August 13, 2008

The Ultimate FX Predictor

I got an e-mail from Dean yesterday who has spoken to Anthony Wright at support regarding the tough trading conditions created by the holidays. I’ll post his comments but first I want to explain my take on it all.

I’ve been using my particular settings very successfully for three months with only one losing week and only then by a handful of pips. I realise that there are an infinite amount of settings one can use, and professional traders probably change and adapt their approach to the markets depending on conditions at the time. This is probably sensible and no doubt profitable however, the whole point of me using Tufxp wad that I didn’t want to have to work too hard or make personal judgement calls and I somehow fluked the settings I found to be profitable. If I’m going to continuously change my settings depending on market conditions, then no doubt I’ll become a better trader, but where does that leave other people that want a point and click system, which to be fair this system is sold as?

Just because it’s been a choppy ride for the last week or so is no reason, in my opinion, to decide the settings don’t work… at least not yet! So I’m more than happy to post other settings and strategies etc for the benefit of readers that might want to try other tactics but I’m still going to stick to my settings for trading just to see how it holds out through the rough as well as the smooth. Last week and this week they have saved me from entering disasterous trades (well apart from the one which just slapped me in the face!) and today has found a couple of good trades to get me back my pips from last week and a good profit on top.

Anyway, back to Deans comments:

“I remember you saying you didnt watch the market overview videos by Keith but I glad youre aware of the holiday season and the potential impact it can have on trading. I spoke with Anthony Wright (support team member) he suggested because of the current conditions we should be entering traders quicker. You do this by right clicking on the PTP tool (red dollar symbol) in the tool bar and change the entry point from 50% down to 25%. It was also suggested to me the initial risk should never be more than 30 pips and because of the choppy conditions we should be using a trailing stop of 3 bars. I know you have been trading a lot longer than me but some of the recent trades Ive lost using a trailing stop of 5 bars would have in fact been slightly in profit with a trailing stop of 3…

Another useful tip for double checking if the PTP signals are on matching times on both the 5 and 10 min chart is to use the Floating Data Box. I find this is better than the crosshairs as they still don’t always match up. You can access the Floating Data Box by right clicking on a graph, selecting Screen Display > Floating Data Box. Now were every you move the mouse pointer it will tell you the exact time relating to where it’s placed.

I would recommend watching a how to video which Keith published yesterday. It’s called multiple currency trading. It’s not meant to be for beginners but he tells you how to trade 10 currency pairs at once which will open up more trading opportunities.

Ive also been testing, when I in a trade to also monitor the 1 min chart. As this appears to give a really good indication on what the 5 min chart is going to do next and maybe it might be worth stopping trades when they are in profit instead of letting them run into losses… Who knows just an idea.”

Thanks for those Dean. Again, I’m going to stick with my settings because I really want to know how they perform over a whole year without changing them because if they produce a good profit without having to learn to become a professional trader, then I’m more than happy to stay a dumb amateur who happily rakes in an extra fifty or hundred grand a year.

There were no trades yesterday using my settings but a couple of nice ones today. I managed to pull in 16 pips this morning despite it being a long (up) trade that retraced pretty quickly but this afternoon was a cracker. I traded through a couple of medium impact news items as I had already locked in a good profit. The difference between the 5 and 10 minute charts was 15 pips exactly so only just a qualifying trade according to my rules… but it still qualified thankfully! The trade closed with the trailing stop with another 65 pips profit netting 81 pips on the day.

