Like month one of this review, month two of this horse racing tipping service has not been very promising! The 75 point bank was busted at both ISP and BSP by six weeks in, and changing from each way to win only has stemmed the losses only because the staking is lower.
ISP has seen another 38 points disappear down the swanee in March, with virtually no respite. So we’re down over 100 points since the start of the review, and it obviously has a lot of work to do in April to prove itself, and this is no easy feat on the jumps/flat crossover.
Previous results from September 2020 to the start of this review have shown a 36% ROI on BSP, so maybe this has just been an exceptionally poor review thus far, as happens with many profitable services. So, benefit of the doubt, let’s see if they can pull it back.
If you took up the Bet Sage’s absurd free offer of access to their Cheltenham picks, and you followed them, you’ll be well happy today. Four selections on day one yielded a couple of places only, with some encouraging runs to show that this tipster was thereabouts.
Another four selections were provided on day two. Bravemansgame finished third. In the Coral Cup, Heaven Help Us won at 34.0 (advised at 41.0, BSP 39.83). In the Queen Mother Champion Chase, the trends pickers would have swerved Put The Kettle On because the race has never been won by a mare. Until today, that is. Bet Sage advised this one at 10.0, it duly won at 9.5 SP, 12.17 BSP. Glen Forsa, the last selection, ran out of steam.
The four were given as single for the first, each ways for the others, with various stakes advised, plus a small each way yankee.
What all this amounted to was 42.23 points profit on the yankee and 36.25 on the singles. 3.5 points lost on the losing bets, giving a profit of 74.98 points on day 2 of Cheltenham, for an outlay of 7.6 points.
I’ve been singing the praises of this service for a while now, and even if we have no more wins for the rest of the festival, we will emerge with a very handsome profit. And all of it given out free (I think they’re crazy, but these guys want to show you what they’re made of).
Do the bloggers on this site put their own money into the services they’re blogging? Well, I can’t answer for any of the others, but for me, the answer is no. So why do I do it? Well, I guess I’m looking for the service that we’re all looking for. You know, the one where there’s not too much work to be done, where the losing runs are tiny, and where the upsides are quick. Don’t get me wrong: I will only approve a service if I honestly believe that subscribers will make a profit from it. So over the years I’ve been with Graham, and he is very tolerant of me picking and choosing services to blog, I’ve seen some very good services, but haven’t jumped on board when the review is over.
Finally, though, watching the results from Bet Sage, knowing that it profits on Betfair as well as bookies – because I’ve been gubbed from most bookies – I decided to put a bank onto the service and see where it takes me.
So, I put £500 bank onto this on 16th January and decided I will place 1% of the bank per point advised. Today, that bank stands at £837.53 after 2% commission. This weekend, Bet Sage advised four bets, three wins at 5.5, 4.0 (no double advised, unfortunately) and 6.5, and a second, advised each way at 7.0. So, it’s going well!! There have been drawdowns. Only one placed horse in 11 bets starting Jan 28th. And it was here, my contact at Bet Sage told me, that many subscribers withdrew!! This, of course, has always happened and always will. It takes a certain temperament to win at betting, and those who can’t handle even these relatively small losing runs would be best advised that betting is not something they should be invloved in. You have to assign a bank to the system, and write the bank off – like if you’ve bought shares, or crypto.
Anyway, lecture over. I’m sticking with this, I’ll let you know where it gets me.
There’s a reason why bookies love accas, which is because the proportion of payouts they have to make is significantly smaller than gains. Everyone who has ever backed an acca based on nailed on punts knows that there is always the failed banker which comes along to mess up your smart staking. It’s always happened, and it always will. There will always be your Leicester Citys who, against all the odds, beat your Manchester Citys.
I was interested in this service because it claims to have bucked the trend: by grouping (mostly) odds on value bets, they find accas which over time consistently pay for the losing runs. I have no criticism or comment to make about their skill at doing that. And for a long term investment, they can reasonably claim that three months isn’t long enough to show what they can do. I accept that, in most circumstances, but for better or worse, a three month trial is what we blog on this site. I wouldn’t really want to blog this through a longer period, I do like respite, and I didn’t get any here.
There have been close calls. The final acca of the month failed by a single home goal. But equally, there have been times, like the previous acca, where only one out of the six picks won. Furthermore, this is long term, and when you DO win, you win big, so two or three wins could put you into profit.
Having said that, this definitely isn’t for me. I don’t need to do all the usual ROI stats. The individual wins within the accas (96) outperformed the losses (76) but at the average odds, the singles would have been a hefty loss too. If you’re into accas, this may well be a decent service to smoke them out, but you have to be resilient and monied. So, there were 34 accas, 33 of them lost and the other one was a five selection acca, one of which was a non runner and another was a draw no bet which was a no bet, so ended up as a disappointing treble. There may have also been times when particular bookie offers allowed a loss for a money back guarantee.
So – if I had bet £10 per acca during the trial, I would have finished just over £290 down. There would have been no fees to pay, because only winning accas at odds over 5.0 are chargeable at £10 flat rate. If you miss a winning acca, you can tell them and they’ll refund your tenner, which is more than fair. They have also added an extra service recently of value bets on individual football matches, which is non chargeable. That’s started quite well, but there’s not enough data yet to make a valid assessment.
I’m afraid I have no interest in this service, but I want to be fair and acknowledge that it’s done OK before the review, and if you really are into accas, this may be as good as it gets. So I’m not going to fail it, for me it’s a neutral.
The first month of the review of this horse racing tipping service has not been very promising! At -64 points BSP and -69 points ISP, it is already precariously close to busting the advised 75 point bank. Their results agency also had a coding problem, leaving the official results incorrect. This has now been resolved.
The service seems to have changed tack towards the end of the month, from advising nearly all bets at 1point each way, to focussing on smaller odds runners at 1 point wins. So far, this hasn’t improved the results.
Previous results from September 2020 to the start of this review have shown a 36% ROI on BSP, so maybe this has just been an exceptionally poor month, as happens with many profitable services. So, benefit of the doubt, let’s see if they can pull it back.