I have a very sincere apology to make as I have messed up big time. One of the issues with cut’n’paste is, when you make a mistake and this goes undetected, you replicate this mistake everywhere. The mistake I made was to use the place odds instead of the win odds when a lay bet won its race. This severely reduced the losses I reported for these events, and as made a very large difference to the totals, especially for the Advanced Selections.
I am very sorry about this.
If you bought the software on the back of my blog, please note 2 things: firstly the automated selections are still in profit and secondly you are still in the evaluation period. If the level of profit from the automated selections is not sufficient for you please return the software for a refund.
Further, I said from the outset that I knew little about horses, and the loss on my advanced selections is cause for me to stop attempting these. I do still think that in the hands of someone who knows what they are doing they will be a valuable aid, but there is no way for me to test that.
Anyway, on to the heavily amended data.
|15:40 – Magic Destiny-Back||ABN|
|15:50 – Exotic Guest-Back||Lost|
|16:40 – Clayton-Back||ABN|
|17:00 – Keeping Time-Back||Lost|
|17:10 – Dutch Heritage-Back||ABN|
|19:10 – Tempest Fugit-Back||Won|
|19:40 – Gucci D’oro-Back||Lost|
|20:10 – Talwar-Lay||No Bet|
|20:40 – Sunley Pride-Back||No Bet|
The adjustment here is a reduction of 17 points.
Day 16: 4 Bets, 1 winner. -1.98 points; £-19.84 to £10 stakes, 1% plan is £-21.86.
Overall: 93 bets, 37 winners. +10.92 points for £+109.21 to £10 stakes, 1% plan £+79.85.
Note: Using each-way when Win odds are 6 or above returned:
Day 16: 4 Bets, 1 winners and 0 placed. -1.98 points; £-19.84 to £10 stakes, 1% plan is £-19.16.
Overall: 93 bets, 37 winners and 4 placed. -3.99 points for £-39.91 to £10 stakes, 1% plan £-53.49.
The adjustment here is a reduction of 67 points.
Overall: 84 bets, 29 winners and 6 placed. -51.99 points for £-519.90 to £10 stakes, 1% plan £-521.47.