by Peter Williams | 5th August, 2014
A further update on these two strategies with an interim summary of results for July. This 3 month trial began in June and due to the ‘summer football’ menu, selections have been limited. The vendor, James, sends his selections out very promptly and offers guidance on liquidity issues/inplay issues and odds – so quite impressed with his support. Both strategies are currently in profit as can be seen below. For a resume of the strategies and further details please refer to the first post on 8/6/14. https://www.cash-master.com/25296/
You can try First Half Goals here:
https://www.cash-master.com/FirstHalfGoals.php
And Second Half Goals here:
https://www.cash-master.com/SecondHalfGoals.php
I will add a link to past results at the end of the trial period.
Interim Analysis B
End of Month 2 (July)
FHG results for July 2014:
Qualifying Trades: 5/6 winners
Strike Rate: 83.3%
Average Lay Price: 3.85
Net P&L: +£23.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£24.74 to fixed £40 liabilities
July P/L; +2.3pts Cash Master Trial P/L; +7.05PTS (To flat stakes)
Again a month low on qualifying trades however a profit was achieved. FHG is currently on a run of 11 winners from its last 12 games.
SHG results for July 2014:
Qualifying Trades: 5/6 winners
Strike Rate: 83.3%
Average Lay Price: 5.0
P&L: +£7.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£7.74 to fixed £40 liabilities
July P/L; 0.75pts Cash Master Trial P/L; +6.45PTS (To flat stakes)
A frustrating end to July for SHG with the loss in Sweden however a profit was achieved to add to the returns from June.
Selections and Results
4/8/14
SHG 6.05pm – Sweden Allsvenskan – IFK Goteborg vs AIK – 5.0 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 0-2)
A 16th winner from the last 17 selections for SHG as a second goal for AIK against the ten man hosts gave another profit.
Daily P/L; +0.95pts Aug P/L; 1.9pts Trial P/L; +8.35PTS
Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.00 to fixed £40 liabilities
3/8/14
SHG 2.00pm – Norway Adeccoligaen – Strommen vs Sandefjord – 5.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 1-1)
SHG 6.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Stabaek vs Rosenborg – Non-qualifier due to 3-0 HT scoreline (HT 3-0) (FT 4-1)
Back to winning ways after SHG’s 14-match winning run came to end in Sweden earlier in the week. The price was borderline at 6.0. It was layed at 5.0 and was matched quickly in the second half. The leaders equaliser just after the hour meant a winning trade.
Daily P/L; +0.95pts Aug P/L; 0.95pts Trial P/L; +7.4PTS
Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities
2/8/14
SHG 3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona Bois HT 1-1 FT 3-2 NQ (level at HT +Betfair removed it from inplay list)
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28/7/14
FHG 6.20pm – Sweden Superettan – Hammarby vs Assyriska – 3.6 HT 1-1 17′ +0.95PTS
P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities
Daily P/L; +0.95PTS Trial P/L; +7.05PTS July P/L; +2.3pts
An 11th FHG winner from our last 12 games in Sweden with the hosts taking the lead in the 17th minute.
Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = +£23.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£24.74 to fixed £40 liabilities
SHG – 6.05pm – Sweden Allsvenskan – Hacken vs Djurgarden HT 2-1 FT 2-1 -4PTS
Daily P/L; -4.0pts July P/L; 0.75pts Trial P/L; +6.45PTS
P&L: -£40.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities
An injury-time penalty miss saw SHG’s winning run of 14 matches come to an end in Sweden. In truth the trade really should have been won before then but neither team was able to capitalise on a host of chances in the second half.
Despite the loss both SHG (and its sister strategy FHG) remain in profit for the month.
Current SHG P&L for July = +£7.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£7.74 to fixed £40 liabilities
27/7/14
FHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Molde vs Rosenborg – 4.0 WON (HT 1-0) (FT 3-1)
P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities – a 10th winner from the last 11 games.
