March 23, 2012

Football Value Selections

Hi my name is Stuart and I have been using my own method of selecting football bets placed with the bookies since the end of January. These selections are bets actually placed with all of the standard bookmakers found on Oddschecker or any comparison site. The results achieved so far are listed below.

22/01/2012 -1.66
23/01/2012 0.38
24/01/2012 0.44
25/01/2012 0.26
26/01/2012 1.07
27/01/2012 -1.85
28/01/2012

Week Total -1.36

29/01/2012
30/12/2011 0.04
31/12/2011 4.1

Month Total 2.78

01/02/2012 -4
02/02/2012 No Bets
03/02/2012 0.2
04/02/2012 7.34
05/02/2012 Missed
06/02/2012 -3
07/02/2012 0.73

Total 1.27

08/02/2012 4.61
09/02/2012 -2
10/02/2012 11
11/02/2012 9.04
12/02/2012 0.4
13/02/2012 0.75
14/02/2012 -6.96

Total 16.84

15/02/2012 2.24
16/02/2012 1.8
17/02/2012 9.01
18/02/2012 7.46
19/02/2012 6.02
20/02/2012 -0.38
21/02/2012 -5.5

Total 20.65

22/02/2012 4.24
23/02/2012 10.7
24/02/2012 0.02
25/02/2012 -2.68
26/02/2012 9.13
27/02/2012 1.4
28/02/2012 7.44

Total 30.25

29/02/2012 1.3

Month Total 70.31

01/03/2012 No Bets
02/03/2012 No Bets
03/03/2012 1.8
04/03/2012 No Bets
05/03/2012 -2
06/03/2012 1.91
07/03/2012 1.4

Total 3.11

08/03/2012 6.23
09/03/2012 1.35
10/03/2012 5.06
11/03/2012 -0.87
12/03/2012 0.44
13/03/2012 -4.05
14/03/2012 -1.12

Total 7.04

15/03/2012 2.21
16/03/2012 1.4
17/03/2012 -0.53
18/03/2012 13.82
19/03/2012 2.6
20/03/2012 -7.06
21/03/2012 -0.87

Total 11.57

22/03/2012 No Bets
23/03/2012
24/03/2012
25/03/2012
26/03/2012
27/03/2012
28/03/2012

Total 0

29/02/2012
30/03/2012

Total

Month Total 21.72

That equates to a total profit of 94.81 points in less than two months. I monitored the selections during October, November and December with very similar results. I do not include these results in the ones above as I strongly feel that until money is actually wagered on selections you cannot be sure the impact placing money has on them. What I would like to draw your attention to with the results is their consistency from week to week. There has only been one losing week, the first, and the losses on bad days are nearly always in the single figures. This means that bad days are very quickly recovered from allowing the bank to grow regularly. This is mainly due to the low average back odds of 2.85, this means that there are few long losing runs.

With football bets the bookmakers markets are less fluid compared to horse racing, by this I mean there is much less movement in the odds in the hours running up to kick off. This allows the bets to be placed for the day all at once, even if there is a lunch time kick off in the premier league and a 21:00 kick off in La Liga.

I aim to blog these selections each day and will post selections during the week in the early afternoon and at weekends I will post selections either the night before or early morning

If anyone wants to follow the selections with hard earned cash, I know I will be, I would recommend you begin with caution as any new system takes time to get use to. There can be up to 60 bets on a busy Saturday so I would suggest at least a 100 point bank. The selections have never come close to losing 30 points from the bank maximum let alone 100 points during either the live testing or paper testing, but 100 points is required to cover the large number of bets during the weekend.

One final point is that while most of the selections are in markets where there is huge liquidity and the bookmakers would have no problem taking a £100 bet there are leagues where they may run scared, so it is better to lower the stake per point and build the bank for the long-term and as the results show for February alone a stake of £25 would have earned you £1757.75, and a total of £2370.25 since the live testing began.

The selections will run for four weeks initially and let’s see where we are then.

Regards

Stuart

Filed under Football by Stuart

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