The Shortlist

FINAL REVIEW

I have been recording results since September 7th. My starting bank was £400. This is smallest bank using 1% recommendations, so an each way bet is £2 win/place, and £4 for a win bet. I reset the bank on a daily basis, and place my bets at Betfair SP. Any selection priced at 5.0+ at the time of placing the bet is a win and place bet UNLESS there are fewer than 8 declared runners, in which case it’s a win only bet. If the bank falls below £400, the stakes remain at £2 win/place and £4 win because £2 is the minimum stake on Betfair (there are ways round this but I’m sticking with the minimum).
I have placed 977 bets since September 7th and the bank stands at -£177.46, so around 44 points down. Taking a view over the whole of 2018 to the end of November, the results show a profit of 224 points to BSP, and over 360 points if taking early prices at bookies. That won’t be much consolation for anybody who joined in mid June or after, putting in over 1800 bets and currently sitting on a 55+ points deficit. To be fair, this is a long-term proposition, and there’s more to the service than just the Shortlist, such as how to build your own systems, and compile your own odds. Looking at the graph since my review began, though, this doesn’t look compelling.



Having said that, there is a marked discrepancy between my results and official results. One of the reasons for this is that I have used a ratchet staking system (which is advised) whereas the official results show flat staking. If you look at the graph below, the blue line represents BOG bookie results for a profit of 118 points (to 30/11) and the red line shows a profit to BSP of 21 points. My own BSP results show a loss of 22 points in the same period. Whether this discrepancy is wholly down to the different staking, or one or other of us has made any incorrect results inputting I’m not sure, but I’m not prepared to go back and check through over 900 results! But starting from the first day of the review, 7th September, a horse called Kaeso came 3rd in the 3.50 at Ascot. With one non runner, this became a no place return from bookies but is marked down as a break even result on official results. There were 7 runners in the race but 3rd place would have counted for a place return to BSP, but not to ISP. I’m certain this was not a deliberate error but it does count toward the discrepancy.


All that said, worst case scenario is my ratchet BSP results. In most cases, if a system is successful, ratcheting would be the best way of profiting from it. My own preference is, you start with a bank and a percentage of the bank, below which you don’t go. So if I am using a £1000 bank and have 1% bets, then the minimum would be £10, even if the bank fell below the starting balance. Best case scenario is BOG bookies taking the early prices. The large difference between these two outcomes is something that would definitely put me off, and I wouldn’t subscribe to this myself, as somebody who has been banned by most bookies. I do know that on other blogs, this operator is popular and has many plaudits, and I certainly think he has the right approach to betting. As such, I am marking this review as neutral.

You can try The Shortlist HERE

Exponential Bet

Regular readers will know how I like graph, and I particularly like the look of this one which is my horse racing in-play system that has added +13.5% to the bank in two and a half weeks. This is just one part of a comprehensive range supplied by Ryan at Exponential, and he is constantly in development and I am looking forward to the imminent publication of the trading manual.

What I have found so far is that you do need a level of engagement to get involved here. It is also advisable, though not essential in most cases, to subscribe to an Application Programming Interface (API), and Fairbot is suggested, as well as The Bet Engine and Betsender, so once you are subscribed, there may be further costs along the way, though these aren’t huge.

So far I am just getting my teeth into the Dutching systems, of which there are currently four separate methods. We receive the daily target races by email, but there are also resources showing how you can drill down your own target races. There’s a lot to take on board! The football in-play alerts are sent to your mobile phone via the WhatsApp platform. So – I’m up and running, but still with plenty to learn.

Football has been struggling to cross the profit line, but it’s early days and there is a lot going on in the pipeline with new tools and new strategies.

I’ll leave you with an intro from the man who runs the services, Ryan Phillips:

Exponential Bet betting and trading strategies look to take an initial investment, and increase this to a larger balance over time.

With the focus on protecting the betting bank, making steady consistent gains for my clients. No get rich quick promises, just steady consistent growth which you can see represented in the results for each strategy.

Incorporating experience from the betting industry, property investing, and currency trading, I’ve developed my own profitable bet and trade strategies.

Like many people I see a virtually limitless potential for making money using the betting exchange, and wish to exploit this as much as possible.

The exponential growth is achieved via the incremental staking system for some of my systems, which is built in to staking. I’ve tried to make everything as simple as possible for my clients, and provide support and guidance when required.

Improvements do come slowly in the beginning, but gains increase rapidly over time, this is the ethos behind any successful exponential growth system.

Which means in order to see the long term benefits of running such a betting or trading system, you will need discipline, motivation to see the bigger picture, and desire to reach your own personal financial targets.

More information HERE

Trends Expert

Update

I’ve had plenty of discussion with the owner of this service about how results are presented. From this week, I am happy that the results are fair and will reflect a true picture of what a subscriber to the service can expect to achieve by using it. There was some confusion previously about extra bets (forecasts, tricasts, and cross-multiples) and I have been recording these results for my final review in January.

There was also a grey area about when to back to win, and when each way. My results up to the end of November will include half stakes each win and place for runners @ 20/1 and bigger. From now, it will be winners only. This won’t make a significant difference to the results.

The official results since my review began on October 6th are +2.7 points profit. For the whole year, though, it’s a 385 point profit. Actually breaking even for a while is no bad thing, what you’re really waiting for is the very big priced winners, and these do happen fairly regularly.

My results aren’t as good, because I record all results to BSP and to ISP. My BSP results are -3.12, which is only 6 points behind the official stats, and my ISP results are -42 points. The forecasts and tricasts may be significant in my final report as they have been a boost, but they also can spoil an otherwise good day. We’ll wait for the full three months .

You can try Trends Expert here

LMR Racing

UPDATE

The review began on 9th November since when we’ve had 28 bets and 11 wins for a profit of 5.86 points BSP after 5% deductions and 11.05 points advised odds.

This is a horse racing backing service from the Top Tipsters stable which I am putting through the stats grinder for three months. Here’s what they have to say about it:

Combination of form study data analysis and information to bring you high quality bets for flat and jumps Racing.. We average 1 or 2 bets per day with emphasis on value and aim long term Profit. Many of our horses are well supported in the market and we advise 1 pt win on all occasions. Take your betting seriously by joining us today.

The cost of subscription is £34.99 monthly with 3 month and 12 month deals, which you can find HERE

The Shortlist

Bank update

I have been recording results since September 7th. My starting bank was £400. This is smallest bank using 1% recommendations, so an each way bet is £2 win/place, and £4 for a win bet. I reset the bank on a daily basis, and place my bets at Betfair SP. Any selection priced at 5.0+ at the time of placing the bet is a win and place bet UNLESS there are fewer than 8 declared runners, in which case it’s a win only bet. If the bank falls below £400, the stakes remain at £2 win/place and £4 win because £2 is the minimum stake on Betfair (there are ways round this but I’m sticking with the minimum).

I have placed 904 bets since September 7th and the bank stands at -£112.8, so around 28 points down. Taking a view over the whole of 2018 to the end of November, the results show a profit of 224 points to BSP, and over 360 points if taking early prices at bookies. That won’t be much consolation for anybody who joined in mid June or after, putting in over 1800 bets and currently sitting on a 55+ points deficit. To be fair, this is a long-term proposition, and there’s more to the service than just the Shortlist, such as how to build your own systems, and compile your own odds. Looking at the graph since my review began, though, this doesn’t look compelling.