Daily P/L; +0.95PTS Trial P/L; +6.1PTS July P/L; +1.35pts
Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = +£13.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.08 to fixed £40 liabilities
SHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Molde vs Rosenborg – Match 1 – 5.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 3-1)
P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities
A 14th winner in a row for SHG! With the HT price to lay U1.5 goals at 6.0 I layed 1-0 at 5.0 and was matched early in the second half. Molde doubled their lead on 55 minutes to secure another winning trade.
Current SHG P&L for July = +£47.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£47.74 to fixed £40 liabilities
SHG 6.00pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Fjolnir vs Thor Akureyri – Match 2 – Non-qualifier due to 3-0 HT scoreline (HT 3-0) (FT 4-1)
Daily P/L; +0.95pts July P/L; 4.75pts Trial P/L; +10.45PTS
26/7/14
SHG 3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Varbergs vs Degerfors Non-qualifier due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-0)
Daily P/L; N/A July P/L; 3.8pts Trial P/L; +9.5PTS
by Peter Williams | 23rd July, 2014
An update on these two strategies with an interim summary of results for June. Due to the ‘summer football’ menu, selections have been limited. The vendor, James, sends his selections out very promptly and offers guidance on liquidity issues/inplay issues and odds – so quite impressed with his support. Both strategies are currently in profit as can be seen below. For a resume of the strategies please refer to the first post on 8/6/14. https://www.cash-master.com/25296/
I will add a link to past results at the end of the trial period.
Selections and Results
23/7/14
SHG 11.30am – Japan J-League – Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe Non-qualifier due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 1-1)
Current SHG P&L for July = +£38.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£38.24 to fixed £40 liabilities
Daily P/L; N/A July P/L; 3.8pts Trial P/L; +9.5PTS
21/7/14
SHG 8.15pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fjolnir Non-qualifier due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0)
Daily P/L; N/A July P/L; 3.8pts Trial P/L; +9.5PTS
Current SHG P&L for July = +£38.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£38.24 to fixed £40 liabilities
20/7/14
FHG 5.20pm – Sweden Superettan – Hammarby vs Osters – 3.8 HT 2-0 FG 11′ +0.95PTS
Daily P/L; +0.95PTS Trial P/L; +4.6PTS July P/L; -0.15pts
+£14.07 to fixed £40 liabilities
Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = +£4.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£0.59 to fixed £40 liabilities
SHG 2.00pm – Sweden Allsvenskan – Falkenbergs FF vs AIK – Match 1 HT 1-0 FT 4-1 (53′) +0.95PTS +£9.74 to fixed £40 liabilities
SHG 5.20pm – Sweden Superettan – Hammarby vs Osters – Match 2 HT 2-0 FT 3-0 59′ +0.95PTS +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities
SHG6.00pm – Iceland Premier – IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Fram – Match 3 HT 1-0 FT 2-0 92′ +0.95PTS +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities
Daily P/L; 2.85PTS July P/L; 3.8pts Trial P/L; +9.5PTS
SHG’s winning run goes on as a full house on Sunday made it 13 winners in a row! Let’s hope we can continue for a little while yet and keep up this fantastic form!
Current SHG P&L for July = +£38.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£38.24 to fixed £40 liabilities
19/7/14
SHG 3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Landskrona Bois v IFK Varnamo Not In-Play So No Trade HT 0-1 FT 3-1
Frustratingly the above selection wasn’t put in-play on Betfair and so we missed out on what would have been another easy profit for SHG depending on HT lay price.
13/7/14
FHG 4.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Valerenga vs Rosenborg – 3.8
P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed 400% liabilities
A nice early winner for us in Norway with the visitors taking the lead in the 5th minute. Great to quickly get back to winning ways after the loss at Bodo Glimt on Saturday.
