Friday 4th October 2012

It’s the Sofia derby in Bulgaria on Friday and both teams to score looks overpriced.  Home side Levski have only conceded 9 goals in their 11 league games.  However their home form is pretty poor and reads P5 W1 D2 L2 goals scored 8, goals conceded 5 and they sit 6th in the table.  Visitors Lokomotiv sit in 9th place but they have scored in 16 consecutive away matches going all the way back to April.  Recent away matches have seen them win 2-0, 2-1 and draw 2-2.  Both teams to score has paid out in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams.

 

10pt win with Ladbrokes

 

Bulgarian A League (KO 1.00pm)

 

Levski Sofia v Lokomotiv Sofia both teams to score @2/1 (3.0) – William Hill go 7/4 (2.75) which is also a decent price.

 

We’ve hit the bar in France Ligue 2 but Nimes and Caen both look good to find the back of the net when they meet on Friday.  Caen’s 4 away games this season read D2-2, L3-2, L2-1, W2-1 and 8 out of 10 of Nime’s games have seen both teams scoring, including 5 out of 6 at home.  In the Croatian 1 HNL, we look to take advantage of Slaven Belupo’s poor home form which has seen them losing 3 and drawing 2 from five matches.  They have conceded two or more in 4 of those home games.  Visitor’s Lokomotiv Zagreb are the league’s joint highest scorers with 20 goals.  They have scored in each of their away 6 games this year and in 4 of those they grabbed 2.  I fancy them to score on Friday and that’s a best priced 2/7 so I’d much rather be on them to score two or more at anything greater than Evens.

 

5pt double with 888Sport and Unibet @2.78/1 (3.78)

 

Nimes v Caen (France Ligue 2 KO 7.00pm) both teams to score @3/4 (1.75)

Belupo v Lokomotiv Zagreb (Croatia 1 HNL KO 5.00pm) total away goals over 1.5 @22/19 (2.16) – Coral offer this at 3.98 but caution is again advised as they are difficult to get on with.  Next best is Sportingbet @3.66

 

Nimes v Caen was played Saturday instead of Friday due to weather.

 

Levski Bet Lost -10 pts

Nimes & Belupo Double Won +14.90

RUNNING P/L  -22.38 pts