July 27, 2008

Little Acorns

Plenty of action Saturday 26 July and a strange one in the 6.35 at Salisbury.  Being Saturday I am not around for the early check so my list was prepared around 11.45am.  One qualifying race and eleven onto the watchlist.  Three failed The Racing Post test and the first race to look at was not until 4.15.  Before I list the results I will give a brief summary of the 6.35 at Salisbury.  The race qualified prior to the off and I entered my stake but as money moves so fast in this period I could not get an immediate match as the price had drifted in a matter of seconds.  A few minutes passed and it looked as if my price was not going to be touched again so I cancelled my bet.  Very soon the race qualified again and I entered my bet and exactly the same thing happened again but this time the price drifted quickly and substantially to leave the horse no longer odds-on.  I did not take the bet at over 2.00.  The horse, Talk of Saafend, went on to win his race so those of you who were matched at under 2.00 would have lost their bet.  My records will not show this race as I was unmatched.

York 4.15.  Layed Captain Ellis at 1.70.  Profit £9.50 after commission.

Lingfield 5.50.  Layed Amicable Terms at 1.73.  Loss £7.30.

Lingfield 6.50.  Layed You’ve Been Mowed at 1.79.  Profit £19.00 after commission.

Salisbury 7.05.  Layed Elnawin at 1.56.  Loss £5.60.  First stake tomorrow £20.

Profit to date £63.04

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Ian Pretty

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July 27, 2008

The Selector

Saturdays Bets:

2.00 – Ascot – Doctor Crane – LOST 15/8 -£50
5.50 – Lingfield – Amicable Terms – WON 8/13 +£31
6.50 – Lingfield – Dakota Hills – LOST 10/3 -£50
5.05 – Newcastle – Thornaby Green – LOST 2/1 -£50

Daily Profit:-£119
Total Profit: £281

Filed under Backing,Betting Bots,Horse Racing Systems by Graham

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July 27, 2008

Punters Profits

July 26th

 WILDCAT WIZARD 3.40 4TH     £9.50  £19.79
 DOCTOR CRANE 3.25 5TH     £9.50  £21.11
 BAHAMIAN CEILIDH 5.90 5TH     £9.50  £9.69
 ROYAL EXECUTIONER 3.60 3RD     £9.50  £18.27
 SUZIS DECISION 3.60 3RD     £9.50  £18.27
 CRYSTAL CAPELLA 3.90 1ST     -£29.00  -£50.00
 BOUCHERON 5.70 5TH     £9.50  £10.11
 PAVERSHOOZ 4.10 3RD     £9.50  £15.32
 CHOCOLATE CARAMEL 5.20 2ND     £9.50  £11.31
 FOUR MIRACLES 3.50 1ST     -£25.00  -£50.00
 CANDELA BAY 3.20 7TH     £9.50  £21.59
 GREENWICH VILLAGE 2.78 1ST     -£17.80  -£50.00
 TABLEAU VIVANT 3.30 2ND     £9.50  £20.65
 
Level Daily P/L = +£23.20
Liability Daily P/L = +£16.12

Level Total P/L = +£396.04
Liability Total P/L = +£392.51

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Graham

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July 27, 2008

Ex-Jockey

Saturdays bets:

Youve Been Mowed Lingfield 6:50 – LOST 8/11 -£50
Old Romney Lingfield 5:50 – Non-Runner
Roaring Forte Newmarket 2:55 – LOST 2/1 -£50
Hes A Humbug Newcastle 3:55 – LOST 2/1 -£50

Daily Profit: -£150

Total Profit: -£250

Filed under Backing,Horse Racing Systems by Graham

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July 26, 2008

The Profit Place System

There was only one qualifying selection today: it failed to place.  I shall again increase my stake so that it remains at approximately 10% of the bank.    

As I shall be at home for the next few days, I have decided to run the test until the end of the month.  

RESULTS

Saturday 26th July

16.50 York - Inchnadamph - unplaced – £25 @ 2.90  £23.75  PROFIT

Starting bank:                £500
Daily P/L:                       £23.75
Current bank:                 £299.55

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Michael

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I’ve reached the end of my month’s long trial of the LayTriGGer system, so it’s time to reflect on my findings.

As the name suggests, the LayTriGGer system is a laying system that comes with an associated staking plan. The system comes in the form of a short (7 page) eBook, which is well presented and easy to read, and a spreadsheet for recording the results and helping to determine the next stake to be used.

The system requires you to monitor the markets just before each race so, to get the best out of the system, you really need to use a betting bot. The recommended bot is MarketFeeder Pro, and you can buy an add-on to the system which provides the necessary trigger files, so operation just becomes a process of starting MarketFeeder Pro, loading all qualifying races and then sitting back whilst the bot does all the work.

