I’m not sure why this system is called Hidden Winners. Going through the videos provided on the website, the vendor shows us how he goes about picking his selections according to form using the excellent Geegeez form website. For maiden races and those with little form, again, he looks down the obvious roads of trainer comments and market moves. I wouldn’t consider these avenues as hidden. You would expect winners that are hidden to be runners which have aspects about them in today’s race which are likely to elude market makers.
This is not a method of form reading whereby you’re necessarily likely to arrive at the same selections as vendor Michael, because everybody will spot different signs with different runners. In reviewing this service, therefore, I will treat it as a tipster service with added extras, rather than a system as alluded to when we launched this back in September.
There is some discussion on the website about staking, and how different bettor types should bet within their comfort zones. The published results are based on 2 points win for odds of 7.0 and below, and 1 point each way for higher odds. These are based on 10am prices as available on Oddschecker.
There are two sets of (unverified) results on the website going back to October 2019, and these look very interesting. 424 points profit to BSP, and 538 points for early prices, to the 2pt win/1pt ew system. The second system is simply 1 pt win all bets, showing +300 points for early prices and 237 points to BSP. These win only results are better than the each way option, if you double the stake so it is equivalent.
I have been monitoring the bets since the beginning of September. Bets are posted in the members’ area on the website six days a week (Sundays excluded). As you can see from the graph, this began with a flourish in month one but then went on a sustained losing run to finish the three month review in the red. Month three (November) was only saved by a last day of review upswing, when both bets won at good odds.
Here are the headline stats for the review:
Non runners: 5
ROI 10am bookie prices: -12%
ROI Betfair win/place (-5% commission): -8%
ROI Betfair SP win (-5% commission): +4%
P/L 10am bookie prices: -24.7 points
P/L Betfair win/place (-5% commission): -16.88 points
P/L Betfair SP win (-5% commission): +8.43 points
I have reviewed this to a standard 1pt win/half point win + place stake so that it’s comparable to all my reviews with level staking, but the losses would have been twice as big had I run it under the advised 2pt win 1pt ew staking.
I can only give advice on the three month period under review, and so this has to be failed on the losses acrued. I can’t confirm results prior to the review because I wasn’t proofing the tips at that time, but this tipster seems honest and transparent, so I have no reason to doubt their validity, and it must be said that 300 points profit in the year prior to the review is an excellent return. But for those like me who can’t handle long losing runs, there were several instances of 20 plus losing runs during the review and so this service isn’t for me.