We’ve come to the end of another month and the end of this 12-month trial. Please note that the following discussion uses the advised £5 per point rather than the usual Cashmaster standard £10 per point.
Football Multiplier is a tipster service that sends you bet selections each Friday. You get three singles that can easily be placed on Betting Exchanges if you want to keep under the bookmaker’s radar and one to two trixies (a combi bet of a treble and three doubles) which needs a bookmaker account to place the bet.
Looking at the Singles first. 155 bets were made over the 12-month period of which 89 won, a 57.4% success rate. But with average bookmaker odds of 1.657, you need a 60% success rate to break even. I did monitor these bets on the Betfair exchange too; the average odds were slightly higher at 1.684 but the breakeven point, even without commission, is 59.4%. It should be no surprise, therefore, that the bookmaker’s side of this service ended 40.1 points down and Betfair down 35.6.
This demonstrates how hard it is to bag a winner, even when odds-on, in football matches.
The Trixies fared no better. As shown above, the service struggled to predict results in singles so bundling similar predictions into an accumulator isn’t going to produce magic. Note that the accumulator usually uses different predictions than those used in the singles. In the 12 months, I had 87 bets and 45 wins and on the face of it a 51.7% success rate looks brilliant. However, I treat an acca as a win if two (or three) of the three legs won so the trial ended down 38.98 points.
My experience of this service certainly doesn’t square with the hyperbolae on the website. At best, I can only see this service providing some “fun” for the weekend. Whilst I am aware that a couple of full (all three legs) wins on the Trixies would probably bring that back to break even, at odds-on the singles will take a long time to recover.
As the trial starts its final month, my mind starts to ponder about the final review. It is going to take a herculean effort to see the Singles in profit at the end of January, but it is not impossible.
The Trixies are in a better position as 1 or 2 full wins would see this part of the service back in profit.
Inside Track is a horse racing tipping service focusing on South African racing. It is part of the Betting Gods community but, as I write this, is closed to new members. For a monthly subscription, Betting Gods tipsters are often around £27 per month, you get notified of selections for the day. Here is an example:
R2 Vaal, Red Knot
1pt win @ 3.50 888, William Hill, Betway
As you can see you also get staking advice, here 1 point win, and some suggested bookmakers where you might be able to get the quoted price.
As normal for my reviews, I recorded results based on the prices contained in the emails. There isn’t a Betfair component to this review as even if the races were available, the liquidity tended to be poor. Using this service could expose your bookmaker account getting gubbed so you’d have to take steps to prevent that.
As the chart shows, the review got off to a poor start and never recovered. The last few weeks of the trial may indicate the green shoots of a recovery but this is not enough to convince me to rate the service as neutral. The trial ended down 52.96 points (-£529.60 using our standard £10 per point) to which roughly £100 of subscriptions need to be added. It would take too many weeks to return to profitability as we have had only 1 part-way decent week and that was for only 20 points (£200).
Platinum Puck Profits is an ice hockey based system that you can purchase for a one-off free. For this you get a booklet that describes how to select the two teams from the same league that are bet as a double, and a simple Fibonacci-based loss recovery staking plan.
As you are betting doubles, this is a bookmaker-only service. It could be possible to do this on an exchange if the result from match 1 is known before match 2 starts; however, Betfair doesn’t always have the matches you are interested in. There is the little problem of being awake at 3 am to place the NHL bet which also makes exchanges unfeasible.
You have to find the selections for yourself and I used https://www.oddsportal.com/hockey/ for this. I concentrated on the leagues mentioned on the website.
The trial was split into two components as I started looking at Platinum Puck Profits in February, just as the leagues were concluding the 2022-23 season. As I only managed to collect five weeks of data I decided to restart in October, when the leagues were starting their 2023-24 campaigns.
First Trial. NHL Bets: 25. NHL P/L: -72.12 points. Extraliga Bets: 7. Extraliga P/L: 8.24 points. Fin Bets: 7. Fin P/L: -22 points. DEL Bets: 10. DEL P/L: 19.93 points. SHL Bets: 12. SHL P/L: 37.29 points. Swiss Bets: 8. Swiss P/L: 12.61 points. Total: 56.07 points.
The first trial ended rather nicely with good returns on the Czech Republic (Extraliga), Germany (DEL), Sweden (SHL) and Swiss, but a large deficit for the NHL.
Second Trial NHL Bets: 19. NHL P/L: -36.83 points. Extraliga Bets: 17. Extraliga P/L: -27.98 points. Fin Bets: 19. Fin P/L: -25.45 points. DEL Bets: 16. DEL P/L: -2.82 points. SHL Bets: 18. SHL P/L: 33.19 points. Swiss Bets: 17. Swiss P/L: -25.07 points. Total: -84.96 points.
Performance through the second trial has not been as good with only Sweden (SHL) in profit, and NHL performing poorly again.
Overall, NHL is down 109 points, the Czech Republic (Extraliga) is down 20 points, Finland is down 47.5 points, Germany (DEL) is up 17 points, Sweden (SHL) is up 70.5 points and Swiss down 12.5 points for an overall loss of 29 points.
I am going to fail this service for the following reasons.
As it is bookmaker-based there is always the risk of getting gubbed; yes, you can use other bookies but the results above assume you are getting the best price. Profitability will be further reduced by taking lower odds making the service far less attractive. The second comment about being bookmaker-based is scalability, you are never going to be able to play these doubles at £500 per point, you may be able to get £25.
The website hasn’t been updated for 2 years and is, therefore, promoting itself with out-of-date data. This suggests that even the vendor has little interest in this service.
And, finally, the performance is just not there unless you remove the NHL from your list; you get a huge 109-point surge in overall profit to make roughly 80 points overall. I feel that the £800 profit, using our standard £10 per point, does not mitigate the concerns above, especially as £705 of this profit is just from one league (SHL) and if the wheels come off that …!