October 18, 2009

Football Loophole

Saturday 17 Oct

Home Win
Bets today = 4, Wins today = 2, Profit today = £0.60,
Bets overall = 13, Wins overall = 7 (53.85%), Profit overall = £0.59

Over 2.5
Bets today = 12, Wins today = 3, Profit today = £-18.88,
Bets overall = 67, Wins overall = 29 (43.28%), Profit overall = £-19.16

Filed under Football by Arthur

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October 17, 2009

20-20 Cricket Trading System

Two more matches today, the trade results were:

Cape Cobras vs Victoria:

Loss: £3.64

Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Daredevils:

Another match where the odds did not meet the system criteria, so no trade.

Bank: £996.22
Loss to date: £3.78

Looking at the early odds for tomorrow on Betfair, looks like there will be only one trade tomorrow as well, but we’ll see what happens then.

Filed under Cricket,Trading by David Aston

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October 16, 2009

20-20 Cricket Trading System

Two matches today, the results were as follows:

Eagles vs Somerset:

Profit: £7.47

New South Wales vs Trinidad & Tobago:

Unfortunately, another match where the odds did not meet the system criteria, so no trade.

Bank: £999.86
Loss to date: £0.14

Filed under Cricket,Trading by David Aston

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October 16, 2009

The Ultimate Forex Predictor

Friday 16th October

A loser on EURJPY:

http://www.cash-master.com/FXImages/16.10-1.gif

A loser on EURUSD:

http://www.cash-master.com/FXImages/16.10-2.gif

Shame to end the week on a losing day but still a profitable week and going in the right direction again.

Filed under Forex,Spread Betting by Graham

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October 16, 2009

FFF Plan Extra

Another easy day, with a winner in the first race.

Results for Friday 16th October

1 bet, 1 winner.

Daily P/L: £10.00
Total P/L: -£55.32
Current Bank: £144.68

And using the advanced staking plan:

Daily P/L: £10.00
Total P/L: -£36.63
Current Bank: 463.37

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Alistair Moffatt

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October 16, 2009

Five Year Consistency Plan

Days 11 – 18

 


Time    Meeting          Selection                     BSP Price       Result             Profit/ Loss

9th October 2009

3.30     Lingfield            Tamasou                        6.25               UP                   – £100

4.40     Lingfield            Steelcut                        10.36               UP                   – £100

6.20     Wolves Worth a Kings                           2.60               2nd                  – £100

9.20     Wolves Billy Red                                    6.28                UP                  – £100

10th October 2009

No qualifying selections

11th October 2009

No qualifying selections

12th October 2009

No qualifying selections

13th October 2009

No qualifying selections

14th October 2009

No qualifying selections

15th October 2009

No qualifying selections

Starting Bank:   £2000

Previous bank:£1665

Profit/ Loss:      £ 400 Loss

Bank to date: £ 765

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Chris

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October 15, 2009

Football Fibonacci

Over the next few weeks I will be trialling Football Fibonacci.  There are no prizes for guessing that this involves progressive staking on football, using a Fibonacci sequence.

The ebook is in pdf format and is just 12 pages long.  It is well written and easy to understand and in place of the usual pages of padding there was this, “We don’t want to give you the whole story about how you lay and back, etc, as most of you will know…”

There are just three simple rules to follow, the selection process should take only a few minutes and uses Betfair, or Betdaq and one other free-to-use site.  As there are only three rules I will not give away too much as this is another system where the rules could be arrived at from the selections.  For this reason, when I report I will withold the names of the teams and only give the results.

The system involves laying at short odds.  Whenever there is a winning lay (team loses) the stakes are reset.  When there is a losing lay, the stakes follow the sequence 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and for the brave, 21 and are then reset.  So if laying on Betfair for the minimum, the stakes would be £2, £4, £6, £10, £16, £26 and £42.  Depending on whether a sequence of six or seven losing lays is chosen before resetting, a losing sequence will require stakes of 32 or 53 points.  For this reason a bank of 200 points is advised.  The manual claims that in the last seven months there has only been one losing run that got as far as the sixth bet in the sequence; that was a winning lay.

All selections are odds on, 1.99 or less, so the actual points lost on a losing run will be less than the stakes.  Despite this I am not comfortable with a losing run of seven and I feel that for the sake of the test it is better to take the cautious approach, six losses and reset.  That said, it will be unlucky for the test if a losing run of six is encountered, but if that does happen it will be interesting to see how quickly the bank recovers.

There was one point in the manual that I was not happy with and will not be putting into effect.  It suggests that if there is more than one qualifying match starting at the same time to lay all selections and start a new betting cycle: the rationale is to speed profit growth.  The other side of this approach is that following more than one sequence could commit a considerable percentage of the bank.  Also, from the viewpoint of testing the system, it is better to keep it simple and pick one match at a time.

I shall use a £1000 starting bank divided into 200 points.  Therefore, the first stake in any sequence will be £5 and the maximum £65.  The minimum liability in any sequence could be in the region of £2 and the maximum is unlikely to be more than £60.

The first selections will be at the weekend and I hope to post the results somewhere around Sunday evening. 

Filed under Football,Laying by Michael

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October 15, 2009

FFF Plan Extra

A nice easy day today – all over in 5 mins.

Results for Thursday 15th October

1 bet, 1 winner.

Daily P/L: £10.00
Total P/L: -£65.32
Current Bank: £134.68

And using the advanced staking plan:

Daily P/L: £47.00
Total P/L: £-46.63
Current Bank: £453.37

Given the two days with joint-favourite winners, I decided to extend the recovery cycle by one day (and today was that day!)

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Alistair Moffatt

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October 15, 2009

20-20 Cricket Trading System

One match today, which turned into a one-sided affair….

Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Victoria:

Loss: £5.44
Bank: £992.39
Loss to date: £7.61

Two matches tomorrow, so we will see what that brings.

Filed under Cricket,Trading by David Aston

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October 15, 2009

The Ultimate Forex Predictor

Thursday 15th October

A winner on EURJPY:

Then another winner:

And a winner on EURUSD:

Things seem to be on the up this week.

Filed under Forex,Spread Betting by Graham

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