According to the eBook, the system enjoys a 91% strike rate and is expected to make profits using both the included staking plan and at level stakes. For the trial, I decided to use a £25 base stake and to keep records using both staking plans.

The trial ran for one month and during that time a total of 269 bets were made. 242 of these were successful lay bets and 27 were unsuccessful – giving us a calculated strike rate of 90.33%, which is in line with the strike rate given in the eBook. The average odds for these bets was 11.35.

Using the supplied staking plan, we enjoyed a healthy return of £1,038.54 (+41.54 points). Unfortunately at level stakes, we were less fortunate and ended the trial with a loss of £-427.30 (-17.09 points).

So, on the face of it, a successful trial period. +41 points in a month is certainly not to be sniffed at.  However, just like with Betalay and LayPro88,  the system is subject to massive swings in fortune and fluctuations in the bank, so if you are intending to follow it, I would suggest that you have a bank of at least 250 points in order to cope with the volatility.

Turning to level stakes, a strike rate of ~90% would require the average odds to be around 10.0 in order to turn a profit long-term.  The trial period showed an average odds figure that was slightly higher than that, so making a long-term profit at level stakes would be touch and go.

There is certainly an element of chance with this particular system, so I would suggest you treat it with caution. The inability to make a long-term profit at level stakes would suggest that there is no overall edge over the market, and therefore the use of any recovery staking plan would be somewhat risky.

Ultimately, any decision to follow the LayTriGGer system would be a calculated risk. If you like a steady income without the highs and lows of recovery staking, then I would give this system a miss.  However, if you like to take risks then you can make some good short-term returns, but be prepared to have “balls of steel” to see out the rollercoaster ride that this system will give you.

Overall, I would give this system a NEUTRAL rating as it’s lack of edge long-term means that it’s adoption would be a high-risk strategy.

You can get LayTriGGer here:

http://www.cash-master.com/laytrigger.php

 

Filed under Betting Bots,Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Alistair Moffatt

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July 26, 2008

The Profit Place System

Yesterday was much better than I had become used to: the system performed as it is designed to.  There were five qualifying selections, four failed to place and the one that did place was odds on.  I shall now increase my stake to represent, very approximately, 10% of the bank.  

RESULTS

Friday 25th July

15.55 Ascot - Colloquial - unplaced – £20 @ 2.18  £19.00  PROFIT

16.20 Thirsk - Pretty Bonnie - unplaced – £20 @ 2.56  £19.00  PROFIT

18.30 York - Scarlet Oak - unplaced – £20 @ 3.75  £19.00 PROFIT

20.20 Chepstow - Vigano – unplaced – £20 @ 2.82  £19.00  PROFIT

20.30 York – Captain Dunne – placed – £20 @ 1.78  -£15.60  LOSS 

Starting bank:                £500
Daily P/L:                       £50.40
Current bank:                 £275.80

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Michael

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July 26, 2008

The Selector

Well this was a pleasant surprise. Two 11/2 winners on the first day of the test.

Fridays Bets:

8.55 Chepstow Equuleus Pictor LOST 10/3 -£50
5.40 Newmarket Latin Scholar Non-runner
8.45 Newmarket Sarah Park LOST 15/8 -£50
5.30 Thirsk Whinhill House Non-runner
6.30 York Methaaly WON 11/2 +£275
6.30 York Poppy’s Rose LOST 15/2 -£50
8.30 York Jaconet WON 11/2 +£275

Daily Profit: £400
Total Profit: £400

Filed under Backing,Betting Bots,Horse Racing Systems by Graham

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Bit of a funny week last week with only one winning trade but still a healthy £620 profit for the week at £10 a pip. There were no trades on Thursday or Friday.

Filed under Forex,Spread Betting by Graham

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July 26, 2008

Punters Profits

July 25th

 MAWJAAT 6.00 8TH     £9.50  £9.50
 FILUN 3.80 5TH     £9.50  £16.96
 FAITH AND REASON 2.24 4TH     £9.50  £38.31
 FASTNET STORM 5.00 5TH     £9.50  £11.88
 THE DIAL HOUSE 4.30 4TH     £9.50  £14.39
 SOFT MORNING 6.00 2ND     £9.50  £9.50
 SPLASH THE CASH 4.50 7TH     £9.50  £13.57

Level Daily P/L = +£66.50
Liability Daily P/L = +£114.11

Level Total P/L = +£372.84
Liability Total P/L = +£376.39

Filed under Horse Racing Systems,Laying by Graham

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