It is a month since I finished trialling this service and an update is about due. For this update, I think it appropriate that I relate my experiences rather than giving “hard” results – which would be difficult as I was using a compounding staking plan and it would take me some time to translate these into level stakes. Also, there are other factors below that will become apparent.
Since the test there has been a change in the quality of the results from the service and the comment in my final review – to the effect that 92 bets is not statistically significant, but it is getting there – now seems premature. Looked at more objectively, even double that number of bets is not statistically significant.
When I have first hand experience of a system or service over an extended period (say 18 months or more), it hit’s a bad patch and nothing else appears to have changed, then I know to take a deep breath and remain disciplined. By first hand experience I mean actually using the system/ service to place bets somewhat larger than Betfair’s minimum, with the intention of making a profit that my bank manager is not going to laugh at. Without that first hand experience, no matter what past results have been posted, when things go sour I find it exceptionally difficult to remain disciplined and at some stage thoughts about sex and games involving soldiers will come to mind (as in rearranging and adding in deletions to: soldiers game of this for).
Due to my current limited access to the Internet, as well as various other factors, I cannot at the moment guarantee being able to get all bets placed in time. For these reasons, as well as for the simple fact that I feel it appropriate to do so, I shall keep the service on hold until it has turned the corner and when it has I shall dive back in again. Others may disagree, but I do not regard this as a lack of discipline, but a common sense move until an appropriate level of first hand experience has been built.