I’m wrapping up this review after three months (rather than my usual six-month horse racing reviews) as this is a seasonal service operating for a limited period of about five and a half months each year. Currently, there are about ten weeks left to run.
This review covers the period from/including 14 April 2021 until/including 13 July 2021.
I report the results using two scenarios. Scenario 1 showed a small profit of 3.92 pts. Scenario 2 showed a loss of 20.29 pts.
Scenario 1: Placing one unit on each single NAP bet and one unit on every single Standard bet. No doubles, triples, or quads.
Scenario 2: This again places one unit on every single standard bet, but NAPs allow for doubles, triples, and quads. It’s important to note that doubles, triples, and quads can’t be placed in advance as NAP bets mostly only come one at a time. So, I place 4 pts on each NAP single bet:
If the single wins, I pocket the returns associated with 1 pt of the initial 4 pt stake. The remainder of the return goes on the next NAP bet forming a double.
If the double wins, I pocket the returns associated with 1pt of the initial 4 pt stake. The remainder of the return goes on the next NAP bet forming a triple.
If the triple wins, I pocket the returns associated with 1pt of the initial 4 pt stake. The remainder of the return goes on the next NAP bet forming a quad.
If the quad wins, I pocket all the returns.
Note only NAPs are used for multiples.
Here are the results for both scenarios:
Scenario 1: NAP singles and Standard singles
NAPs: 25 bets, 16 wins, strike rate 64.0 %, profit +3.05pts.
(peak NAP total profits of 6.13 pts on 21 May. Minimum NAP total profits of 0 pts at the review start, 14 April).
Standard: 18 bets, 4 wins, 3 voids, strike rate 28.6%, profit 0.87 pts.
Starting Bank: 100 pts.
Current Bank: 103.92 pts.
Profit: +3.92 pts.
Scenario 2: NAP singles, Standard singles and NAP doubles, triples, and quads
NAP Singles: 25 bets, 16 wins, strike rate 64.0 %, Profit -29.94 pts.
NAP Doubles: 14 bets, Wins 7, Strike Rate 50.0%, Profit -3.52 pts.
NAP Triples: 7 bets, Wins 3, Strike Rate 42.9%, Profit 8.67 pts.
NAP Quadruples: 3 bets, Wins 1, Strike Rate 33.3%, Profit 3.63 pts.
Standard: 18 bets, 4 wins, 3 voids, strike rate 28.6%, profit 0.87 pts.
Starting Bank: 100 pts
Current Bank: 79. 71pts.
Profit: -20.29 pts.
The strike rate for NAPs during this review is only 64% compared to the 84% reported for 2019.
Given the standard £10 a bet and taking into account the cost of three months of the service, the net loss for Scenario 1 is £65.77 and for Scenario 2 is £307.87.
One would need to be betting £50 a tip and on singles only (Scenario 1) to make a net profit of £91.03. So for the more serious punter, this service can provide value and could be part of his/her betting portfolio.
Unfortunately, based on the performance of this three-month trial and the standard cash master £10 a tip, I have to fail the service.
FAIL
