May 1, 2010

Lay The Ratings

Todays results were as follows:

Selections: 7
Winners: 4 (one selection was a non runner)
Losers: 2

To Staking Plan:
Loss at Early Prices: -£50.86 (to date £175.10)
Loss at 2”² to off: -£39.65 (to date £246.31)

To Level Stakes:
Loss at Early Prices: -£35.60 (to date £372.60)
Loss at 2”² to off: -£52.80 (to date £394.60)

We seem to have hit a corrective period at the moment. I hope it doesn’t last too long.

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by David Aston

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May 1, 2010

All By The Book

Results for Saturday 1st May

Qualifying races: 8
Fully qualified races: 8
Daily profit: £17.65
Cumulative profit: £79.69

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Alistair Moffatt

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May 1, 2010

Top Racing

This will be my last post before the final review.  Typically, Murphy and his Law were making their presence felt with a less than brilliant final day.  However, overall the service has performed well – particularly given the time of year – and I will go into detail in the final review.

RESULTS Thursday, 29th April

Top Trainers

No selections

Starting Bank £1000
Current Bank £890

In Form Racing

Starting Bank £1000
Folkestone 15.10 Beat The Bell – £10 @ 2.88 = £17.86  PROFIT
Folkestone 16.10 Tamarind Hill – £10 @ 12.50 = -£10  LOSS
Folkestone 17.10 Follow The Flag – £10 @ 5.50 = -£10  LOSS
Brighton 19.00 Blue Tango – £10 @ 3.20 = -£10  LOSS
Brighton 19.30 Fault – £10 @ 3.90 = -£10  LOSS  
Daily P/L -£22.14
Current Bank £1346.73

Profitable Lays

Starting Bank £500.00
Redcar 15.30 Logos Astra – £10 @ 2.34 = £9.50  PROFIT
Redcar 16.00 Bonnie Prince Blue – £10 @ 7.40 = £9.50  PROFIT  
Daily P/L £19.00
Current Bank £636.00

First Past The Post

No selections

Starting Bank £1000
Current Bank £1003.01

Winning Post

Starting Bank £1000
Redcar 14.00 Batchelor Knight- £10 @ 2.36 = -£10.00  LOSS
Folkestone 14.10 Crazy Parachute – £10 @3.40 = -£10.00  LOSS 
Redcar 15.00 Always Dazzling – £10 @ 2.72 = £16.34  PROFIT 
Folkestone 15.10 Beat The Bell – £10 @ 2.88 = £17.86  PROFIT
Folkestone 16.10 Cool Kitten – £10 @ 5.00 = £38.00  PROFIT
Hereford 16.20 Blue Spartan – £10 @ 3.75 = -£10.00  LOSS
Folkestone 16.40 Swish Dish – £10 @ 1.71 = -£10.00  LOSS
Brighton 17.00 Johnny Hancocks – £10 @ 3.25 = -£10.00  LOSS
Huntingdon 19.10 Tuscany Star – £10 @ Tuscany Star = -£10.00  LOSS
Daily P/L £12.20
Current Bank £1068.46

RESULTS Friday, 30th April

Top Trainers

No selections

Starting Bank £1000
Current Bank £890

In Form Racing

Starting Bank £1000
Mussleburgh 16.35 Smarties Party – £10 @ 10.50 = -£10  LOSS
Lingfield 16.55 December Draw – £10 @ 5.80 = -£10  LOSS
Lingfield 16.55 Island Sunset – £10 @ 6.80 = -£10  LOSS 
Daily P/L -£30.00
Current Bank £1316.73

Profitable Lays

No selections

Starting Bank £500.00
Current Bank £636.00

First Past The Post

Starting Bank £1000
Musselburgh 16.00 Jargelle – £10 @ 5.20 = -£10.00  LOSS
Daily P/L -£10.00
Current Bank £993.01

