Thursday’s NAP sees us heading over to the Swiss Challenge League and the game between league leaders Vaduz and Lugano.  Vaduz have lost just once this season from 10 games in all competitions.  They top the league with a record of P8 W5 D2 L1.  They have scored an impressive 18 goals in those 8 games. Their home record reads P4 W3 D1 and they have scored 12 goals in the process (W4-1, W4-0, D1-1, W3-1).  In contrast, visitors Lugano sit in 8th place and they have picked up just 2 points in their last 5 games, conceding 10 goals.  In their last three league games they have lost by scores of 0-2, 1-4 and 0-3.  Vaduz are rightly favourites to win this and with Coral a standout 5/6 for them to score two or more that looks good value to me.

10pt win with Coral

Vaduz v Lugano (Swiss Challenge League) total home goals over 1.5 @5/6 (1.83) WON (2-1) +8.33pts

Over in the Russian Premier League, two teams with the worst defensive records go head to head.  Tomsk and Volga Novgorod sit joint top of the over 2.5 goal table with 7 of their 9 games seeing 3 or more goals.  All 4 of Tomsk’s home matches and all 4 of Novgorod’s away matches have broken the over 2.5 goal barrier.  It’s 21/20 for this to go over 2.5 goals and that looks worth taking.  Over in Italy, Inter Milan and Fiorentina meet in a match that could be a cracker if both approach it with positive tactics.  Fiorentina have only been held goalless once in their last 20 Serie A matches away from home.  That bodes well for an away goal.  Inter Milan have started the season well, scoring plenty of goals.  They have only failed to score at home once in their last 13 Serie A games and you have to go back 13 years for the last time Fiorentina shut them out at home.  Both teams to score is a standout 7/10 with Ladbrokes.

5pt double with Ladbrokes

Tomsk v Volga Novgorod (Russian Premier League) over 2.5 goals @21/20 (2.05) LOST (1-0)

Inter Milan v Fiorentina (Italy Serie A) both teams to score @7/10 (1.7) WON (2-1) -5pts

Daily P/L (Day 7) +3.33pts

Running P/L +19.2pts