Daily P/L; +0.95PTS Trial P/L; +3.65PTS July P/L; -1.1pts
Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = -£5.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£14.66 to fixed 400% liabilities
SHG 2.30pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Haugesund vs Stabaek
Daily P/L; 0.95PTS July P/L; 0.95pts Trial P/L; +6.65PTS
P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed 400% liabilities
SHG continued its sensational form with a 10th winner in a row in Norway thanks to the home side doubling their lead in the 58th minute.
Current SHG P&L for July = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed 400% liabilities
12/7/14
FHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Bodo Glimt vs Odd – 3.6 LOST (HT 0-0) (FT 0-3)
Daily P/L; -3PTS Trial P/L; +2.7PTS July P/L; -2.05pts
P&L: -£24.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed 400% liabilities
A very frustrating loss in Norway where 19 first half shots between the two teams failed to produce the goal that we needed. Shooting boots were very much found in the second half as three goals were scored after HT but it was too little too late for us on this occasion. The loss brought to an end a run of 7 straight winners for FHG.
Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = -£15.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£27.33 to fixed 400% liabilities
6/7/14
SHG; 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Start vs Lillestro Non-qualifier 1-1 HT (FT 3-1)
5/7/14
FHG; 2.30pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Molde vs Sogndal – 4.0 HT 2-0 +0.95pts
Daily P/L; +0.95PTS Trial P/L; +5.7PTS July P/L; +0.95pts
P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed 400% liabilities
Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities
SHG; 10.00am – Japan J2 League – Matsumoto Yamaga vs Avispa Fukuoka Non-qualifier due to 1-1 HT scoreline (FT 2-1)
There is currently no July P&L for SHG this month as yet due to the very sparse fixture list. The Swedish Allsvenskan and Norwegian Tippeligaen have returned this weekend though and the Japanese J-League will soon follow on 15th July. Plenty to look forward to from here on!
Interim Analysis
End of Month 1(June)
FHG results for June 2014:
Qualifying Trades: 5/5 winners
Strike Rate: 100%
Average Lay Price: 3.90
P&L: +£47.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£65.92 to fixed £40 liabilities
SHG results for June 2014:
Qualifying Trades: 6/6 winners Strike Rate: 100% Average Lay Price: 4.9
P&L: +£57 to flat £10 stakes, +£58.06 to fixed £40 liabilities
A month that was very low on qualifying trades, however a decent profit was achieved which bodes well for the future. The rest of the summer leagues will re-open after the World Cup and we’re edging ever closer to the return of the winter league season 2014/15.
29/6/14
Two winners in Sweden with Hammarby continuing their record of scoring a second half goal in every away game so far. In the other trade at Syrianska the second goal arrived just a minute after the lay price hit 5.0 which was a little fortunate. No selections for Monday
FHG; No Selections
SHG; 1.45pm – Sweden Superettan – Osters vs Hammarby – 4.6 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 0-2) +0.95pts
(P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£10.56 to fixed 400% liabilities)
SHG; 2.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Ljungskile vs IK Sirius – Non-qualifier due to HT scoreline (HT 0-0, FT 1-0)
SHG; 3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Syrianska vs Degerfors – 5.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 3-1) +0.95pts
(P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed 400% liabilities)
Daily P/L; 1.9PTS Trial P/L; +5.7PTS
Current SHG P&L for June = +£57 to flat £10 stakes, +£58.06 to fixed 400% liabilities
26/6/14
FHG; No Selections
SHG; 6.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Degerfors vs Osters – Match 1 Non-qualifier due to Betfair market suspension (HT 0-1) (FT 0-2)
SHG; 6.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Jonkopings Sodra vs Hammarby – Match 2 5.0 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 0-4)
Unfortunately a suspended market at Degerfors prevented that fixture from qualifying for SHG (price permitting). A shame as it would have been a winning trade but at least Hammarby kept up their 100% second half away scoring record this season to give us a profit on the day.
Daily P/L; 0.95PTS Trial P/L; +3.8PTS
P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities Current SHG P&L for June = +£38 to flat £10 stakes, +£38 to fixed £40 liabilities
