One that might have slipped under the radar on Wednesday is the Portugese Segunda Liga match between Tondela and Sporting B. Sporting B have the worst away record in the league; P4 W0 D0 L4 (goals scored 0, goals conceded 8). Hosts Tondela have played 12 matches in all competitions this season and have scored in all of them. Their recent scoring run reads 2, 5, 2, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 2. It’s 13/10 with Sportingbet they grab two or more against Sporting B and that looks cracking value in the context of those figures.
10pt win with Sportingbet
Portugal Segunda Liga (KO 4.00pm)
Tondela v Sporting B total home goals over 1.5 @13/10 (2.3) – the only other bookmaker offering this market is Coral @6/4 but we have had no luck with them keeping the markets open on this type of bet.
Another side who look overpriced to score at home are Shaktar Donetsk against Manchester Utd. United have conceded in all three of their away games this season and looked decidedly shaky at the back against WBA at the weekend, conceding another two. Shaktar are no mugs at home and, having been to Real Sociedad in the first round of fixtures and scored twice, the 6/4 looks too big for them to repeat that dose against a shaky looking United defence. In the German 3 Liga, Dortmund II have scored in each of their 4 home games and 3 out of the 4 have paid out for both teams to score. Visitors Darmstadt have scored in 4 and conceded in 3 of their 5 away matches. Both teams to score looks a good bet @10/11.
5pt double with Stan James @3.58/1 (4.58)
Shaktar Donetsk v Man Utd (Champions League KO 7.45pm) total home goals over 1.5 @6/4 (2.5)
Dortmund II v Darmstadt (German 3 Liga KO 6.00pm) both teams to score @10/11 (1.91)
This is a standout price with Stan James. The nearest to it is 4.14 with BWin.
For some reason Nick has not updated this post with the results as he usually does, this is where we stand at the moment:
Daily P/L (Day 13) -15pts
Running P/L -26.72pt
*note: he did update himself later that day