When I first started monitoring this service three months ago, I was raving about it. After all, what usually happens when I review a service, all the hitherto top results take an about turn and head for losses. After 11 days of AI Football Accas, I was 35 points up with a 50% strike rate which, for accumulators, is ridiculous. I had started to believe – but of course, I was wrong; it couldn’t be sustained. The following 47 bets found just two winners. After three months, the service has just broken even – less the cost of the subscription.
First, a word about AI (artificial intelligence). It’s been the buzzword for a couple of years now, how it’s going to transform the lives of all of us, and I have no doubt that’s true. But it’s not one size fits all, it very much depends on how the writers and programmers develop it for use in any particular service. It’s certainly possible to use it in sports prediction, and the more variables which can be included will make the programme more efficient. I remember in 1996 when Alex Ferguson changed the Manchester United team’s shirts at half time against Southampton because the players complained that they couldn’t see each other properly in grey (maybe an excuse as they were 3-0 down!). They still lost the game, but they won the second half. Whilst most sensible commentators will argue that the shirt colours are irrelevant to results, do we have data to show this? It will be very hard to show one way or the other because there are an enormous number of variables to consider. That’s why we need a computer to crunch the data. And even if you can show by simple stats that Arsenal get better results when they wear red shirts, it doesn’t show that the results are better because of the shirts. AI should be able to tell us the likelihood that the factor of shirt design has any significance in the performance. And further, for the team as a whole, and for individual players. And so it goes on.
I’m rambling. This is because a lot of betting service sellers are using AI to suggest that the service they’re promoting is somehow smarter than a human assessor. But there are many services out there providing data on football, horse racing and other sports which are accessible to us all. We’re not told about the nature of the AI programmes, if the seller has developed them for themselves, if they’re using services which are available to all, or if they’re really using any AI systems.
I think services which claim to use AI for betting suggestions would do well to engage with their subscribers in order that suggestions can be made to improve them. A developer simply can’t think of everything (the obvious problem here is that data for many variables, no doubt including shirt details, just doesn’t exist in one place anywhere. But a lot can be collected and developed over time).
Anyway, to be fair, break even is probably a better result than most of us would have guessed after a three month trial. Here are the numbers:
Total number of bets: 84
Total points staked: 171
Average number of legs per acca: 4-5
Average stake per acca: 2 points
Average odds per acca: 10.25
Average odds per winning acca: 7.23
Strike rate: 14.2%
Profit/loss: -0.78 points
So a shrug. I would say that there were a few errors on the emails which remained uncorrected, such as 12th January 19:30 – Germany – Bundesliga – Burnley vs Luton – Bet Both teams to score (y) @ 1.21: but it was usually possible to work out what the intended bet was.
Also, I’m not really enamoured about paid services which use their subscriber database to promote other services for affiliate fees, and this is one of those.
Would I give this service the thumbs up? Well, I won’t be continuing with it myself, but there’s always the thrill factor when an acca comes up, so I’ll rate this as a neutral. What I take from this mostly, though, is the run of 47 bets with just two winners.
This football tipping service stands out from the huge numbers of offers coming into my inbox, so I thought it was worth a review. Not just because of the claim that it turned a £2k bank into £1.2 million in 3 years (having blogged services for so long, I really take all unverified claims with a pinch of salt), but because the type of service it is (full results are comprehensive, and these are bets available to all). By the way, that £1.2 million was based on a 50 point bank, with staking at 4 points (it says 3, but all the six bets I’ve had so far are 4) and compounding monthly.
The service is run by the Bet Social betting agency, and the tipster is a pro with 20 years experience. It is currently standing at 26 consecutive months profit.
The focus is predominantly on the main European Leagues, UEFA Cup matches and domestic cups. The markets targeted must have value in prices and liquidity on the exchanges. The bets can be struck on the exchanges or with bookies, and I won’t review any service where exchange betting isn’t possible other than accas which can’t be made on Betfair.
Markets covered are Asian Handicaps, Match Odds (1X2), Both Teams To Score and Over/Under Goals. Every bet comes with a short analysis. A suggested Correct Score for the game is also provided, and whilst results for these are also given to 4 points on a 50 point bank, for me this is far too high to start off with, so I will record this to a flat 1 point (though as three of my first eight were correct, I kinda wish I hadn’t!).
Since January 2021, results have given a 664% Return On Capital. So like all successful tipsters/systems, a long-term view is essential.
I have had eight tips so far, with five winning and three lost, and as most are around the even money mark, I’m a couple of points in front. The correct scores are on +31 points already in my first week, but of course that graph will likely head downwards because these wins are few and far between, but they have been profitable over the period.
When I began this review in mid October, I was astonished by the success of the accas. This hit 5 successful bets out of the first 10, with a high of 34 points profit.
