3 Comments

1. Paul Hunter on Monday, 26 February, 2007 at 8:55 pm

   Nasty price on Brother Oscar…

   Do you think it’s best lay to a liability or try to focus on short priced horses?

2. Cash Master on Monday, 26 February, 2007 at 9:56 pm

   Thats a good question. With laying you can either go for a set profit per race, say £10 and your liability will be different depending on the odds, like todays losing bet costing us £59 because we were aiming for £12… or you can always ‘stake’ the same amount by altering the amount you win so that your liability is always the same. So if we did that for todays races at a liability of £10 we would have been aiming to win £2.04 on Brother Oscar and £4.16 on Team Chaser. This means that when you do get a losing bet, your losses are never that severe, however, due to the smaller amounts won on each bet, it will take longer to build profits. It would be interesting to go back over all the bets of this trial and work out which way would make more profit…. but I simply can’t be bothered, sorry. Any number crunchers out there feel free to do the maths and let us know the results!

   In the meantime, I still think laying short priced horses is the way forward and I’ll work out tommorow what the stats would be if we left out anything over 6.0. Also, I’ve just come across a new system that may just be what I’m looking for. Watch this space!

3. Paul Hunter on Monday, 26 February, 2007 at 10:34 pm

   Laying short priced favs is the Holy Grail if you ask me, it must be extremely difficult, but nothing is impossible – the new system sounds interesting!