February 12, 2011

Irish Big Race Trends

Matt Bisogno is a horse racing, trends, and betting system enthusiast who blogs regularly over at www.geegeez.co.uk

Irish Big Race Trends (IBRT)

Graham asked me to write a one off review for readers of Cash Master about a product called, Irish Big Race Trends (or IBRT hereafter, for obvious reasons).

Now at this point I need to declare a legacy interest. You see, when Tony was starting out he came to me to ask for help promoting his product. I was impressed with it and we worked together in the early days of IBRT.

Since then, Tony’s gone on to create a very attractive product / service. So what is IBRT, and what will it do for you?

Well, as the name suggests, this is a trends-based product that looks at the top Irish races, of which there are many, generally run on weekends as well.

The thing I really like about IBRT that I haven’t seen anywhere else, is that it breaks the trends down into two parts. Firstly, there are the ‘Primary Trends’. These are the most robust, logical patterns that previous winners of the race have adhered to.

At the end of that section for each race a shortlist is drawn up, comprising those runners to satisfy the Primary Trends. [Occasionally a horse misses a trends by a small margin and is included].

Then, the shortlist is whittled down further by Secondary Trends – reasonable profile aspects of previous winners, though not as ‘bankable’ as the Primary Trends.

At the end of that, we’re left with a selection and a danger.

Here’s an example which, granted has been cherry-picked (!), to illustrate how the manual works:

3.05 Kilboy Estate Stakes (Listed) (3YO+) 1m1f

Race RAG Status: GREEN

Primary Trends

All of the last 6 winners were aged 3 to 5

The last 6 winners were Irish trained

5 of the last 6 winners had run three or more times that season

5 of the last 6 winners were running within 25 days

The last 6 winners finished in the first five last time out

The last 5 winners had won or finished 2nd in a Listed or better race

Shortlist

Latin Love

Secondary Trends

4 of the last 5 favourites were unplaced

5 of the last 6 winners were single figure prices

5 of the last 6 winners had an official rating of 100+

5 of the last 6 winners had a pre race RPR 101+

5 of the last 6 winners had previously finished in the first 2 at The Curragh

Selection(s)

One horse stands out with a perfect trends profile. Latin Love has twice finished second over this somewhat specialist distance, including in this race last year behind She’s Our Mark, and has been placed all three times she’s tried the trip.

Having had four runs this season, her last being three weeks ago, and with requisite official and Racing Post ratings, Ryan Moore looks a ‘job’ booking.

Despite a bumper field of 18 runners, Latin Love looks sure to go close and is a confident each way selection.

Now, if you’re pushed for time, you may want to simply go with those selections. That’s fine, and it works well.

The way I personally use this information – and the way I believe it’s best utilised – is to take the shortlist and make further eliminations based on your own criteria as well as the secondary trends.

Either way, IBRT is the only information I use prior to sizing up Irish races.

Tony is a stand up guy, who is always there to answer questions when they arise. IBRT costs €15 a month (about £12.50), or you can sign up until the end of April for €30.

You can get Irish Big Race Trends here:

http://www.cash-master.com/irishbigracetrends.php

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by CashMaster

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