In his mail-out, Graham suggested that, with bets like these, the wheels could fall off. Well, they haven’t exactly done that, it is still in profit by 6 points. However, we’re on a losing run of 16 bets, and in his daily emails, the promoter talks about ‘strange results’ and ‘promises’ a win will turn up in a few days – which is a bit of a concern.
I’m still in profit, but there will be those of you who signed up after that initial burst of success thinking this is like one of those services which invent magnificent results and find that once you’ve parted with your money, the results go downhill. This isn’t one of those, and of course an accas system is always going to have losing runs, but I would advise very low or zero stakes while you’re still in the Clickbank guarantee period (30 days).
There has recently been a plethora of betting services which claim to offer selections generated by AI (artificial intelligence). I have subscribed to a couple of AI horse racing services only on the basis that they sell their subscriptions through Clickbank, meaning there’s a cast iron 30 day money back guarantee. The idea during this period is that you would be advised to paper trade, or use very low stakes. Where the marketing tells you that, with the guarantee, you have absolutely nothing to lose by signing up, that is only true if you don’t back the selections using real money. It is very obvious from both these services that the pre-signing up results are in very stark contrast to the results after subscribing, and as I’m not naming them here, the conclusion anyone would come to is that the earlier results were made up.
I had an agreement with another AI service, AI Football Accas, to run a review of their results for Cash Master. I started receiving their bets a week ago, and thus far it’s been impressive. The very first acca I received was 5 legs at 6.41, and ALL OF THEM WON. I have also received 2 winning trebles and a four-fold. So in one week, I’ve received nine accas and four of them have won, at average odds of 6.6. They claim to have some successful monster accas generated by the system. Bets are easy enough to get on with any bookie. Those of us who are gubbed can usually find one or two bookies who will take our money, and of course, bookies love accas because they profit greatly from them.
Two of my successful accas were yesterday, where there was one unsuccessful acca, with only one game out of the ten letting it down – and had a VAR decision not gone against us in the losing bet, it would have been a 100-1 acca.
22 points profit in one week certainly keeps me interested, and I will be reporting back on this after the three month review.
I enthusiastically volunteered to review this service, given the results from November 1st 2022 until my review began on 18th April this year, at which point it had made 462 points profit at BOG and 350 points at BSP after 157 bets. The first thing I look at here is the staking, and most of these bets are recommended at 3, 4 or 5 points. I always want to know what the results look like at 1 point single staking, but even 70 points profit after 157 bets piques my interest.
Here’s the sales pitch:
This is so easy to do that even a novice punter could place these bets in just a few minutes. Set the bets then go about your normal daily business. It’s that simple! I have an excellent record to prove it and very soon you’ll be betting on virtual auto-pilot too
I can make YOU a winner!
There are five key factors that bring me success…
I am selective and very profitable over all racing codes, National Hunt, Flat and the All Weather!
What Can My Triple Crown Racing Service Offer You?
– 11 years learning the ropes to become a better punter
– 10 years as a betting professional
– 21 years overall betting experience
– Bets sent by 10.30am every morning
– Win and each way bets
– A 56% winning strike rate
– A huge 76% return on investment
– £2,285 a month to £25 per point bets
– Profitable to BOG, Betfair SP and SP
– Business like approach
– Investment Plan to follow Turn £25 per point bets into £33,147 plus
– Full advice and support when you need it
I will give you everything you need to start making exceptional long-term profits from your betting!
Including my Ultimate Staking Plan that has turned £5,000 into £33,000 in just 5 months!”
Now of course my trial is our standard 3 months, and all tipping services can, and do, have their downsides. With average odds of 3.5, these shouldn’t be long downsides, but the mathematics says it will happen. However, if you look at the graph, it seems I managed to find the exact point not to join! The green line shows the results BEFORE my trial, the red is the three month trial in full. This does seem to happen to me quite often, and I blog from a punter’s point of view, so I’m sure many readers will be very familiar with these circumstances.
The service is easy enough to follow, and can be used for Betfair as well as BOG bookies. There are usually a bet a day, occasionally two, and these are mostly straight win bets, though we did have three each way bets, none of which showed a return. For me, the service started getting frustrating when two-year-olds were targeted, which resulted in a bit of a losing run. These are not races which I would bet on myself, given the lack of form..
Points staked: 262
Strike rate: 30%
Profit/loss to recommended stakes: -51 points
Profit/loss to BSP: -16 points
Longest winning run: 3
Longest losing run: 7
To me this looks like a service which can recover. It’s never been long away from a win. And even though I’m failing it, that’s based on the three months of the trial. I wouldn’t fail it if I’d been on board from the start, but that’s the vagary of being a punter.