Filed under Forex,Spread Betting by Graham

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August 13, 2008

The Selector

Tuesdays Bets:

3.00 Lingfield Kate the Great Non-Runner
3.15 Newton Abbot Distiller Abandoned
8.10 Musselburgh King Kenny LOST -£50
8.40 Musselburgh This Ones For Eddy LOST -£50

Daily Profit:-£100
Total Profit:-£215

Filed under Backing,Betting Bots,Horse Racing Systems by Graham

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August 13, 2008

Ex-Jockey

Tuesdays bets:

Chief Editor Nottingham 7:55 LOST -£50
Predict Lingfield 3:00 LOST -£50
Rio LOren Musselburgh 8:40 LOST -£50
Shadow Bay Nottingham 7:25 WON 9/4 +£113

Daily Profit: -£37
Total Profit: -£194

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Graham

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August 12, 2008

Stat Attack

12/08/08

Just the one matched bet this afternoon:

15:00 LINGFIELD Fault (4.50) lost, £9.50

Day’s P/L: £9.50

Current bank: £1012.80

P/L: £12.80

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Les

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August 12, 2008

Stat Attack

11/08/08

3 matched selections:

15:30 WOLVERHAMPTON Haven’t A Clue (3.50) lost, £9.50

16:00 WOLVERHAMPTON It’s A Dream (6.00) lost, £9.50

16:30 WOLVERHAMPTON Swords (4.50) lost, £9.50

Day’s P/L: £28.50

Current bank: £1003.30

P/L: £3.30

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Les

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August 12, 2008

The Ultimate FX Predictor

A complete breakeven trade on the EUR/USD yesterday afternoon using my settings. I’ve been getting quite a bit of good feedback and interesting information about tufxp which I shall share with you here.

Regarding being able to tell whether the 5 and 10 minute PTP signals are in the same place, Tony gave this helpful hint:

“I expect you have had lots of mails on this, but just in case!! On the above programme you can link the cursors across the charts, thereby being able to see if the bars match across the 5 minute and 10 minute charts. In TESS go to the cross hairs symbol on the top line, right click tick “display vertical line” “link cross hairs across all charts” and “show as default”

Very handy, thanks for that.

Phil also had this to say:

“Re Tess, rather than using the trailing stop, investigate using the red line of the pullback instead. The pullback button looks like a bow and arrow and is just above the ptp calc tool button. Other bloggers are reporting great results using this rather than the trailing stop which usually gets you out too early.”

I had a look at this yesterday and it would have made a pretty good profit on the EUR/USD trade I think. The trade off is that if the market reverses you are going to lose more pips than using the 5 bar trailing stop so I guess the only way of knowing how well it performs long term is by testing it.

One other comment I got was regarding the market in general. I have to admit I haven’t been watching Keiths daily videos of late because I’ve been far too… ahem… ‘busy’ with being on holiday, however apparantly with it being holiday season in the USA and elsewhere, this explains why we have been getting a lot of sideways movements and a general hesitation in the markets.

Filed under Forex,Spread Betting by Graham

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August 12, 2008

The Selector

Mondays Bets.

There were no bets for the Selector on Monday.

Filed under Backing,Betting Bots,Horse Racing Systems by Graham

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August 12, 2008

Ex-Jockey

Mondays bets:

Jaconet Thirsk 7:30 LOST -£50
Night Seed Windsor 5:50 LOST -£50
Got The Gift Southwell 2:15 LOST -£50
Osiris Way Windsor 7:20 LOST -£50

Daily Profit: -£200
Total Profit: -£157

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Graham

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August 11, 2008

The Selector

Sundays Bets:

2.50 – Leicester – Singleb – WON 11/4 +£138
3.30 – Windsor – Bowder Stone – LOST -£50
3.40 – Redcar – Borasco – Non-Runner

Daily Profit:+£88
Total Profit:-£115

Filed under Backing,Betting Bots,Horse Racing Systems by Graham

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August 11, 2008

Ex-Jockey

Sundays bets:

Novellen Lad Redcar 3:40 LOST -£50
Soft Shoe Shuffle Windsor 3:30 WON 11/4 +£138
Russian Epic Leicester 4:50 WON 9/2 +£225
Giant Love Leicester 4:20 LOST -£50

Daily Profit: +£263
Total Profit: +£43

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Graham

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