Tuesday’s NAP comes from the English Championship and the game between Blackpool and Bolton.  Both these sides are not shy in front of goal and Bolton’s defence is the third worst in the league.  Their away matches this year have featured 4, 5, 2, 3, 4 and 2 goals.  Blackpool have found the net in all their league matches this season (9 games).  Their last 4 matches have produced 2, 4, 4 and 3 goals.  Bolton need the points badly so I doubt they will park the bus and when these teams met last year both games finished 2-2.  The 5/6 for over 2.5 goals looks a good price but at 85/40 I’m happy to back the over 3.5 goals.

10pt win with BetVictor

English Championship (KO 8.00pm)

Blackpool v Bolton over 3.5 goals @85/40 (3.13) – alternately take the 2/1 (3.0) which is generally available. LOST (0-0) -10pts

Another game that looks set up for goals is the match between Brighton and Sheffield Wednesday.  Wednesday have not kept a clean sheet all season and all 5 of their away games have seen both teams scoring with the matches finishing 1-4, 1-1, 1-1, 1-2, 1-2.  Brighton have struggled on their travels but are a good side at home scoring in all their matches.  Over 2.5 goals looks overpriced at 11/10.  In Brazil’s Serie B two form teams go head-to-head and I fancy both to get on the scoresheet.  Icasa have won 4 out of 5 away from home, scoring in all 5 and a total of 9 goals.  They travel to Ceara who have scored in 14 straight home matches.  Both teams to score at 3/4 looks a good bet.

5pt double with Ladbrokes @2.68/1 (3.68)

Brighton v Sheffield Wednesday (English Campionship KO 7.45pm) over 2.5 goals @11/10 (2.1) LOST (1-1)

Ceara v Icasa (Brazil Serie B KO 11.30pm) both teams to score @3/4 (1.75) LOST (1-0) -5pts

Alternately take this double with Betfred/ PaddyPower/ Boylesports/ Bwin/ Stan James who all go 3.42 or better.

Daily P/L (Day 12) -15pts

Running P/L -11.72pt