I spotted an interesting conversation regarding Lieutenant k Quads the other day.

Question:

when we have the losing quads that result in the 1pt increasing upto 2.5pts in your experience what % of bank is remaining to carry on with, please?

Answer:

it depends on what the liability of the losing quad was e.g. say you were doing 1 quad a day and your aim for that quad is £1 if your liability was 14% of your bank you would loses £14 if it lost so your bank would now be £86. Your next aim is 1.5% of the £86 which is £1.29 (I think).  REMEMBER EACH QUAD IS SEPARATE and as such should be treated as a stand alone bet e.g. have its own bank. From past results it seems to take about 10 quads max to recover the loss of a losing quad.

So far on here I have posted 579 winning quads & 25 losing quads

Question:

So one can in other words expect to encounter 1 losing quad for every 23 played!

Answer:

yes and with 10 quads to recover a losing quad thats about 13 winners (if you think at 1% thats 13% for every 23 quads)

while its not mega large its a small amount often.

I was using one bank for all 3 quads, and this is incorrect! So I have reworked the data.

Day Tosh The
Squire
Method
Maker
Quads
57 2.88 2.54 6.37 4
58 0.77 6.4 7.53 6
59 -10.65 -5.27 -4.11 2
60 -9.16 13.05 2.08 -18.83
61 5.53 4.71 0 6
62 2.16 -7.27 3.2 -18.46
63 2.46 2.46 1.4 16
Week 9 -6.01 16.62 16.47 -3.29 23.79
Overall 146.76 55.41 84.08 157.38 413.93

Please note that the odds I am using (BSP) can be different from those that the Guru’s record, putting me on a different strategy with respect to the staking plan. This can lead to different results.