Winning Post

Starting Bank £1000
Lingfield 14.10 Phoebs – £10 @ 3.70 = £25.65  PROFIT
Musselburgh 14.50 Mother Jones – £10 @ 3.10 = -£10.00  LOSS
Musselburgh 15.25 Northern Acres – £10 @ 9.58 = -£10.00  LOSS
Lingfield 15.50 Lowdown – £10 @ 4.10 = -£10.00  LOSS
Musselburgh 16.00 Jargelle – £10 @ 5.20 = -£10.00  LOSS  
Bangor 19.20 Franchoek – Non-runner
Bangor 20.20 Mickmacmagoole -£10 @ 11.40 = -£10  LOSS
Daily P/L -£24.35
Current Bank £1044.11

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Michael

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May 1, 2010

One Good Bet

1/5/2010

I shall be blogging this system as the Flat season progresses. As the name suggests, there will be one bet per day, it remains to be seen if it is a Good One. As it happens, the first of them today, wasn’t.

On signup, one receives two Word files plus a link to the website where the daily bets are given, plus a password/PIN. One of the files has the system rules and the other the previous results, which, predictably, are encouraging. Since the selections are available for the whole of the Flat until end September, it’s hardly necessary to read the system rules unless you are a keen student or a bit of a masochist. The selections are provided free in the £95 subscription for this season, what happens next year is not mentioned. Perhaps there will be a separate service…..

The system makes use of a slightly unusual bet, which we are assured the bookies don’t like, so that’s a good start. One is advised to place a total stake of £20 on the whole bet, though of course, one can vary this to suit. I won’t go into any more detail here because the heart of the system would quickly become obvious to the above student/masochist. The process of selecting the bets is the usual sifting through various of the Racing Post and similar services’ suggestions, though to do this would require a subscription or two. I shall rely purely on the selections provided.

Since the outcome isn’t just a simple win or lose, I will quote the P/L in terms of money won or lost. Today’s is easy.

Starting Bank £500.00
P/L -£20.00
Do the math.

Filed under General by Terry Shepherd

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May 1, 2010

AJ TIPS

1/5/2010

The final two days produced 6 selections, of which 2 were winners. This brings the two-month test to a close and enables me to form some conclusions.

The service is well run: the selections are clear and arrive on time each day & a further mail is sent in the evening or the following morning detailing the outcome. My own spreadsheet tallied exactly with these, though there were a few discrepancies in returns due to me getting slightly different odds. They are also accurately recorded on the website. However, the overall results for this period were disappointing, bearing in mind the hefty subscription each month, as you can see below:

P/L Overall -8.28 pts
Strike Rate 50.85%
Av Odds 2.03
ROI -3.5%

There are usually about 4 or 5 selections a day and they are very varied: we had tips from Football, Tennis, Snooker, Darts, Horses and Rugby with average success from all of them. The benefit of this is that if you have a bad day on the horses or the tennis, hopefully one of the others will restore the balance and in fact, it’s rare to have a fully losing day. However, while I believe this means that you are unlikely ever to lose much money with this service, the opposite also applies, since it’s also rare to have a day without one or more of the selections losing and taking the edge off your profit. In short then, this is a service which won’t lose heavily and unless it hits a real winning streak, is unlikely to make a fortune either. It is not a bad service, so doesn’t deserve a Failed rating but in the absence of any marked sign of profit during this period, I am going to suggest a Neutral rating for the moment, with perhaps another review at the end of May to see if it has returned to its previous form.

NO LONGER AVAILABLE

Filed under General by Terry Shepherd

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April 30, 2010

Lay The Ratings

Todays results were as follows:

Selections: 9
Winners: 7
Losers: 2

To Staking Plan:
Loss at Early Prices: -£41.94 (to date £225.96)
Loss at 2”² to off: -£44.60 (to date £285.96)

To Level Stakes:
Loss at Early Prices: -£1.50 (to date £408.20)
Profit at 2”² to off: £1.30 (to date £397.40)

Two rather large prices in the selections for today, which makes the difference between the two sets of figures.

