Thursday’s NAP comes from the Europa League and the match between Seville and Freiburg. Seville have been in terrific goal scoring form netting 18 goals at home in just 5 games. Their 10 matches this year have averaged 3.7 goals per game. Visitors Freiburg’s 10 matches are averaging 3.2 goals per game and their last away matches have seen 5, 3, 6 and 4 goals. Over 2.5 goals looks a solid bet and the 7/10 available represents a bit of value.
10pt win with Ladbrokes or Sportingbet
Europa League (KO 6.00pm)
Seville v Freiburg over 2.5 goals @7/10 (1.7) LOST (2-0) -10pts
Staying in the Europa League, Ebsjerg and Salzburg meet in a game between two very attack minded sides. Salzburg warmed up with an 8-1 home league win at the weekend and have scored in all 17 matches they have played this year. Ebsjerg from Denmark are equally impressive, recording wins of 4-1 and 7-1 prior to Thursday’s match. They too have scored in all of their games this season (14 matches). Over 2.5 goals looks on the cards. Finally a trip to the Danish NordicBet Ligaen. Hobro sit top of the over 2.5 table, with 8 of their 10 games seeing 3 goals or more. They visit Fredericia who’s five home games are averaging over 4.2 goals per game. Again, over 2.5 goals looks a good bet.
5pt double with Ladbrokes @1.89/1 (2.89)
Ebsjerg v Salzburg over 2.5 goals (Europa League KO 8.05pm) over 2.5 goals @8/11 (1.73) WON (1-2)
Fredericia v Hobro (Denmark NordicBet Ligaen KO 5.30pm) over 2.5 goals @4/6 (1.67) WON (3-0) +9.45pts
Next best are BetVictor @2.85 and Stan James @2.80.
Daily P/L -0.55pts
Running P/L -27.28pts