADE LOST
Loss: £10.00

Angelique Kerber
Back Kerber at 80.00
Lay if she meets Serena Williams.
Angelique Kerber lost her fourth round match to Carla Suarez-Navarro
TRADE LOST
Loss: £10.00

Victoria Azarenka
Back Azarenka at 4.00
Lay if she meets Serena Williams.
Azarenka won her semi-final, but Serena William obliterated Li Na in the other, and her odds drifted. Laid at 4.40
TRADE LOST
Loss: £0.91

Onto the day’s trades..

Lucie Safarova vs Anna Tatishvili
Back Safarova at 1.41
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.36
TRADE WON
Profit £1.66

Barbora Zahlavova-Strycova vs Eleni Daniilidou
Back Zahlavova-Strycova at 1.41
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.36
TRADE WON
Profit £1.66

Mirjana Lucic-Baroni vs Sharon Fichman
Back Lucic-Baroni at 1.92
Lay at 1.60
Stop Loss at 3.20
TRADE WON
Profit £1.90

Camila Giorgi vs Lauren Davis
Back Giorgi at 1.55
Lay at 1.20
Stop Loss at 2.58
TRADE WON
Profit £2.77

Bethanie Mattek-Sands vs Stephanie Dubois
Back Mattek-Sands at 1.24 (Achieved 1.25)
Lay at 1.08
Stop Loss at 2.08
TRADE WON
Profit £1.50

Kristina Mladenovic vs Melanie Oudin
Back Mladenovic at 1.60 (Achieved 1.72)
Lay at 1.30
Stop Loss at 2.86
TRADE WON
Profit £3.07

An interesting trade this one. Patrick advised backing Mladenovic at 1.60. When I checked the odds, she had drifted to 1.72, which gave me a higher stop loss. She lost her serve in the first set to go 5-6, and her odds rose, but thankfully not close to the stop loss, and immediately broke back to take the set to a tie break. There we five dropped points during the tie-break, and on the back of the first (I think) loss on the Mladenovic serve, sent the odds skywards, but only up to 2.82. However, she broke Oudin’s serve on three occasions, and the odds crashed to 1.26 or so, giving a winning trade.

Selections: 9
Wins: 6 (0 void)
Loss: -£8.35

Totals to date:
Selections: 22
Wins: 13 (2 void)
Loss: -£4.44

Filed under Backing,Laying,Trading by David Aston

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September 10, 2013

Tennis Trading League

9th September 2013 – Day 15

There were four trades advised, three of which were conditional.

Rafael Nadal vs Novak Djokovic
Back Nadal at 1.75
Lay at 1.50
Stop Loss at 2.92
TRADE WON
Profit £1.58

Rafael Nadal vs Novak Djokovic
Lay Nadal IF he wins first set, odds should be in range of 1.3 to 1.4.
Whilst no set exit was advised on the website, I asked Partick for his advice. His reply was to aim for 20 to 25 ticks.
Lay Nadal at 1.36
Back at 1.61
Stop Loss at 1.19
TRADE WON
Profit £4.10

Rafael Nadal vs Novak Djokovic
Lay Djokovic if he leads by two sets to one.

Rafael Nadal vs Novak Djokovic
If either player leads by two sets to love, and match goes to fifth set, back them.

Neither of the above two scenarios came into play.

Selections: 4
Wins: 2 (2 void)
Profit: £5.68

Totals to date:
Selections: 13
Wins: 7 (2 void)
Profit: £3.91

Filed under Backing,Laying,Trading by David Aston

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September 8, 2013

Tennis Trading League

8th September 2013 – Day 14

Leander Paes & Radek Stepanek vs Alexander Peya & Bruno Soares
Back Paes and Stepanek at 1.66
Lay at 1.07
Stop Loss at 2.76
TRADE WON
Profit £1.76

Serena Williams vs Victoria Azarenka
Back Williams at 1.27
This selection was advised as back extra heavy. As no staking guideline is specifically advised, as back heavy is three points, I have used five points here.
5 points stake
Lay at 1.07
Stop Loss at 2.12
TRADE WON
Profit £8.88

Selections: 2
Wins: 2 (0 void)
Profit: £10.64

Totals to date:
Selections: 9
Wins: 5 (0 void)
Loss: -£1.77

Filed under Backing,Laying,Trading by David Aston

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