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by David Aston

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April 30, 2010

Champion Lays

Here’s an interesting looking Football Lay service. They are actually offering a 75 day free trial! Must be pretty confident.

I’ll be blogging the results here until they launch, but I’d thought I’d mention the free trial in case any readers would like to test it with me!

You can get your free trial here:

http://www.cash-master.com/championlays.php

 

Filed under Football by CashMaster

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30th April

A winner on the first trade:

Daily Profit: £200
Total Profit: £2630

Filed under Forex,Spread Betting by CashMaster

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April 30, 2010

Five Figure Betting

Five Figure Betting

This is a one off review using my database of recent data.

The system costs £24.95. For that you get an 8-page PDF, 7 pages of which is a table of previous results.

The system has 5 rules, the final one being to Lay the selection, so in reality the system has 4 rules. The first rule is woolly, but I elected this to mean no joint favourites.

The PDF admit’s to only 190 selections since 2008, so don’t expect a lot of action.

Selections can be made the evening before with suitable Racing Post subscription package, and are fire and forget, i.e. once you have found a selection you lay it and move on to the next. So this system can be used by 9to5ers.

I have two major issues with the manual:

The advertised return of 65K per year is made using 1k stakes! Most of us are not going to be able to risk that sort of money. Even then we are talking a 65 point return for nearly 2 years of betting (as demonstrated in the manual).

The manual shows returns to Industry SP. We know Betfair, and you need to use Betfair because we are laying) has higher odds, often much higher odds. Therefore I think the published results underplay the impact of losses on the total profit.

Anyway, my data from the past 5 weeks is as follows:

Date

Course

Time

BSP

Posn

Stakes

Return

Total

27/03/2010

Kempton (AW)

02:50:00

5

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£9.50

27/03/2010

Newbury

02:15:00

5.42

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£19.00

27/03/2010

Newbury

02:45:00

5.4

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£28.50

04/05/2010

Redcar

02:35:00

5.82

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£38.00

04/08/2010

Aintree

03:45:00

3.8

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£47.50

04/09/2010

Aintree

04:20:00

6.8

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£57.00

04/10/2010

Lingfield (AW)

02:10:00

5.96

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£66.50

04/10/2010

Aintree

03:25:00

30.33

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£76.00

04/10/2010

Aintree

05:35:00

5.1

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£85.50

14/04/2010

Beverley

03:45:00

4.11

1

£10.00

-£31.10

£54.40

16/04/2010

Thirsk

03:05:00

6.04

1

£10.00

-£50.40

£4.00

16/04/2010

Uttoxeter

06:00:00

2.2

1

£10.00

-£12.00

-£8.00

17/04/2010

Ayr

03:20:00

13.5

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£1.50

22/04/2010

Perth

02:10:00

1.83

1

£10.00

-£8.30

-£6.80

23/04/2010

Newton Abbot

08:05:00

4.38

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£2.70

24/04/2010

Haydock

07:05:00

13

Lost

£10.00

£9.50

£12.20

I am going to categorise this as failed then. The reasons for this are: 65 point return in 2 years is not high enough to “quit the day job”, low number of selections,  the published results are suspect due to using the incorrect odds and the 5 weeks of data I have the system did not return a reasonable profit. At this level of return you will die of old age before your bank begins to look healthy!

Also note one of the bets was at 30.33, the Industry SP for this was 13. OK, it lost, but you don’t need many winners above 10 to ruin your bank.

You can get Five Figure Betting here:

http://www.cash-master.com/fivefigurebetting.php

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Arthur

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April 29, 2010

Lay The Ratings

Todays results were as follows:

Selections: 7
Winners: 5
Losers: 2

To Staking Plan:
Loss at Early Prices: -£36.94 (to date £267.90)
Loss at 2”² to off: -£14.75 (to date £330.56)

To Level Stakes:
Loss at Early Prices: -£55.50 (to date £409.70)
Loss at 2”² to off: -£54.50 (to date £396.10)

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by David Aston

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